Game Recap: WSH 1, BOS 3, March 7, 2026

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Game Recap

WSH1

FinalSat, Mar 7, 2026Every game that night

BOS3

BOS beat WSH 3-1, and the chances backed it up: 4.10 expected goals to 3.15. D. Pastrnak led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). J. Swayman stopped 22 of 23.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WSH	0	1	0	1
BOS	0	1	2	3

2nd 4:07BOSP. ZachaPP0.31 xG
2nd 7:21WSHA. Protas0.13 xG
3rd 4:28BOSV. Arvidsson0.28 xG
3rd 19:36BOSE. LindholmEN0.76 xG

Team Stats

WSHBOS

23Shots on goal30

3.15Expected goals4.10

52Shot attempts65

145v5 shots on goal17

0/3Power play1/6

18Hits21

20Blocked shots13

12Penalty minutes6

13Giveaways18

5Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 3.15 xGBOS 4.10 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH21 on goal, 1 scored

BOS29 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Protas	LW	1	0	1	2	1	0	-1	2	18:19	0:17
R. Leonard	RW	0	1	1	1	1	0	+1	0	13:18	3:27
T. Wilson	RW	0	0	0	2	1	1	-2	2	21:34	3:08
P. Dubois	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-2	0	18:39	2:38
A. Ovechkin	LW	0	0	0	2	2	0	-1	0	18:22	5:40
D. Strome	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	17:37	3:12
C. McMichael	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	17:19	2:16
A. Beauvillier	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	14:25	0:07
J. Sourdif	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	4	13:45	0:01
B. Duhaime	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	9:44	0:00
E. Frank	RW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	9:36	2:01
H. Lapierre	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5:39	0:00
J. Chychrun	D	0	1	1	5	2	5	-1	0	24:40	3:36
R. Sandin	D	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	20:51	2:04
M. Fehérváry	D	0	0	0	1	1	7	0	0	20:35	0:07
M. Roy	D	0	0	0	3	5	1	0	0	20:16	0:21
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	15:06	0:00
D. Chisholm	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	11:38	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Thompson	29	27	2	.931	58:06	Loss
C. Lindgren	0	0	0	–	0:00

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	2	2	6	1	0	+1	2	20:56	7:43
E. Lindholm	C	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	21:36	6:53
P. Zacha	C	1	0	1	3	0	0	+1	0	15:44	6:57
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	0	13:57	3:13
V. Arvidsson	LW	1	0	1	3	1	0	+1	0	13:48	3:25
M. Geekie	C	0	0	0	2	1	1	-1	0	18:12	7:12
F. Minten	C	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	15:34	3:15
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1	0	14:13	0:00
T. Jeannot	LW	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	13:14	0:00
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	2	2	2	0	0	12:37	0:00
S. Kuraly	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	12:36	0:00
A. Steeves	C	0	0	0	0	3	0	-1	0	10:31	1:45
C. McAvoy	D	0	1	1	3	1	2	+1	0	25:52	6:57
H. Lindholm	D	0	1	1	1	1	1	+1	2	18:02	0:45
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	2	18:46	0:01
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	18:36	0:03
M. Lohrei	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	15:54	3:21
J. Aspirot	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	13:52	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Swayman	23	22	1	.957	60:00	Win
J. Korpisalo	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WSH

Line 1P. Dubois13:16A. Protas13:05T. Wilson12:50

Line 2A. Ovechkin11:14D. Strome12:37A. Beauvillier9:53

Line 3C. McMichael9:36J. Sourdif12:40R. Leonard9:51

Line 4B. Duhaime7:08H. Lapierre5:39E. Frank7:35

Pair 1M. Roy12:55M. Fehérváry13:03

Pair 2J. Chychrun18:58R. Sandin15:33

Pair 3T. Riemsdyk11:45D. Chisholm11:22

BOS

Line 1E. Lindholm11:56D. Pastrnak11:31M. Khusnutdinov10:23

Line 2S. Kuraly10:36T. Jeannot11:17M. Kastelic10:17

Line 3V. Arvidsson9:57C. Mittelstadt10:18P. Zacha7:55

Line 4M. Geekie10:47F. Minten11:14A. Steeves8:46

Pair 1N. Zadorov16:21A. Peeke15:54

Pair 2H. Lindholm13:14M. Lohrei12:33

Pair 3C. McAvoy13:55J. Aspirot12:06

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

BirthdayDylan Strome WSH Turns 29 that day1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	WSH 3.3, BOS 3.2	WSH 1, BOS 3
Total goals	6.5	4
Shots on goal	WSH 29.1, BOS 27.5	WSH 23, BOS 30
Win chance	WSH 51%	BOS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.7	6	1.26	2	40%	0
WSH A. Ovechkin	3.0	2	0.83	0	34%	0
WSH J. Chychrun	3.0	5	0.73	1	22%	0
BOS V. Arvidsson	2.6	3	0.60	1	23%	1
WSH T. Wilson	2.2	2	0.79	0	30%	0
BOS M. Geekie	2.2	2	0.76	0	30%	0
WSH A. Protas	2.1	2	0.69	1	23%	1
WSH R. Leonard	2.1	1	0.52	1	17%	0
WSH A. Beauvillier	2.1	1	0.37	0	16%	0
WSH D. Strome	1.9	1	0.80	0	24%	0
WSH P. Dubois	1.9	0	0.63	0	21%	0
WSH C. McMichael	1.9	1	0.53	0	19%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.8	4	0.64	1	21%	1
BOS H. Lindholm	1.7	1	0.45	1	9%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.6	3	0.66	1	12%	0
WSH E. Frank	1.5	0	0.40	0	17%	0
BOS F. Minten	1.5	3	0.50	0	20%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.5	3	0.60	1	18%	1
WSH J. Sourdif	1.4	1	0.43	0	17%	0
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.3	1	0.55	1	18%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.3	0	0.25	0	10%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.2	3	0.30	0	5%	0
WSH R. Sandin	1.2	2	0.38	0	6%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	1.2	2	0.25	0	12%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.2	2	0.28	0	8%	0
BOS A. Steeves	1.1	0	0.32	0	14%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	1.0	0	0.36	0	14%	0
BOS T. Jeannot	1.0	0	0.28	0	11%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	1.0	0	0.34	0	8%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	1.0	1	0.32	0	7%	0
BOS A. Peeke	0.9	0	0.19	0	4%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	0.9	1	0.17	0	9%	0
WSH H. Lapierre	0.8	0	0.21	0	6%	0
WSH D. Chisholm	0.7	0	0.16	0	3%	0
BOS J. Aspirot	0.7	0	0.23	0	6%	0
WSH T. Riemsdyk	0.7	0	0.19	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.