Game Recap: VGK 3, BOS 4, January 22, 2026

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Game Recap

VGK3

FinalThu, Jan 22, 2026Every game that night

BOS4

BOS beat VGK 4-3 despite fewer good chances: 2.92 expected goals to 4.40. D. Pastrnak led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). T. Hertl had 9 shots on goal against our projection of 2.4. J. Korpisalo stopped 30 of 33.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
VGK	0	0	3	3
BOS	3	1	0	4

1st 9:12BOSC. McAvoyPP0.06 xG
1st 9:42BOSE. LindholmPP0.22 xG
1st 10:06BOST. Jeannot0.11 xG
2nd 7:25BOSD. Pastrnak0.13 xG
3rd 0:31VGKJ. Eichel0.67 xG
3rd 3:01VGKT. HertlPP0.22 xG
3rd 17:25VGKP. Dorofeyev0.12 xG

Team Stats

VGKBOS

33Shots on goal29

4.40Expected goals2.92

68Shot attempts58

175v5 shots on goal24

1/4Power play2/3

28Hits19

14Blocked shots20

13Penalty minutes15

18Giveaways13

3Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

VGK 4.40 xGBOS 2.92 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

VGK33 on goal, 3 scored

BOS29 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

VGK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Eichel	C	1	1	2	4	1	0	+2	0	22:38	5:57
M. Marner	RW	0	1	1	2	0	1	+1	0	21:51	5:34
M. Stone	RW	0	1	1	0	0	1	+1	0	20:50	5:54
P. Dorofeyev	RW	1	0	1	4	0	1	+1	0	20:04	5:21
T. Hertl	C	1	0	1	9	3	2	0	4	19:58	5:53
I. Barbashev	LW	0	0	0	2	3	0	+1	0	15:25	1:29
B. Bowman	RW	0	0	0	0	1	1	-2	0	13:37	1:30
T. Laczynski	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	13:19	1:26
R. Smith	RW	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	12:37	0:00
K. Kolesar	RW	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	10:55	0:00
A. Holtz	RW	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	10:17	0:00
C. Reinhardt	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	2	9:36	0:00
S. Theodore	D	0	1	1	1	0	4	0	0	25:48	1:49
N. Hanifin	D	0	1	1	2	1	1	+1	0	23:14	1:53
K. Korczak	D	0	1	1	3	3	0	+1	0	16:53	0:00
J. Lauzon	D	0	0	0	0	4	0	-1	5	16:10	0:09
D. Coghlan	D	0	0	0	1	4	1	-1	2	13:57	0:00
B. Hutton	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	10:51	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Schmid	29	25	4	.862	57:19	Loss
A. Hill	0	0	0	–	0:00

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
D. Pastrnak	RW	1	2	3	6	1	0	0	0	17:32	2:26
E. Lindholm	C	1	1	2	3	0	1	-1	0	19:44	1:58
M. Geekie	C	0	2	2	1	4	0	0	2	15:31	1:57
S. Kuraly	C	0	1	1	0	1	3	+1	0	12:28	0:00
T. Jeannot	LW	1	0	1	1	2	0	+1	0	8:42	0:00
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	2	18:02	0:00
P. Zacha	C	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	2	17:09	1:59
V. Arvidsson	LW	0	0	0	5	1	1	-1	0	15:21	0:42
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14:40	0:44
F. Minten	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	13:27	0:43
A. Steeves	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	10:29	0:00
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	0	3	0	+1	5	9:38	0:00
C. McAvoy	D	1	0	1	4	2	3	-1	0	27:02	1:55
N. Zadorov	D	0	1	1	1	1	2	0	2	20:36	0:00
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	-1	0	20:27	0:00
H. Lindholm	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	+1	0	19:42	0:15
J. Aspirot	D	0	0	0	2	1	2	0	2	17:06	0:00
M. Lohrei	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	+1	0	13:01	0:46

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Korpisalo	33	30	3	.909	60:00	Win
J. Swayman	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

VGK

Line 1I. Barbashev13:51J. Eichel11:41M. Stone10:51

Line 2M. Marner11:21P. Dorofeyev11:00R. Smith11:11

Line 3K. Kolesar10:40B. Bowman12:07T. Hertl10:55

Line 4A. Holtz10:17C. Reinhardt9:36T. Laczynski11:53

Pair 1N. Hanifin18:44K. Korczak14:14

Pair 2S. Theodore19:13J. Lauzon14:43

Pair 3B. Hutton10:51D. Coghlan13:07

BOS

Line 1E. Lindholm14:05M. Khusnutdinov14:44D. Pastrnak13:23

Line 2V. Arvidsson12:44P. Zacha11:54C. Mittelstadt12:01

Line 3M. Geekie13:05F. Minten10:52A. Steeves10:19

Line 4T. Jeannot6:53M. Kastelic6:49S. Kuraly8:37

Pair 1N. Zadorov17:31A. Peeke16:51

Pair 2C. McAvoy16:58J. Aspirot16:03

Pair 3H. Lindholm11:42M. Lohrei11:44

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownNoah Hanifin VGK Plays in his hometown1 A, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	VGK 3.2, BOS 2.9	VGK 3, BOS 4
Total goals	6.2	7
Shots on goal	VGK 28.7, BOS 24.6	VGK 33, BOS 29
Win chance	VGK 55%	BOS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
VGK J. Eichel	3.4	4	1.15	2	31%	1
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.2	6	1.21	3	39%	1
VGK P. Dorofeyev	2.9	4	0.67	1	31%	1
VGK T. Hertl	2.4	9	0.75	1	27%	1
BOS V. Arvidsson	2.3	5	0.56	0	21%	0
VGK M. Stone	2.2	0	1.02	1	29%	0
VGK M. Marner	1.9	2	1.07	1	26%	0
VGK S. Theodore	1.9	1	0.61	1	8%	0
VGK N. Hanifin	1.8	2	0.43	1	7%	0
BOS M. Geekie	1.8	1	0.68	2	27%	0
VGK D. Coghlan	1.7	1	0.17	0	3%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.6	3	0.65	2	21%	1
VGK R. Smith	1.5	0	0.42	0	17%	0
BOS H. Lindholm	1.4	0	0.36	0	7%	0
VGK I. Barbashev	1.4	2	0.57	0	20%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.4	4	0.56	1	10%	1
BOS P. Zacha	1.3	4	0.57	0	18%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.3	0	0.28	1	12%	0
BOS F. Minten	1.2	1	0.42	0	18%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	1.2	0	0.27	0	13%	0
VGK B. Bowman	1.2	0	0.41	0	13%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.2	1	0.31	1	7%	0
VGK B. Hutton	1.2	0	0.23	0	6%	0
VGK A. Holtz	1.1	1	0.23	0	11%	0
BOS A. Steeves	1.1	0	0.35	0	15%	0
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.1	0	0.50	0	16%	0
VGK J. Lauzon	1.1	0	0.18	0	4%	0
BOS T. Jeannot	1.0	1	0.29	1	11%	1
VGK K. Korczak	1.0	3	0.26	1	4%	0
VGK K. Kolesar	1.0	0	0.28	0	10%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	1.0	1	0.34	0	7%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	0.9	0	0.37	0	15%	0
BOS A. Peeke	0.8	0	0.16	0	4%	0
VGK C. Reinhardt	0.8	2	0.19	0	8%	0
VGK T. Laczynski	0.8	2	0.16	0	9%	0
BOS J. Aspirot	0.6	2	0.13	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 15 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.