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Game Recap
VGK2
BOS3
BOS beat VGK 3-2 in a shootout, with the chances close: 2.87 expected goals to 2.55. M. Marner led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). D. Pastrnak had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 3.3. J. Swayman stopped 21 of 23.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | SO | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| BOS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
- 1st 7:23BOSJ. Hagens0.20 xG
- 2nd 3:23BOSM. GeekiePP0.04 xG
- 2nd 14:58VGKM. StonePP0.43 xG
- 3rd 7:23VGKT. Connelly0.03 xG
Team Stats
VGKBOS
23Shots on goal27
2.55Expected goals2.87
47Shot attempts59
145v5 shots on goal13
1/3Power play1/4
28Hits14
15Blocked shots13
17Penalty minutes6
19Giveaways17
3Takeaways5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
VGK 2.55 xGBOS 2.87 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
VGK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Marner | RW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 24:25 | 2:11 |
| M. Stone | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 21:35 | 2:11 |
| T. Connelly | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:17 | 0:58 |
| T. Hertl | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:48 | 2:11 |
| J. Eichel | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 24:57 | 2:14 |
| W. Karlsson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:26 | 2:16 |
| B. Howden | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:59 | 2:04 |
| I. Barbashev | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 15:16 | 1:52 |
| J. Rondbjerg | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:02 | 0:00 |
| N. Dowd | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:43 | 0:00 |
| M. Gatcomb | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:19 | 0:00 |
| B. Bowman | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5:20 | 0:50 |
| N. Hanifin | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23:44 | 0:00 |
| S. Theodore | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:46 | 1:57 |
| R. Andersson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:54 | 1:56 |
| B. McNabb | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:05 | 0:00 |
| J. Lauzon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:18 | 0:00 |
| D. Coghlan | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:06 | 0:00 |
BOS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lindholm | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:07 | 5:49 |
| P. Zacha | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 21:43 | 6:10 |
| D. Pastrnak | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:31 | 6:30 |
| J. Hagens | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:27 | 2:56 |
| M. Geekie | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:57 | 6:34 |
| F. Minten | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:46 | 2:25 |
| J. Peterka | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:24 | 2:51 |
| C. Mittelstadt | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:53 | 2:12 |
| M. Khusnutdinov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 15:05 | 0:00 |
| T. Jeannot | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:36 | 0:00 |
| M. Kastelic | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:02 | 0:00 |
| M. Poitras | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:13 | 0:00 |
| N. Zadorov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:54 | 0:00 |
| C. McAvoy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25:36 | 6:12 |
| H. Lindholm | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:35 | 0:18 |
| W. Borgen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:58 | 0:00 |
| M. Lohrei | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 17:57 | 2:48 |
| J. Aspirot | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 14:08 | 0:15 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Swayman | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 65:00 | Win |
| M. DiPietro | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
VGK
Line 1M. Stone15:07J. Eichel17:20I. Barbashev13:24
Line 2M. Marner15:55W. Karlsson12:04B. Howden11:38
Line 3T. Connelly12:13T. Hertl11:37B. Bowman4:30
Line 4N. Dowd8:15J. Rondbjerg8:57M. Gatcomb9:19
Pair 1B. McNabb16:39S. Theodore17:10
