Game Recap: VGK 1, WPG 4, March 24, 2026

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Game Recap

VGK1

FinalTue, Mar 24, 2026Every game that night

WPG4

WPG beat VGK 4-1, with the chances close: 2.87 expected goals to 3.10. M. Scheifele led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). C. Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 27.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
VGK	0	1	0	1
WPG	1	2	1	4

1st 17:25WPGK. Connor0.11 xG
2nd 2:08WPGA. Iafallo0.12 xG
2nd 4:06WPGC. Perfetti0.24 xG
2nd 10:29VGKR. AnderssonPP0.06 xG
3rd 18:42WPGM. ScheifeleEN0.94 xG

Team Stats

VGKWPG

27Shots on goal21

3.10Expected goals2.87

61Shot attempts50

175v5 shots on goal14

1/4Power play0/4

11Hits22

14Blocked shots9

13Penalty minutes13

10Giveaways9

4Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

VGK 3.10 xGWPG 2.87 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

VGK27 on goal, 1 scored

WPG21 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

VGK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
I. Barbashev	LW	0	1	1	2	1	0	-2	0	16:55	1:17
B. Howden	C	0	1	1	0	2	0	-2	5	12:21	0:48
J. Eichel	C	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	22:37	6:04
M. Stone	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	21:57	5:56
M. Marner	RW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	21:29	5:43
P. Dorofeyev	RW	0	0	0	5	1	0	-1	0	17:30	6:05
C. Sissons	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	2	14:22	0:57
T. Hertl	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	14:12	5:36
R. Smith	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-2	0	12:54	0:00
N. Dowd	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	2	10:56	0:00
C. Smith	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	10:45	0:00
K. Kolesar	RW	0	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	8:08	0:00
R. Andersson	D	1	0	1	2	0	1	-1	0	19:35	0:50
N. Hanifin	D	0	0	0	0	0	5	-2	2	20:43	0:00
J. Lauzon	D	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	19:24	0:00
S. Theodore	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-2	0	19:19	3:09
B. McNabb	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	-2	0	16:46	0:00
K. Korczak	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	-1	0	15:07	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Hill	20	17	3	.850	57:00	Loss
A. Schmid	0	0	0	–	0:00

WPG Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Scheifele	C	1	2	3	3	1	0	+3	5	17:43	4:59
K. Connor	LW	1	1	2	2	0	1	+3	0	20:16	3:41
G. Vilardi	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	18:08	4:57
C. Perfetti	C	1	0	1	2	3	0	+1	0	15:34	4:42
A. Iafallo	LW	1	0	1	2	0	2	+2	2	14:28	0:10
A. Lowry	C	0	0	0	0	3	0	+1	0	16:31	0:12
C. Koepke	LW	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	16:10	0:03
J. Toews	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13:54	2:28
G. Nyquist	RW	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	13:48	2:52
M. Barron	C	0	0	0	2	2	0	+1	0	13:47	0:00
I. Rosen	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9:09	2:09
B. Lambert	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	8:57	2:10
J. Morrissey	D	0	1	1	2	1	0	+2	0	22:16	3:51
D. DeMelo	D	0	1	1	1	0	1	+3	0	18:43	0:00
D. Samberg	D	0	0	0	0	2	3	+1	2	22:28	0:20
N. Pionk	D	0	0	0	3	1	1	+2	2	20:57	3:08
E. Salomonsson	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	18:12	0:38
H. Fleury	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	11:24	0:10

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Hellebuyck	27	26	1	.963	60:00	Win
E. Comrie	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

VGK

Line 1I. Barbashev14:38J. Eichel14:29M. Stone14:21

Line 2N. Dowd9:04C. Smith8:59C. Sissons10:46

Line 3M. Marner13:13P. Dorofeyev11:21R. Smith10:45

Line 4T. Hertl8:34K. Kolesar8:08B. Howden7:24

Pair 1B. McNabb12:15S. Theodore14:18

Pair 2N. Hanifin16:36K. Korczak15:07

Pair 3R. Andersson15:33J. Lauzon15:04

WPG

Line 1A. Iafallo13:09K. Connor14:25M. Scheifele11:18

Line 2G. Vilardi13:11C. Perfetti10:52A. Lowry12:57

Line 3G. Nyquist10:56C. Koepke11:08J. Toews11:26

Line 4I. Rosen7:00B. Lambert6:47M. Barron8:53

Pair 1J. Morrissey16:52N. Pionk14:48

Pair 2D. Samberg18:40E. Salomonsson15:31

Pair 3D. DeMelo12:52H. Fleury9:50

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownBrett Howden VGK Plays near home (born in Oakbank)1 A, 0 SOG
HometownMark Stone VGK Plays in his hometown2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	VGK 2.8, WPG 2.7	VGK 1, WPG 4
Total goals	5.6	5
Shots on goal	VGK 26.9, WPG 23.9	VGK 27, WPG 21
Win chance	VGK 52%	WPG won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
WPG K. Connor	3.2	2	1.17	2	38%	1
VGK J. Eichel	3.0	4	1.00	0	28%	0
VGK P. Dorofeyev	2.7	5	0.67	0	30%	0
WPG C. Perfetti	2.2	2	0.64	1	22%	1
WPG M. Scheifele	2.2	3	1.15	3	37%	1
VGK T. Hertl	2.1	3	0.65	0	24%	0
VGK M. Marner	1.9	3	1.01	0	25%	0
VGK R. Andersson	1.8	2	0.37	1	9%	1
WPG J. Morrissey	1.8	2	0.74	1	14%	0
VGK M. Stone	1.7	2	0.85	0	24%	0
WPG G. Vilardi	1.7	0	0.74	1	29%	0
VGK S. Theodore	1.7	0	0.56	0	9%	0
WPG N. Pionk	1.6	3	0.40	0	8%	0
VGK N. Hanifin	1.5	0	0.34	0	7%	0
VGK I. Barbashev	1.4	2	0.55	1	19%	0
WPG A. Iafallo	1.4	2	0.39	1	17%	1
WPG M. Barron	1.4	2	0.34	0	14%	0
VGK B. McNabb	1.3	0	0.23	0	5%	0
VGK R. Smith	1.2	2	0.37	0	15%	0
WPG A. Lowry	1.2	0	0.41	0	17%	0
WPG D. Samberg	1.2	0	0.27	0	4%	0
WPG E. Salomonsson	1.2	1	0.20	0	5%	0
VGK C. Sissons	1.1	0	0.24	0	10%	0
WPG J. Toews	1.1	0	0.36	0	13%	0
VGK B. Howden	1.1	0	0.35	1	16%	0
WPG C. Koepke	1.0	1	0.22	0	10%	0
WPG G. Nyquist	1.0	1	0.35	0	12%	0
WPG I. Rosen	1.0	0	0.27	0	12%	0
VGK J. Lauzon	0.9	3	0.14	0	3%	0
VGK C. Smith	0.9	0	0.17	0	8%	0
WPG B. Lambert	0.9	1	0.39	0	12%	0
WPG D. DeMelo	0.9	1	0.24	1	4%	0
VGK K. Kolesar	0.8	1	0.25	0	9%	0
VGK K. Korczak	0.7	0	0.18	0	3%	0
VGK N. Dowd	0.7	0	0.22	0	10%	0
WPG H. Fleury	0.7	0	0.12	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.