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Game Recap
WSH2
FinalTue, Apr 14, 2026Every game that night
CBJ1

WSH beat CBJ 2-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.53 expected goals to 2.40. C. Stevenson stopped 27 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
WSH0112
CBJ0101
  1. 2nd 0:27CBJB. Jenner0.15 xG
  2. 2nd 10:46WSHA. Beauvillier0.21 xG
  3. 3rd 15:53WSHJ. ChychrunPP0.08 xG

Team Stats

WSHCBJ
21Shots on goal28
3.53Expected goals2.40
54Shot attempts50
135v5 shots on goal23
1/3Power play0/1
14Hits3
11Blocked shots16
0Penalty minutes6
12Giveaways23
2Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 3.53 xGCBJ 2.40 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdCBJ goal, 0:27WSH goal, 10:46WSH goal, 15:53

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH21 on goal, 2 scored
CBJ27 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. OvechkinLW011410-1018:485:44
A. BeauvillierRW1013000016:500:03
T. WilsonRW0112000016:391:49
D. StromeC000200-1016:423:56
A. ProtasLW0002000016:300:00
C. McMichaelLW0000010016:261:47
I. ProtasLW0001010016:063:45
J. SourdifC000000+1016:053:21
R. LeonardRW000221+1016:052:26
H. LapierreC0000100013:180:01
I. MiroshnichenkoLW0000100010:360:00
B. DuhaimeLW0001300010:010:00
J. ChychrunD1011000023:052:29
T. van RiemsdykD0110020020:030:00
M. RoyD0000010019:580:15
C. HutsonD0001310019:543:19
M. FehérváryD0001020018:170:00
D. McIlrathD0001320013:040:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Stevenson28271.96459:37Win
L. Thompson000–0:00

CBJ Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarchmentLW011300+1216:151:47
B. JennerC101403+1014:120:00
D. HeinenLW011100+1010:450:00
A. FantilliC000000-1021:171:34
K. MarchenkoRW0004000019:001:36
C. CoyleC0002010018:481:36
I. LundestromC000001-1015:390:00
S. MonahanC0001100014:400:24
C. SillingerC0000100014:010:00
C. GarlandRW0000000013:360:24
K. JohnsonC0001010210:510:26
M. WoodLW000100-129:560:00
Z. WerenskiD000302-1025:591:34
I. ProvorovD000401+1024:070:26
D. FabbroD0001120019:350:00
E. GudbransonD000104+1018:410:00
D. MateychukD0001000018:160:13
J. ChristiansenD000101-1010:110:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Greaves21192.90558:24Loss
E. Merzlikins000–0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WSH

Line 3T. Wilson12:10A. Protas14:45I. Protas11:03
Pair 1T. Riemsdyk18:25J. Chychrun19:00
Pair 2C. Hutson16:08M. Roy17:40

CBJ

Line 2C. Garland13:08C. Sillinger12:50C. Coyle12:46
Line 3S. Monahan10:53K. Johnson10:02M. Wood9:33
Line 4B. Jenner11:21M. Marchment12:52D. Heinen10:06
Pair 1Z. Werenski22:24D. Fabbro17:33
Pair 2I. Provorov19:56D. Mateychuk15:52

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamBoone Jenner WSH First game back in Columbus, his team until Apr 20261 G, 4 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

We projectedIt finished
ScoreWSH 3.1, CBJ 3.2WSH 2, CBJ 1
Total goals6.33
Shots on goalWSH 26.1, CBJ 29.5WSH 21, CBJ 28
Win chanceCBJ 52%WSH won

Players

PlayerSOG projectedSOGPoints projectedPointsGoal chanceGoals
CBJ Z. Werenski3.331.04023%0
WSH A. Ovechkin2.940.81134%0
CBJ K. Marchenko2.840.87031%0
CBJ A. Fantilli2.700.78029%0
WSH J. Chychrun2.310.58122%1
CBJ M. Marchment2.030.76127%0
CBJ B. Jenner1.940.50121%1
CBJ C. Coyle1.920.70023%0
WSH T. Wilson1.920.71128%0
WSH R. Leonard1.920.50019%0
WSH A. Protas1.820.63022%0
WSH A. Beauvillier1.830.36116%1
WSH C. McMichael1.700.54020%0
CBJ I. Provorov1.640.3809%0
CBJ C. Sillinger1.600.38012%0
CBJ S. Monahan1.610.53018%0
WSH D. Strome1.520.70023%0
WSH J. Sourdif1.400.51019%0
WSH C. Hutson1.410.49010%0
CBJ C. Garland1.400.37014%0
CBJ K. Johnson1.310.37014%0
CBJ M. Wood1.210.22010%0
WSH M. Roy1.100.2706%0
CBJ D. Mateychuk1.110.37013%0
CBJ D. Heinen1.010.33114%0
CBJ D. Fabbro1.010.2408%0
CBJ E. Gudbranson0.910.1905%0
WSH I. Miroshnichenko0.900.2008%0
WSH M. Fehérváry0.910.3108%0
WSH B. Duhaime0.910.1709%0
WSH T. Riemsdyk0.900.2414%0
WSH H. Lapierre0.800.2909%0
CBJ I. Lundestrom0.800.2008%0
CBJ J. Christiansen0.510.0801%0
WSH D. McIlrath0.410.0802%0

Shots on goal: 23 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.