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Game Recap
VGK2
LAK5
LAK beat VGK 5-2, with the chances close: 2.28 expected goals to 1.61. Q. Byfield led the way with 4 points (0 G, 4 A). D. Kuemper stopped 21 of 23.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| LAK | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
- 1st 10:30LAKT. MoorePP0.08 xG
- 2nd 10:26VGKB. McNabb0.07 xG
- 2nd 16:41VGKM. Stone0.09 xG
- 3rd 0:42LAKT. Moore0.06 xG
- 3rd 8:31LAKW. Foegele0.26 xG
- 3rd 15:28LAKJ. Edmundson0.01 xG
- 3rd 17:41LAKK. Fiala0.09 xG
Team Stats
VGKLAK
23Shots on goal19
1.61Expected goals2.28
52Shot attempts57
205v5 shots on goal15
0/2Power play1/3
23Hits17
15Blocked shots19
8Penalty minutes6
12Giveaways10
3Takeaways3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
VGK 1.61 xGLAK 2.28 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
VGK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hertl | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:34 | 2:59 |
| M. Stone | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:40 | 3:02 |
| B. Howden | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 11:57 | 0:00 |
| J. Eichel | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 21:05 | 3:24 |
| P. Dorofeyev | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 16:48 | 2:57 |
| N. Roy | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:20 | 0:36 |
| K. Kolesar | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:04 | 0:00 |
| I. Barbashev | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:24 | 1:01 |
| V. Olofsson | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 | 1:03 |
| R. Lavoie | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 0:36 |
| T. Pearson | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 12:17 | 0:00 |
| B. Saad | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:34 | 0:00 |
| N. Hanifin | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:16 | 3:02 |
| B. McNabb | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:12 | 0:00 |
| K. Korczak | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:12 | 0:00 |
| A. Pietrangelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 23:24 | 0:58 |
| N. Hague | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 17:31 | 0:22 |
| Z. Whitecloud | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 16:45 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Samsonov | 19 | 14 | 5 | .737 | 59:43 | Loss |
| A. Hill | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 20:28 | 2:01 |
| A. Kempe | RW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:56 | 3:29 |
| T. Moore | LW | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:53 | 2:14 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:21 | 2:07 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:52 | 3:33 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 19:57 | 3:18 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 18:27 | 3:39 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:17 | 2:13 |
| T. Jeannot | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:19 | 0:07 |
| T. Lewis | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 10:16 | 0:00 |
| A. Turcotte | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 7:54 | 0:00 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:31 | 0:00 |
| J. Spence | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:32 | 2:22 |
| D. Doughty | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 23:55 | 3:13 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19:20 | 0:07 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:07 | 0:07 |
| J. Moverare | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 0 | 12:42 | 0:00 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:13 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kuemper | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 60:00 | Win |
| D. Rittich | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | VGK 2.8, LAK 2.6 | VGK 2, LAK 5 |
| Total goals | 5.3 | 7 |
| Shots on goal | VGK 27.6, LAK 26.7 | VGK 23, LAK 19 |
| Win chance | VGK 53% | LAK won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK K. Fiala | 3.2 | 2 | 0.89 | 1 | 32% | 1 |
| VGK J. Eichel | 3.2 | 3 | 0.94 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kempe | 3.1 | 1 | 0.84 | 2 | 34% | 0 |
| VGK P. Dorofeyev | 2.7 | 1 | 0.54 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.6 | 1 | 0.53 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.4 | 2 | 0.51 | 2 | 21% | 1 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.4 | 4 | 0.57 | 2 | 22% | 2 |
| VGK T. Hertl | 2.2 | 0 | 0.57 | 1 | 23% | 0 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 2.1 | 3 | 0.64 | 4 | 20% | 0 |
| VGK M. Stone | 2.0 | 4 | 0.87 | 1 | 26% | 1 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.8 | 1 | 0.60 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| VGK A. Pietrangelo | 1.7 | 1 | 0.40 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| VGK B. Saad | 1.7 | 1 | 0.41 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| VGK I. Barbashev | 1.6 | 0 | 0.59 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| VGK N. Hanifin | 1.5 | 1 | 0.37 | 1 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK D. Doughty | 1.5 | 3 | 0.55 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.5 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.5 | 0 | 0.76 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| VGK B. Howden | 1.5 | 2 | 0.34 | 1 | 16% | 0 |
| VGK V. Olofsson | 1.4 | 1 | 0.36 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| VGK N. Roy | 1.3 | 1 | 0.37 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 1.3 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.2 | 1 | 0.21 | 1 | 5% | 1 |
| VGK T. Pearson | 1.2 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| VGK N. Hague | 1.1 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| VGK B. McNabb | 1.1 | 1 | 0.23 | 1 | 4% | 1 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.1 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK A. Turcotte | 1.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| LAK J. Spence | 1.0 | 0 | 0.29 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK T. Lewis | 1.0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| VGK R. Lavoie | 0.9 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| VGK K. Kolesar | 0.9 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| VGK Z. Whitecloud | 0.9 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK T. Jeannot | 0.8 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| VGK K. Korczak | 0.8 | 2 | 0.17 | 1 | 2% | 0 |
| LAK J. Moverare | 0.6 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 17 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.