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Game Recap
WSH5
FinalFri, Jan 9, 2026Every game that night
CHI1

WSH beat CHI 5-1 despite fewer good chances: 2.33 expected goals to 3.24. C. McMichael led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). L. Thompson stopped 23 of 24.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
WSH3115
CHI0101
  1. 1st 4:03WSHA. Beauvillier0.09 xG
  2. 1st 15:07WSHC. McMichael0.16 xG
  3. 1st 18:54WSHE. Frank0.16 xG
  4. 2nd 8:48CHIO. MoorePP0.07 xG
  5. 2nd 12:38WSHJ. Sourdif0.11 xG
  6. 3rd 13:33WSHA. Ovechkin0.22 xG

Team Stats

WSHCHI
24Shots on goal24
2.33Expected goals3.24
43Shot attempts49
195v5 shots on goal16
0/3Power play1/4
13Hits23
9Blocked shots6
8Penalty minutes6
16Giveaways19
5Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 2.33 xGCHI 3.24 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdWSH goal, 4:03WSH goal, 15:07WSH goal, 18:54CHI goal, 8:48WSH goal, 12:38WSH goal, 13:33

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH24 on goal, 5 scored
CHI23 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. McMichaelLW112300+2014:493:00
R. LeonardRW022000+2013:171:47
A. BeauvillierRW101310+2017:540:28
E. FrankRW101101+2016:473:05
N. DowdC011210+2216:180:18
J. SourdifC101111+2215:313:06
A. OvechkinLW101431+1014:434:00
A. ProtasLW000100+1016:120:00
D. StromeC000100+1015:122:01
B. DuhaimeLW0001410212:480:29
B. LeasonRW0000100010:490:26
H. LapierreC0001000010:450:59
J. CarlsonD022010+3019:431:56
M. FehérváryD022111+4217:590:00
M. RoyD000100+1022:000:12
J. ChychrunD000101+1020:051:49
R. SandinD0000020019:282:57
D. ChisholmD000301+1017:430:32
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
L. Thompson24231.95860:00Win
C. Lindgren000–0:00

CHI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
O. MooreC101210-3014:102:06
N. LardisLW011210-3212:012:06
T. TeravainenC000000-1019:504:36
R. GreeneC000100-1218:522:08
C. BedardC000400-1017:074:32
A. BurakovskyLW000201-2016:534:37
T. BertuzziLW000410-2015:494:36
J. DickinsonC000020-1014:170:00
N. FolignoLW0001410013:532:07
R. DonatoC000110-1013:520:00
L. SlaggertLW0002510212:560:00
C. DachC0000400011:460:00
M. GrzelcykD011000-2015:152:02
A. LevshunovD000230-3024:424:40
W. KaiserD000010-2020:220:00
C. MurphyD0002020020:100:00
A. VlasicD0001000018:470:00
K. KorchinskiD000001-3013:530:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Commesso24195.79260:00Loss
D. Nozzolillo000–0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WSH

Line 1A. Beauvillier15:11N. Dowd13:39E. Frank13:42
Line 2B. Leason10:23H. Lapierre9:46B. Duhaime11:28
Line 3A. Ovechkin10:43D. Strome13:09A. Protas12:53
Pair 1J. Chychrun17:33M. Roy17:51
Pair 2R. Sandin14:39D. Chisholm17:11
Pair 3J. Carlson14:34M. Fehérváry14:19

CHI

Line 2R. Greene14:46A. Burakovsky12:16C. Bedard12:35
Line 3N. Foligno11:46L. Slaggert10:56C. Dach11:46
Line 4N. Lardis9:55O. Moore10:44T. Teravainen12:47
Pair 1C. Murphy17:38A. Vlasic16:28
Pair 2W. Kaiser17:13A. Levshunov17:11
Pair 3M. Grzelcyk13:13K. Korchinski13:53

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

We projectedIt finished
ScoreWSH 3.4, CHI 2.9WSH 5, CHI 1
Total goals6.36
Shots on goalWSH 28.4, CHI 26.7WSH 24, CHI 24
Win chanceWSH 57%WSH won

Players

PlayerSOG projectedSOGPoints projectedPointsGoal chanceGoals
WSH A. Ovechkin3.140.94139%1
WSH J. Chychrun3.010.69023%0
CHI C. Bedard2.840.91028%0
WSH R. Leonard2.400.67221%0
WSH A. Beauvillier2.430.44119%1
WSH C. McMichael2.330.68224%1
CHI R. Donato2.110.60024%0
CHI T. Bertuzzi2.140.64027%0
WSH D. Strome2.010.93028%0
WSH J. Carlson2.000.69214%0
WSH A. Protas1.910.69023%0
WSH J. Sourdif1.710.56121%1
CHI A. Burakovsky1.720.63020%0
CHI R. Greene1.610.39013%0
CHI N. Lardis1.620.27115%0
WSH E. Frank1.610.43118%1
CHI A. Levshunov1.420.4705%0
CHI T. Teravainen1.300.56019%0
WSH M. Roy1.310.3406%0
CHI J. Dickinson1.300.32015%0
CHI N. Foligno1.310.39014%0
CHI O. Moore1.220.37111%1
CHI W. Kaiser1.200.2207%0
WSH M. Fehérváry1.110.3228%0
WSH R. Sandin1.100.3506%0
WSH N. Dowd1.120.35116%0
CHI M. Grzelcyk1.100.3213%0
CHI C. Murphy1.020.2105%0
CHI L. Slaggert1.020.23010%0
CHI C. Dach1.000.2109%0
CHI K. Korchinski1.000.1706%0
WSH B. Leason1.000.2109%0
CHI A. Vlasic0.910.2404%0
WSH D. Chisholm0.930.1804%0
WSH B. Duhaime0.710.19010%0
WSH H. Lapierre0.610.2006%0

Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.