Pair 2R. Andersson16:04J. Lauzon14:13
Pair 3N. Hanifin17:49D. Coghlan12:06
BOS
Line 1E. Lindholm14:27C. Mittelstadt15:41J. Hagens14:31
Line 2D. Pastrnak12:51P. Zacha13:00J. Peterka14:55
Line 3F. Minten13:52M. Geekie10:23M. Khusnutdinov11:39
Line 4T. Jeannot8:20M. Kastelic7:11M. Poitras3:13
Pair 1N. Zadorov17:31W. Borgen16:30
Pair 2H. Lindholm17:39C. McAvoy17:39
Pair 3J. Aspirot12:15M. Lohrei12:43
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
Prop Results
5 of 16 overs hit (31%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | SOG | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 2.5 | -174 | +140 | 7 | Over |
| VGK J. Eichel | 2.5 | -130 | +105 | 1 | Under |
| VGK M. Marner | 2.5 | +142 | -165 | 1 | Under |
| VGK T. Hertl | 2.5 | +136 | -170 | 4 | Over |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 1.5 | -110 | -115 | 1 | Under |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 1.5 | -110 | -110 | 0 | Under |
| BOS F. Minten | 1.5 | +105 | -120 | 1 | Under |
| VGK I. Barbashev | 1.5 | +105 | -120 | 1 | Under |
| BOS J. Hagens | 1.5 | -125 | -105 | 3 | Over |
| BOS J. Peterka | 1.5 | -145 | +120 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Geekie | 1.5 | -125 | +105 | 2 | Over |
| VGK M. Stone | 1.5 | -160 | +135 | 2 | Over |
| BOS P. Zacha | 1.5 | -105 | -110 | 1 | Under |
| VGK S. Theodore | 1.5 | -137 | +104 | 0 | Under |
| VGK T. Connelly | 1.5 | -150 | +121 | 1 | Under |
| VGK W. Karlsson | 1.5 | -125 | +110 | 1 | Under |
4 of 36 overs hit (11%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | G | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK B. Bowman | 0.5 | +600 | -650 | 0 | Under |
| VGK B. Howden | 0.5 | +425 | -650 | 0 | Under |
| VGK B. McNabb | 0.5 | +1500 | -2800 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 0.5 | +600 | -1400 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. Mittelstadt | 0.5 | +550 | -700 | 0 | Under |
| VGK D. Coghlan | 0.5 | +1600 | -3500 | 0 | Under |
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 0.5 | +150 | -180 | 0 | Under |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 0.5 | +270 | -360 | 0 | Under |
| BOS F. Minten | 0.5 | +360 | -550 | 0 | Under |
| BOS H. Lindholm | 0.5 | +1200 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
| VGK I. Barbashev | 0.5 | +310 | -450 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Aspirot | 0.5 | +1500 | -4000 | 0 | Under |
| VGK J. Eichel | 0.5 | +180 | -250 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Hagens | 0.5 | +360 | -650 | 1 | Over |
| VGK J. Lauzon | 0.5 | +2000 | -4000 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Peterka | 0.5 | +290 | -390 | 0 | Under |
| VGK J. Rondbjerg | 0.5 | +850 | -2000 | 0 | Under |
| VGK M. Gatcomb | 0.5 | +900 | -2500 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Geekie | 0.5 | +230 | -320 | 1 | Over |
| BOS M. Kastelic | 0.5 | +900 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Khusnutdinov | 0.5 | +600 | -1000 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 0.5 | +1000 | -4000 | 0 | Under |
| VGK M. Marner | 0.5 | +230 | -300 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Poitras | 0.5 | +800 | -1000 | 0 | Under |
| VGK M. Stone | 0.5 | +190 | -260 | 1 | Over |
| VGK N. Dowd | 0.5 | +1000 | -2800 | 0 | Under |
| VGK N. Hanifin | 0.5 | +1300 | -2800 | 0 | Under |
| BOS N. Zadorov | 0.5 | +2300 | -4000 | 0 | Under |
| BOS P. Zacha | 0.5 | +260 | -360 | 0 | Under |
| VGK R. Andersson | 0.5 | +800 | -2800 | 0 | Under |
| VGK S. Theodore | 0.5 | +650 | -1400 | 0 | Under |
| VGK T. Connelly | 0.5 | +290 | -475 | 1 | Over |
| VGK T. Hertl | 0.5 | +260 | -360 | 0 | Under |
| BOS T. Jeannot | 0.5 | +1200 | -3500 | 0 | Under |
| BOS W. Borgen | 0.5 | +2100 | -4000 | 0 | Under |
| VGK W. Karlsson | 0.5 | +400 | -550 | 0 | Under |
7 of 36 overs hit (19%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK B. Bowman | 0.5 | +300 | -425 | 0 | Under |
| VGK B. Howden | 0.5 | +275 | -390 | 0 | Under |
| VGK B. McNabb | 0.5 | +320 | -475 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 0.5 | +105 | -135 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. Mittelstadt | 0.5 | +260 | -330 | 0 | Under |
| VGK D. Coghlan | 0.5 | +550 | – | 0 | Under |
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 0.5 | -115 | +100 | 1 | Over |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 0.5 | +165 | -200 | 1 | Over |
