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Game Recap
VGK1
NYI2
NYI beat VGK 2-1 despite fewer good chances: 1.20 expected goals to 2.72. VGK outshot NYI 34 to 14. I. Sorokin stopped 33 of 34.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| NYI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Team Stats
VGKNYI
34Shots on goal14
2.72Expected goals1.20
60Shot attempts39
315v5 shots on goal14
0/1Power play0/1
21Hits26
13Blocked shots11
2Penalty minutes2
15Giveaways19
2Takeaways8
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
VGK 2.72 xGNYI 1.20 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
VGK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Saad | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:09 | 0:00 |
| N. Roy | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:54 | 0:58 |
| I. Barbashev | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:22 | 1:01 |
| J. Eichel | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:22 | 1:11 |
| T. Hertl | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 20:10 | 1:00 |
| M. Stone | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:35 | 0:59 |
| P. Dorofeyev | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 18:29 | 1:02 |
| V. Olofsson | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 | 0:59 |
| B. Howden | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:03 | 0:00 |
| K. Kolesar | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:46 | 0:00 |
| A. Holtz | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:20 | 0:01 |
| N. Hague | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:10 | 0:00 |
| S. Theodore | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:42 | 0:59 |
| B. McNabb | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:11 | 0:00 |
| A. Pietrangelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 0 | 19:46 | 0:49 |
| N. Hanifin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 19:14 | 1:01 |
| Z. Whitecloud | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 14:31 | 0:00 |
| K. Korczak | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:34 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Samsonov | 14 | 12 | 2 | .857 | 58:14 | Loss |
| A. Hill | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
NYI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Horvat | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:58 | 1:24 |
| B. Nelson | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:30 | 0:29 |
| M. Tsyplakov | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:52 | 0:30 |
| A. Lee | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:40 | 1:30 |
| K. Palmieri | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:16 | 0:36 |
| A. Duclair | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:40 | 1:31 |
| S. Holmstrom | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:40 | 0:00 |
| J. Pageau | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:53 | 0:00 |
| C. Cizikas | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0:00 |
| M. Gatcomb | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 8:33 | 0:00 |
| P. Engvall | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 7:59 | 0:00 |
| K. MacLean | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 7:39 | 0:00 |
| A. Romanov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 0 | 28:51 | 0:00 |
| T. DeAngelo | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 27:34 | 1:58 |
| A. Pelech | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 25:19 | 0:00 |
| A. Boqvist | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:48 | 1:30 |
| S. Perunovich | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:20 | 0:02 |
| D. Cholowski | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:25 | 0:30 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Sorokin | 34 | 33 | 1 | .971 | 60:00 | Win |
| J. Skarek | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | VGK 2.8, NYI 2.6 | VGK 1, NYI 2 |
| Total goals | 5.4 | 3 |
| Shots on goal | VGK 29.2, NYI 27.8 | VGK 34, NYI 14 |
| Win chance | VGK 53% | NYI won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK J. Eichel | 3.4 | 2 | 1.06 | 0 | 32% | 0 |
| NYI B. Horvat | 3.0 | 1 | 0.78 | 1 | 32% | 1 |
| NYI A. Lee | 2.7 | 0 | 0.64 | 0 | 28% | 0 |
| VGK P. Dorofeyev | 2.6 | 4 | 0.58 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| NYI B. Nelson | 2.5 | 2 | 0.76 | 1 | 31% | 1 |
| VGK S. Theodore | 2.2 | 4 | 0.73 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| NYI T. DeAngelo | 2.1 | 1 | 0.53 | 1 | 11% | 0 |
| VGK T. Hertl | 2.1 | 3 | 0.59 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| VGK M. Stone | 2.1 | 2 | 0.93 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| VGK A. Pietrangelo | 2.0 | 1 | 0.48 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| NYI K. Palmieri | 1.9 | 0 | 0.59 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| VGK N. Hanifin | 1.8 | 2 | 0.41 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| VGK B. Saad | 1.7 | 3 | 0.41 | 1 | 20% | 1 |
| NYI A. Pelech | 1.6 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| VGK V. Olofsson | 1.6 | 2 | 0.43 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| NYI A. Romanov | 1.6 | 1 | 0.32 | 1 | 6% | 0 |
| NYI A. Duclair | 1.6 | 1 | 0.53 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| VGK I. Barbashev | 1.6 | 2 | 0.62 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| NYI J. Pageau | 1.5 | 1 | 0.45 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| VGK B. Howden | 1.4 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| VGK B. McNabb | 1.3 | 2 | 0.28 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| NYI M. Tsyplakov | 1.3 | 0 | 0.40 | 1 | 14% | 0 |
| VGK N. Roy | 1.2 | 1 | 0.38 | 1 | 13% | 0 |
| NYI C. Cizikas | 1.2 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| NYI M. Gatcomb | 1.2 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| VGK N. Hague | 1.2 | 2 | 0.16 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| NYI S. Holmstrom | 1.2 | 0 | 0.48 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| VGK A. Holtz | 1.1 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| VGK K. Kolesar | 1.1 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| NYI A. Boqvist | 1.0 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| VGK K. Korczak | 0.9 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| VGK Z. Whitecloud | 0.9 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| NYI P. Engvall | 0.9 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| NYI D. Cholowski | 0.8 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| NYI K. MacLean | 0.8 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| NYI S. Perunovich | 0.6 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.