Game Recap: WSH 2, DET 3 (OT), December 21, 2025

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

WSH2

Final/OTSun, Dec 21, 2025Every game that night

DET3

DET beat WSH 3-2 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.59 expected goals to 4.65. E. Frank led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Beauvillier had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.0. C. Talbot stopped 31 of 33.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
WSH	1	0	1	0	2
DET	0	2	0	1	3

1st 14:17WSHE. Frank0.13 xG
2nd 8:37DETL. RaymondPP0.07 xG
2nd 13:44DETJ. Leonard0.06 xG
3rd 10:22WSHE. Frank0.19 xG
OT 4:36DETM. Seider0.12 xG

Team Stats

WSHDET

33Shots on goal27

4.65Expected goals2.59

75Shot attempts55

315v5 shots on goal20

0/1Power play1/2

11Hits16

13Blocked shots18

4Penalty minutes2

11Giveaways17

3Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 4.65 xGDET 2.59 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH33 on goal, 2 scored

DET27 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
D. Strome	C	0	2	2	2	0	0	+1	2	20:36	0:56
E. Frank	RW	2	0	2	3	0	0	+2	0	15:44	1:04
A. Protas	LW	0	0	0	3	1	1	-1	0	21:14	0:00
T. Wilson	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	21:00	0:59
J. Sourdif	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	19:45	1:01
A. Ovechkin	LW	0	0	0	5	1	0	-1	0	17:28	1:58
C. McMichael	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	17:19	0:56
N. Dowd	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	16:53	0:00
A. Beauvillier	RW	0	0	0	5	1	0	+1	0	15:41	1:04
I. Miroshnichenko	LW	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	8:27	0:00
H. Lapierre	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7:23	0:00
B. Duhaime	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	6:36	0:00
J. Carlson	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	+2	0	24:40	1:04
J. Chychrun	D	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	0	24:08	0:56
M. Roy	D	0	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	21:10	0:00
M. Fehérváry	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	+2	0	19:07	0:00
R. Sandin	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-2	0	18:52	0:02
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	16:52	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Lindgren	27	24	3	.889	64:21	OT loss
L. Thompson	0	0	0	–	0:00

DET Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
E. Finnie	C	0	2	2	1	1	0	+1	0	19:14	0:40
A. Copp	C	0	2	2	2	1	0	0	0	15:19	0:26
L. Raymond	LW	1	0	1	5	0	2	0	0	21:13	2:59
A. DeBrincat	RW	0	1	1	3	0	0	-1	0	20:39	2:37
J. Leonard	LW	1	0	1	2	1	1	-1	0	14:00	0:00
D. Larkin	C	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	22:51	2:49
J. van Riemsdyk	LW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	14:55	0:54
J. Compher	LW	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	14:26	0:00
M. Appleton	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	13:08	0:00
N. Danielson	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	13:07	0:22
M. Rasmussen	C	0	0	0	2	1	2	0	0	12:23	0:00
E. Soderblom	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	8:34	0:00
M. Seider	D	1	0	1	2	0	4	+1	0	26:44	2:41
A. Sandin-Pellikka	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	-2	0	15:50	0:34
S. Edvinsson	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	25:54	0:00
B. Chiarot	D	0	0	0	0	3	1	-1	0	23:23	0:13
T. Hamonic	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	16:13	0:00
A. Johansson	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	16:02	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Talbot	33	31	2	.939	64:36	Win
J. Gibson	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WSH

Line 1A. Protas19:12T. Wilson18:04D. Strome17:35

Line 2C. McMichael15:56J. Sourdif17:29A. Ovechkin14:36

Line 3A. Beauvillier14:37E. Frank14:40N. Dowd14:52

Line 4I. Miroshnichenko8:27H. Lapierre7:22B. Duhaime6:36

Pair 1J. Chychrun21:57M. Roy19:20

Pair 2J. Carlson21:14M. Fehérváry17:03

Pair 3R. Sandin17:29T. Riemsdyk16:01

DET

Line 1D. Larkin17:20E. Finnie16:35L. Raymond16:49

Line 2A. Copp13:19J. Leonard14:00A. DeBrincat17:20

Line 3J. Riemsdyk14:01J. Compher13:42M. Rasmussen11:55

Line 4N. Danielson12:45M. Appleton12:46E. Soderblom8:34

Pair 1S. Edvinsson23:09M. Seider22:25

Pair 2B. Chiarot21:41A. Sandin-Pellikka15:09

Pair 3T. Hamonic15:19A. Johansson15:41

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	WSH 3.1, DET 3.0	WSH 2, DET 3
Total goals	6.1	5
Shots on goal	WSH 26.2, DET 29.3	WSH 33, DET 27
Win chance	DET 50%	DET won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DET A. DeBrincat	3.1	3	0.77	1	30%	0
DET D. Larkin	2.9	3	0.86	0	33%	0
WSH A. Ovechkin	2.9	5	0.90	0	37%	0
WSH J. Chychrun	2.8	4	0.66	0	21%	0
DET L. Raymond	2.3	5	0.84	1	26%	1
WSH T. Wilson	2.3	1	0.79	0	31%	0
DET M. Seider	2.0	2	0.54	1	9%	1
WSH A. Beauvillier	2.0	5	0.39	0	17%	0
DET E. Finnie	1.9	1	0.40	2	19%	0
WSH C. McMichael	1.9	2	0.57	0	22%	0
WSH A. Protas	1.9	3	0.64	0	23%	0
WSH J. Carlson	1.8	0	0.59	1	11%	0
DET J. Riemsdyk	1.7	0	0.45	0	19%	0
WSH D. Strome	1.7	2	0.84	2	26%	0
DET A. Copp	1.5	2	0.45	2	15%	0
WSH J. Sourdif	1.4	1	0.37	0	15%	0
WSH E. Frank	1.3	3	0.43	2	16%	2
DET B. Chiarot	1.3	0	0.22	0	7%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.2	1	0.32	0	6%	0
DET N. Danielson	1.2	2	0.28	0	10%	0
DET S. Edvinsson	1.2	1	0.36	0	10%	0
DET M. Rasmussen	1.2	2	0.29	0	14%	0
DET J. Leonard	1.2	2	0.19	1	11%	1
DET E. Soderblom	1.1	1	0.25	0	12%	0
DET M. Appleton	1.1	1	0.26	0	10%	0
DET J. Compher	1.1	1	0.31	0	13%	0
DET A. Sandin-Pellikka	1.1	0	0.32	1	8%	0
WSH R. Sandin	1.1	0	0.32	0	6%	0
DET T. Hamonic	1.0	0	0.14	0	4%	0
WSH N. Dowd	1.0	1	0.30	0	14%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	1.0	1	0.29	0	7%	0
WSH I. Miroshnichenko	0.9	1	0.20	0	8%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	0.8	1	0.20	0	10%	0
WSH T. Riemsdyk	0.8	1	0.23	0	3%	0
WSH H. Lapierre	0.7	1	0.24	0	7%	0
DET A. Johansson	0.7	1	0.13	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.