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Game Recap
WSH2
CBJ1
WSH beat CBJ 2-1 in overtime, with the chances close: 3.29 expected goals to 3.53. A. Protas led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). T. Raddysh had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 1.4. C. Lindgren stopped 32 of 33.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| CBJ | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
- 2nd 14:12CBJZ. WerenskiPP0.06 xG
- 3rd 0:31WSHA. Protas0.21 xG
- OT 2:23WSHA. Protas0.04 xG
Team Stats
WSHCBJ
37Shots on goal33
3.29Expected goals3.53
73Shot attempts60
335v5 shots on goal20
0/1Power play1/5
12Hits19
14Blocked shots15
10Penalty minutes2
9Giveaways16
6Takeaways3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
WSH 3.29 xGCBJ 3.53 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
WSH Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Protas | LW | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:12 | 0:00 |
| D. Strome | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:25 | 1:08 |
| P. Dubois | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:50 | 0:05 |
| C. McMichael | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:30 | 1:13 |
| T. Wilson | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:26 | 1:08 |
| T. Raddysh | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 | 0:00 |
| L. Eller | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:18 | 0:00 |
| N. Dowd | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:56 | 0:05 |
| B. Duhaime | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 | 0:00 |
| A. Mangiapane | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 | 0:00 |
| H. Lapierre | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:55 | 0:00 |
| I. Miroshnichenko | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:36 | 0:00 |
| J. Chychrun | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:03 | 1:13 |
| J. Carlson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 22:55 | 1:13 |
| M. Roy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:54 | 0:00 |
| R. Sandin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:21 | 0:00 |
| M. Fehérváry | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:28 | 0:00 |
| T. van Riemsdyk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:10 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lindgren | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 62:23 | Win |
| L. Thompson | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
CBJ Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Monahan | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:25 | 5:39 |
| K. Johnson | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:19 | 5:36 |
| K. Marchenko | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:03 | 5:22 |
| D. Voronkov | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:26 | 5:20 |
| A. Fantilli | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 17:07 | 1:15 |
| J. van Riemsdyk | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:00 | 1:10 |
| M. Olivier | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 16:05 | 0:22 |
| C. Sillinger | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:01 | 0:57 |
| Z. Aston-Reese | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 15:26 | 0:22 |
| S. Kuraly | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:46 | 0:00 |
| K. Labanc | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:46 | 1:08 |
| M. Pyyhtia | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:33 | 0:00 |
| Z. Werenski | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27:47 | 5:49 |
| D. Fabbro | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23:03 | 0:00 |
| I. Provorov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 22:08 | 1:08 |
| D. Severson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 20:49 | 0:32 |
| J. Christiansen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 | 0:00 |
| J. Johnson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:07 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Greaves | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 62:23 | OT loss |
| E. Merzlikins | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WSH 3.4, CBJ 3.1 | WSH 2, CBJ 1 |
| Total goals | 6.5 | 3 |
| Shots on goal | WSH 28.7, CBJ 30.2 | WSH 37, CBJ 33 |
| Win chance | WSH 54% | WSH won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ Z. Werenski | 3.1 | 6 | 0.80 | 1 | 18% | 1 |
| WSH C. McMichael | 2.5 | 2 | 0.71 | 0 | 30% | 0 |
| WSH J. Chychrun | 2.4 | 2 | 0.56 | 2 | 16% | 0 |
| CBJ K. Marchenko | 2.3 | 5 | 0.67 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| WSH J. Carlson | 2.3 | 2 | 0.68 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| CBJ S. Monahan | 2.2 | 5 | 0.74 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| WSH T. Wilson | 2.2 | 3 | 0.69 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| CBJ D. Voronkov | 2.1 | 2 | 0.57 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| CBJ A. Fantilli | 2.0 | 2 | 0.54 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| CBJ K. Johnson | 2.0 | 1 | 0.67 | 1 | 23% | 0 |
| CBJ C. Sillinger | 2.0 | 3 | 0.45 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| WSH D. Strome | 1.8 | 2 | 0.99 | 1 | 29% | 0 |
| WSH P. Dubois | 1.7 | 3 | 0.67 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| WSH A. Protas | 1.7 | 4 | 0.58 | 2 | 16% | 2 |
| CBJ D. Severson | 1.6 | 0 | 0.46 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| WSH M. Roy | 1.6 | 2 | 0.35 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| WSH A. Mangiapane | 1.5 | 1 | 0.49 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| CBJ D. Fabbro | 1.5 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Riemsdyk | 1.5 | 1 | 0.43 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| WSH L. Eller | 1.5 | 4 | 0.38 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| CBJ Z. Aston-Reese | 1.5 | 2 | 0.29 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| WSH T. Raddysh | 1.4 | 6 | 0.36 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| CBJ I. Provorov | 1.3 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| CBJ M. Olivier | 1.2 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| WSH B. Duhaime | 1.2 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| WSH T. Riemsdyk | 1.2 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WSH N. Dowd | 1.1 | 0 | 0.40 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| WSH R. Sandin | 1.1 | 2 | 0.42 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| CBJ K. Labanc | 1.1 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| WSH I. Miroshnichenko | 1.0 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| WSH M. Fehérváry | 1.0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| CBJ S. Kuraly | 1.0 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| WSH H. Lapierre | 0.9 | 0 | 0.38 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| CBJ M. Pyyhtia | 0.9 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Christiansen | 0.9 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Johnson | 0.7 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 24 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.