| BOS F. Minten | 0.5 | +300 | -350 | 0 | Under |
| BOS H. Lindholm | 0.5 | +350 | -400 | 0 | Under |
| VGK I. Barbashev | 0.5 | +215 | -235 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Aspirot | 0.5 | +600 | – | 0 | Under |
| VGK J. Eichel | 0.5 | -118 | +105 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Hagens | 0.5 | +280 | -285 | 0 | Under |
| VGK J. Lauzon | 0.5 | +600 | -1000 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Peterka | 0.5 | +210 | -250 | 0 | Under |
| VGK J. Rondbjerg | 0.5 | +650 | – | 0 | Under |
| VGK M. Gatcomb | 0.5 | +600 | – | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Geekie | 0.5 | +180 | -225 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Kastelic | 0.5 | +550 | – | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Khusnutdinov | 0.5 | +295 | -425 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 0.5 | +250 | – | 0 | Under |
| VGK M. Marner | 0.5 | -111 | -105 | 2 | Over |
| BOS M. Poitras | 0.5 | +500 | – | 0 | Under |
| VGK M. Stone | 0.5 | +120 | -140 | 0 | Under |
| VGK N. Dowd | 0.5 | +400 | – | 0 | Under |
| VGK N. Hanifin | 0.5 | +285 | -400 | 1 | Over |
| BOS N. Zadorov | 0.5 | +400 | -600 | 1 | Over |
| BOS P. Zacha | 0.5 | +140 | -165 | 1 | Over |
| VGK R. Andersson | 0.5 | +280 | -400 | 0 | Under |
| VGK S. Theodore | 0.5 | +215 | -250 | 0 | Under |
| VGK T. Connelly | 0.5 | +220 | -250 | 0 | Under |
| VGK T. Hertl | 0.5 | +200 | -235 | 1 | Over |
| BOS T. Jeannot | 0.5 | +650 | – | 0 | Under |
| BOS W. Borgen | 0.5 | +400 | -600 | 0 | Under |
| VGK W. Karlsson | 0.5 | +250 | -295 | 0 | Under |
10 of 36 overs hit (28%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | P | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 1.5 | +180 | -200 | 1 | Under |
| VGK B. Bowman | 0.5 | +185 | -255 | 0 | Under |
| VGK B. Howden | 0.5 | +155 | -215 | 0 | Under |
| VGK B. McNabb | 0.5 | +255 | -360 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 0.5 | -130 | +105 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. Mittelstadt | 0.5 | +160 | -200 | 0 | Under |
| VGK D. Coghlan | 0.5 | +425 | – | 0 | Under |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 0.5 | -115 | +100 | 1 | Over |
| BOS F. Minten | 0.5 | +150 | -175 | 0 | Under |
| BOS H. Lindholm | 0.5 | +265 | -345 | 0 | Under |
| VGK I. Barbashev | 0.5 | +115 | -125 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Aspirot | 0.5 | +450 | – | 0 | Under |
| VGK J. Eichel | 0.5 | -250 | +181 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Hagens | 0.5 | +135 | -160 | 1 | Over |
| VGK J. Lauzon | 0.5 | +475 | – | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Peterka | 0.5 | +105 | -125 | 0 | Under |
| VGK J. Rondbjerg | 0.5 | +370 | – | 0 | Under |
| VGK M. Gatcomb | 0.5 | +370 | – | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Geekie | 0.5 | -125 | +100 | 1 | Over |
| BOS M. Kastelic | 0.5 | +340 | – | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Khusnutdinov | 0.5 | +185 | -255 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 0.5 | +190 | – | 0 | Under |
| VGK M. Marner | 0.5 | -200 | +180 | 2 | Over |
| BOS M. Poitras | 0.5 | +290 | – | 0 | Under |
| VGK M. Stone | 0.5 | -175 | +155 | 1 | Over |
| VGK N. Dowd | 0.5 | +280 | – | 0 | Under |
| VGK N. Hanifin | 0.5 | +225 | -320 | 1 | Over |
| BOS N. Zadorov | 0.5 | +340 | -500 | 1 | Over |
| BOS P. Zacha | 0.5 | -135 | +115 | 1 | Over |
| VGK R. Andersson | 0.5 | +205 | -280 | 0 | Under |
| VGK S. Theodore | 0.5 | +150 | -165 | 0 | Under |
| VGK T. Connelly | 0.5 | +110 | -132 | 1 | Over |
| VGK T. Hertl | 0.5 | -105 | -110 | 1 | Over |
| BOS T. Jeannot | 0.5 | +400 | – | 0 | Under |
| BOS W. Borgen | 0.5 | +320 | -475 | 0 | Under |
| VGK W. Karlsson | 0.5 | +135 | -160 | 0 | Under |
6 of 18 overs hit (33%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | PPP | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK B. Bowman | 0.5 | +450 | -1200 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 0.5 | +280 | -280 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. Mittelstadt | 0.5 | +475 | -1400 | 0 | Under |
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 0.5 | +200 | -275 | 1 | Over |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 0.5 | +333 | -500 | 0 | Under |
| BOS F. Minten | 0.5 | +500 | -600 | 0 | Under |
