WSH beat CHI 5-1 despite fewer good chances: 2.33 expected goals to 3.24. C. McMichael led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). L. Thompson stopped 23 of 24.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| CHI | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
- 1st 4:03WSHA. Beauvillier0.09 xG
- 1st 15:07WSHC. McMichael0.16 xG
- 1st 18:54WSHE. Frank0.16 xG
- 2nd 8:48CHIO. MoorePP0.07 xG
- 2nd 12:38WSHJ. Sourdif0.11 xG
- 3rd 13:33WSHA. Ovechkin0.22 xG
Team Stats
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
WSH 2.33 xGCHI 3.24 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
WSH Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McMichael | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:49 | 3:00 |
| R. Leonard | RW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:17 | 1:47 |
| A. Beauvillier | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:54 | 0:28 |
| E. Frank | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:47 | 3:05 |
| N. Dowd | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 16:18 | 0:18 |
| J. Sourdif | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:31 | 3:06 |
| A. Ovechkin | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:43 | 4:00 |
| A. Protas | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:12 | 0:00 |
| D. Strome | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:12 | 2:01 |
| B. Duhaime | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:48 | 0:29 |
| B. Leason | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:49 | 0:26 |
| H. Lapierre | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:45 | 0:59 |
| J. Carlson | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 19:43 | 1:56 |
| M. Fehérváry | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 2 | 17:59 | 0:00 |
| M. Roy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:00 | 0:12 |
| J. Chychrun | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:05 | 1:49 |
| R. Sandin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:28 | 2:57 |
| D. Chisholm | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:43 | 0:32 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Thompson | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 60:00 | Win |
| C. Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
CHI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Moore | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 14:10 | 2:06 |
| N. Lardis | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 12:01 | 2:06 |
| T. Teravainen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 19:50 | 4:36 |
| R. Greene | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 18:52 | 2:08 |
| C. Bedard | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 17:07 | 4:32 |
| A. Burakovsky | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 16:53 | 4:37 |
| T. Bertuzzi | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 15:49 | 4:36 |
| J. Dickinson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:17 | 0:00 |
| N. Foligno | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 | 2:07 |
| R. Donato | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:52 | 0:00 |
| L. Slaggert | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:56 | 0:00 |
| C. Dach | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:46 | 0:00 |
| M. Grzelcyk | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 15:15 | 2:02 |
| A. Levshunov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 24:42 | 4:40 |
| W. Kaiser | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 20:22 | 0:00 |
| C. Murphy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:10 | 0:00 |
| A. Vlasic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:47 | 0:00 |
| K. Korchinski | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 13:53 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Commesso | 24 | 19 | 5 | .792 | 60:00 | Loss |
| D. Nozzolillo | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
WSH
CHI
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WSH 3.4, CHI 2.9 | WSH 5, CHI 1 |
| Total goals | 6.3 | 6 |
| Shots on goal | WSH 28.4, CHI 26.7 | WSH 24, CHI 24 |
| Win chance | WSH 57% | WSH won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH A. Ovechkin | 3.1 | 4 | 0.94 | 1 | 39% | 1 |
| WSH J. Chychrun | 3.0 | 1 | 0.69 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| CHI C. Bedard | 2.8 | 4 | 0.91 | 0 | 28% | 0 |
| WSH R. Leonard | 2.4 | 0 | 0.67 | 2 | 21% | 0 |
| WSH A. Beauvillier | 2.4 | 3 | 0.44 | 1 | 19% | 1 |
| WSH C. McMichael | 2.3 | 3 | 0.68 | 2 | 24% | 1 |
| CHI R. Donato | 2.1 | 1 | 0.60 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| CHI T. Bertuzzi | 2.1 | 4 | 0.64 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| WSH D. Strome | 2.0 | 1 | 0.93 | 0 | 28% | 0 |
| WSH J. Carlson | 2.0 | 0 | 0.69 | 2 | 14% | 0 |
| WSH A. Protas | 1.9 | 1 | 0.69 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| WSH J. Sourdif | 1.7 | 1 | 0.56 | 1 | 21% | 1 |
| CHI A. Burakovsky | 1.7 | 2 | 0.63 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| CHI R. Greene | 1.6 | 1 | 0.39 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| CHI N. Lardis | 1.6 | 2 | 0.27 | 1 | 15% | 0 |
| WSH E. Frank | 1.6 | 1 | 0.43 | 1 | 18% | 1 |
| CHI A. Levshunov | 1.4 | 2 | 0.47 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CHI T. Teravainen | 1.3 | 0 | 0.56 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| WSH M. Roy | 1.3 | 1 | 0.34 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| CHI J. Dickinson | 1.3 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| CHI N. Foligno | 1.3 | 1 | 0.39 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| CHI O. Moore | 1.2 | 2 | 0.37 | 1 | 11% | 1 |
| CHI W. Kaiser | 1.2 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| WSH M. Fehérváry | 1.1 | 1 | 0.32 | 2 | 8% | 0 |
| WSH R. Sandin | 1.1 | 0 | 0.35 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| WSH N. Dowd | 1.1 | 2 | 0.35 | 1 | 16% | 0 |
| CHI M. Grzelcyk | 1.1 | 0 | 0.32 | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| CHI C. Murphy | 1.0 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CHI L. Slaggert | 1.0 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| CHI C. Dach | 1.0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| CHI K. Korchinski | 1.0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| WSH B. Leason | 1.0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| CHI A. Vlasic | 0.9 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| WSH D. Chisholm | 0.9 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| WSH B. Duhaime | 0.7 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| WSH H. Lapierre | 0.6 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.