Game Recap: WSH 3, CGY 1, January 23, 2026

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Game Recap

WSH3

FinalFri, Jan 23, 2026Every game that night

CGY1

WSH beat CGY 3-1, and the chances backed it up: 5.30 expected goals to 1.85. WSH outshot CGY 38 to 26. M. Fehérváry led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). R. Leonard had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.0. L. Thompson stopped 25 of 26.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WSH	0	1	2	3
CGY	1	0	0	1

1st 6:09CGYM. FrostPP0.12 xG
2nd 6:33WSHH. Lapierre0.11 xG
3rd 7:35WSHA. Protas0.07 xG
3rd 19:07WSHA. OvechkinEN0.50 xG

Team Stats

WSHCGY

38Shots on goal26

5.30Expected goals1.85

78Shot attempts66

245v5 shots on goal22

0/3Power play1/2

17Hits21

22Blocked shots17

16Penalty minutes18

18Giveaways15

3Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 5.30 xGCGY 1.85 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH38 on goal, 3 scored

CGY25 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Protas	LW	1	0	1	3	1	2	+1	0	19:12	0:00
D. Strome	C	0	1	1	4	0	1	+1	0	18:07	4:38
A. Ovechkin	LW	1	0	1	6	1	0	+1	0	17:49	5:48
J. Sourdif	C	0	1	1	3	0	2	+1	0	16:55	2:20
T. Wilson	RW	0	1	1	3	5	0	+1	10	16:30	3:25
H. Lapierre	C	1	0	1	3	0	0	+1	2	9:32	0:15
R. Leonard	RW	0	0	0	5	2	0	0	2	18:12	5:20
N. Dowd	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16:31	0:00
E. Frank	RW	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	13:50	0:37
A. Beauvillier	RW	0	0	0	2	1	0	+1	0	13:48	0:00
C. McMichael	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	12:30	1:21
B. Duhaime	LW	0	0	0	0	2	2	+2	0	9:14	0:00
M. Fehérváry	D	0	2	2	2	1	1	+2	0	18:59	0:01
J. Carlson	D	0	1	1	2	0	1	+1	2	20:28	2:42
M. Roy	D	0	0	0	1	3	1	+1	0	19:42	0:15
R. Sandin	D	0	0	0	1	0	4	+1	0	19:38	0:20
J. Chychrun	D	0	0	0	2	1	2	+1	0	19:09	2:58
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	16:24	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Thompson	26	25	1	.962	59:52	Win
C. Lindgren	0	0	0	–	0:00

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Zary	C	0	1	1	0	1	1	-1	0	14:24	0:49
M. Frost	C	1	0	1	1	2	0	-2	0	10:13	0:56
M. Backlund	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	20:14	0:44
Y. Sharangovich	C	0	0	0	5	0	3	0	0	20:13	0:56
J. Farabee	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	18:59	0:00
N. Kadri	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-2	0	18:26	0:54
J. Huberdeau	LW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-2	0	16:41	0:51
M. Coronato	RW	0	0	0	0	1	1	-2	0	15:05	0:49
M. Pospisil	C	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	13:07	0:00
A. Klapka	RW	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	12	9:26	0:00
M. Gridin	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	9:09	0:42
R. Lomberg	LW	0	0	0	3	1	0	-1	0	8:59	0:00
K. Bahl	D	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	25:46	0:06
Z. Whitecloud	D	0	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	25:16	0:00
M. Weegar	D	0	0	0	2	0	5	-2	0	22:46	1:32
Y. Kuznetsov	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	-1	4	20:06	0:00
J. Hanley	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	13:08	0:00
B. Pachal	D	0	0	0	0	3	0	-1	0	11:42	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Cooley	37	35	2	.946	58:20	Loss
D. Wolf	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WSH

Line 1J. Sourdif14:28A. Protas16:47T. Wilson12:37

Line 2D. Strome12:01R. Leonard12:06C. McMichael10:05

Line 3N. Dowd14:22E. Frank13:02A. Ovechkin11:42

Line 4A. Beauvillier11:56H. Lapierre8:39B. Duhaime8:20

Pair 1T. Riemsdyk15:40R. Sandin16:38

Pair 2J. Chychrun15:22M. Roy18:17

Pair 3J. Carlson15:39M. Fehérváry15:54

CGY

Line 1M. Backlund15:02Y. Sharangovich15:15J. Farabee14:46

Line 2N. Kadri15:40J. Huberdeau13:14M. Coronato13:23

Line 3M. Pospisil10:42C. Zary13:04M. Gridin8:27

Line 4R. Lomberg8:20M. Frost8:21A. Klapka9:26

Pair 1K. Bahl19:19Z. Whitecloud20:18

Pair 2M. Weegar16:40Y. Kuznetsov18:27

Pair 3J. Hanley11:37B. Pachal11:34

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownLogan Thompson WSH Plays in his hometown25 saves on 26, the win

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	WSH 3.2, CGY 3.0	WSH 3, CGY 1
Total goals	6.3	4
Shots on goal	WSH 28.4, CGY 29.9	WSH 38, CGY 26
Win chance	WSH 53%	WSH won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
WSH A. Ovechkin	3.2	6	0.90	1	37%	1
CGY N. Kadri	2.9	1	0.76	0	27%	0
WSH J. Chychrun	2.8	2	0.60	0	19%	0
CGY M. Backlund	2.5	1	0.56	0	19%	0
CGY M. Coronato	2.2	0	0.53	0	22%	0
WSH A. Protas	2.1	3	0.67	1	23%	1
WSH A. Beauvillier	2.1	2	0.36	0	16%	0
WSH D. Strome	2.1	4	0.86	1	27%	0
WSH T. Wilson	2.0	3	0.70	1	28%	0
CGY Y. Sharangovich	2.0	5	0.54	0	24%	0
WSH J. Carlson	2.0	2	0.62	1	11%	0
CGY M. Weegar	2.0	2	0.45	0	10%	0
WSH R. Leonard	2.0	5	0.56	0	17%	0
WSH C. McMichael	1.9	1	0.55	0	21%	0
CGY J. Farabee	1.9	1	0.40	0	18%	0
CGY C. Zary	1.8	0	0.49	1	19%	0
WSH E. Frank	1.8	0	0.49	0	21%	0
CGY M. Gridin	1.7	0	0.37	0	15%	0
CGY J. Huberdeau	1.6	3	0.62	0	20%	0
CGY M. Frost	1.6	1	0.43	1	15%	1
WSH J. Sourdif	1.5	3	0.49	1	19%	0
CGY M. Pospisil	1.4	4	0.30	0	9%	0
CGY A. Klapka	1.3	2	0.31	0	15%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.2	1	0.28	0	5%	0
WSH R. Sandin	1.1	1	0.31	0	5%	0
CGY K. Bahl	1.0	2	0.27	0	5%	0
CGY Y. Kuznetsov	1.0	1	0.24	0	8%	0
CGY R. Lomberg	1.0	3	0.18	0	8%	0
WSH N. Dowd	1.0	0	0.32	0	14%	0
CGY Z. Whitecloud	0.9	0	0.23	0	7%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	0.9	2	0.26	2	6%	0
CGY B. Pachal	0.7	0	0.14	0	3%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	0.7	0	0.14	0	8%	0
WSH H. Lapierre	0.6	3	0.17	1	5%	1
WSH T. Riemsdyk	0.6	0	0.16	0	2%	0
CGY J. Hanley	0.5	0	0.13	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.