| VGK I. Barbashev | 0.5 | +500 | -700 | 0 | Under |
| VGK J. Eichel | 0.5 | +140 | -165 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Hagens | 0.5 | +475 | -1400 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Peterka | 0.5 | +400 | -1100 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Geekie | 0.5 | +310 | -450 | 1 | Over |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 0.5 | +500 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
| VGK M. Marner | 0.5 | +155 | -180 | 1 | Over |
| VGK M. Stone | 0.5 | +190 | -240 | 1 | Over |
| BOS P. Zacha | 0.5 | +350 | -450 | 1 | Over |
| VGK T. Connelly | 0.5 | +260 | -350 | 0 | Under |
| VGK T. Hertl | 0.5 | +230 | -325 | 1 | Over |
| VGK W. Karlsson | 0.5 | +475 | -1400 | 0 | Under |
1 of 2 overs hit (50%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | SV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS J. Swayman | 25.5 | -112 | -110 | 21 | Under |
| VGK C. Hart | 22.5 | -115 | -115 | 25 | Over |
0 of 3 overs hit (0%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | BLK | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK B. McNabb | 1.5 | -155 | +110 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 1.5 | -190 | +135 | 1 | Under |
| BOS H. Lindholm | 1.5 | -120 | -120 | 1 | Under |
Each player's main line (the one most books posted) at the last price before puck drop, the best price on each side there, and what he did.
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | VGK 3.1, BOS 3.1 | VGK 2, BOS 3 |
| Total goals | 6.3 | 5 |
| Shots on goal | VGK 28.4, BOS 25.9 | VGK 23, BOS 27 |
| Win chance | BOS 51% | BOS won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 3.3 | 7 | 1.18 | 1 | 37% | 0 |
| VGK J. Eichel | 2.6 | 1 | 0.92 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| VGK M. Marner | 2.1 | 1 | 0.90 | 2 | 24% | 0 |
| VGK T. Hertl | 2.0 | 4 | 0.58 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| BOS J. Peterka | 2.0 | 0 | 0.65 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| VGK T. Connelly | 2.0 | 1 | 0.59 | 1 | 22% | 1 |
| VGK W. Karlsson | 2.0 | 1 | 0.53 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| VGK M. Stone | 2.0 | 2 | 0.82 | 1 | 28% | 1 |
| BOS P. Zacha | 1.8 | 1 | 0.71 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| VGK S. Theodore | 1.8 | 0 | 0.51 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| BOS M. Geekie | 1.7 | 2 | 0.68 | 1 | 27% | 1 |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 1.6 | 0 | 0.61 | 1 | 22% | 0 |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 1.6 | 1 | 0.66 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| BOS F. Minten | 1.6 | 1 | 0.44 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| BOS J. Hagens | 1.6 | 3 | 0.51 | 1 | 18% | 1 |
| VGK I. Barbashev | 1.6 | 1 | 0.54 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| VGK D. Coghlan | 1.5 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| VGK R. Andersson | 1.5 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| VGK N. Hanifin | 1.4 | 5 | 0.33 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| VGK M. Gatcomb | 1.4 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| VGK B. Howden | 1.4 | 2 | 0.41 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| VGK B. Bowman | 1.3 | 0 | 0.40 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| BOS H. Lindholm | 1.2 | 2 | 0.32 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| VGK J. Rondbjerg | 1.2 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| BOS C. Mittelstadt | 1.2 | 2 | 0.49 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| VGK B. McNabb | 1.1 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| VGK J. Lauzon | 1.1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| BOS N. Zadorov | 1.0 | 1 | 0.23 | 1 | 5% | 0 |
| BOS M. Kastelic | 1.0 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 0.9 | 2 | 0.32 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| BOS M. Poitras | 0.9 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| BOS W. Borgen | 0.9 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| BOS M. Khusnutdinov | 0.8 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| BOS J. Aspirot | 0.8 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| VGK N. Dowd | 0.8 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| BOS T. Jeannot | 0.8 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.