Game Recap: WSH 3, LAK 1, December 2, 2025

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Game Recap

WSH3

FinalTue, Dec 2, 2025Every game that night

LAK1

WSH beat LAK 3-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.91 expected goals to 2.68. A. Ovechkin led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). A. Protas had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.8. L. Thompson stopped 24 of 25.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WSH	1	0	2	3
LAK	0	1	0	1

1st 14:50WSHT. WilsonPP0.70 xG
2nd 5:28LAKA. Kempe0.10 xG
3rd 1:18WSHA. Beauvillier0.09 xG
3rd 18:18WSHA. ProtasEN0.94 xG

Team Stats

WSHLAK

25Shots on goal25

3.91Expected goals2.68

44Shot attempts68

185v5 shots on goal16

1/2Power play0/2

20Hits13

21Blocked shots5

9Penalty minutes9

15Giveaways13

6Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 3.91 xGLAK 2.68 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH25 on goal, 3 scored

LAK25 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Ovechkin	LW	0	2	2	2	0	0	0	0	16:46	3:09
T. Wilson	RW	1	0	1	2	1	1	+1	0	21:14	2:50
A. Protas	LW	1	0	1	5	0	0	+1	0	19:51	0:00
C. McMichael	LW	0	1	1	1	0	3	+1	0	18:44	0:22
R. Leonard	RW	0	1	1	3	3	0	0	2	17:04	2:35
A. Beauvillier	RW	1	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	16:24	0:19
D. Strome	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	18:56	2:47
J. Sourdif	C	0	0	0	2	1	1	+1	0	14:33	0:00
B. Duhaime	LW	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	7	12:57	0:00
E. Frank	RW	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	8:28	0:34
H. Lapierre	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	8:22	0:00
S. Milano	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5:53	0:00
J. Carlson	D	0	1	1	1	0	2	+1	0	18:27	0:19
M. Fehérváry	D	0	1	1	0	3	3	+1	0	18:02	0:00
J. Chychrun	D	0	0	0	4	0	3	0	0	22:42	2:50
M. Roy	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	22:08	0:00
R. Sandin	D	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	18:49	0:00
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	0	16:40	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Thompson	25	24	1	.960	60:00	Win
C. Lindgren	0	0	0	–	0:00

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Kopitar	C	0	1	1	2	0	0	-1	0	20:35	2:48
A. Kempe	RW	1	0	1	2	3	0	-1	0	19:50	2:48
T. Moore	LW	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	16:11	0:00
Q. Byfield	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	2	20:42	1:12
K. Fiala	LW	0	0	0	6	0	0	-2	0	19:34	2:49
A. Laferriere	RW	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	18:37	1:00
J. Armia	RW	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	18:17	1:11
A. Kuzmenko	LW	0	0	0	2	0	1	-1	2	14:41	2:45
C. Perry	RW	0	0	0	4	0	0	-1	0	13:18	1:15
P. Danault	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	12:58	0:00
A. Turcotte	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	6:29	0:00
J. Malott	LW	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	5:42	0:00
B. Clarke	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	-1	0	23:50	3:00
B. Dumoulin	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	0	19:59	1:12
M. Anderson	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	19:06	0:00
J. Edmundson	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	18:57	0:00
C. Ceci	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	18:07	0:00
J. Moverare	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12:01	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Kuemper	24	22	2	.917	57:57	Loss
A. Forsberg	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WSH

Line 1A. Protas17:50T. Wilson15:45J. Sourdif14:08

Line 2C. McMichael14:26R. Leonard14:29B. Duhaime12:50

Line 3D. Strome14:41A. Beauvillier13:55A. Ovechkin12:12

Line 4H. Lapierre8:22E. Frank7:54S. Milano5:53

Pair 1J. Chychrun19:52M. Roy18:56

Pair 2J. Carlson15:41M. Fehérváry15:12

Pair 3T. Riemsdyk14:30R. Sandin17:24

LAK

Line 1K. Fiala15:33J. Armia15:28Q. Byfield17:43

Line 2A. Kopitar16:28A. Kempe14:57T. Moore14:12

Line 3P. Danault11:57A. Kuzmenko10:31A. Laferriere14:38

Line 4C. Perry10:33A. Turcotte6:29J. Malott5:42

Pair 1B. Dumoulin17:58B. Clarke19:48

Pair 2M. Anderson16:48J. Edmundson15:58

Pair 3C. Ceci17:16J. Moverare12:01

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamDarcy Kuemper LAK Faces WSH, his team until Apr 202422 saves on 24

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	WSH 2.8, LAK 2.9	WSH 3, LAK 1
Total goals	5.7	4
Shots on goal	WSH 26.0, LAK 27.8	WSH 25, LAK 25
Win chance	LAK 51%	WSH won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
LAK K. Fiala	3.1	6	0.85	0	33%	0
LAK A. Kempe	3.0	2	0.90	1	34%	1
WSH A. Ovechkin	2.8	2	0.81	2	34%	0
WSH J. Chychrun	2.5	4	0.56	0	17%	0
LAK A. Laferriere	2.4	1	0.53	0	21%	0
LAK Q. Byfield	2.3	2	0.75	0	23%	0
WSH A. Beauvillier	2.1	2	0.39	1	16%	1
LAK T. Moore	2.1	0	0.52	1	21%	0
WSH C. McMichael	2.0	1	0.53	1	21%	0
LAK B. Clarke	2.0	2	0.50	0	11%	0
WSH R. Leonard	1.9	3	0.39	1	15%	0
WSH T. Wilson	1.9	2	0.68	1	27%	1
WSH A. Protas	1.8	5	0.61	1	20%	1
WSH J. Carlson	1.8	1	0.52	1	10%	0
WSH D. Strome	1.6	1	0.76	0	23%	0
LAK C. Perry	1.5	4	0.44	0	21%	0
LAK P. Danault	1.4	1	0.47	0	15%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.4	2	0.75	1	23%	0
LAK A. Kuzmenko	1.3	2	0.55	0	22%	0
WSH J. Sourdif	1.3	2	0.28	0	14%	0
LAK J. Armia	1.2	1	0.35	0	15%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.2	0	0.26	0	6%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.2	0	0.26	0	5%	0
WSH E. Frank	1.0	1	0.32	0	12%	0
WSH R. Sandin	0.9	0	0.27	0	5%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	0.9	0	0.24	1	6%	0
LAK B. Dumoulin	0.9	1	0.26	0	5%	0
LAK J. Malott	0.9	0	0.12	0	8%	0
LAK C. Ceci	0.9	1	0.22	0	4%	0
LAK A. Turcotte	0.8	0	0.21	0	8%	0
LAK M. Anderson	0.8	0	0.25	0	5%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	0.8	0	0.19	0	10%	0
WSH S. Milano	0.7	0	0.24	0	11%	0
WSH T. Riemsdyk	0.7	1	0.17	0	2%	0
WSH H. Lapierre	0.6	0	0.21	0	6%	0
LAK J. Moverare	0.5	0	0.10	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 26 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.