Game Recap: WSH 0, MIN 5, December 16, 2025

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Game Recap

WSH0

FinalTue, Dec 16, 2025Every game that night

MIN5

MIN beat WSH 5-0, with the chances close: 3.22 expected goals to 2.79. V. Tarasenko led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). J. Spurgeon had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.3. F. Gustavsson stopped 25 of 25.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WSH	0	0	0	0
MIN	1	1	3	5

1st 2:09MINV. Tarasenko0.04 xG
2nd 12:51MINK. KaprizovPP0.35 xG
3rd 4:23MINV. Tarasenko0.02 xG
3rd 8:53MIND. Yurov0.24 xG
3rd 14:12MINM. BoldySH0.17 xG

Team Stats

WSHMIN

25Shots on goal32

2.79Expected goals3.22

65Shot attempts57

215v5 shots on goal25

0/2Power play1/4

18Hits22

8Blocked shots21

8Penalty minutes4

9Giveaways15

4Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 2.79 xGMIN 3.22 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH24 on goal, 0 scored

MIN31 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. McMichael	LW	1	0	0	-2	0	17:40	1:07
A. Protas	LW	1	0	0	-1	2	17:22	0:32
J. Sourdif	C	1	0	1	0	0	17:17	0:32
T. Wilson	RW	4	2	0	-1	0	16:25	1:40
D. Strome	C	2	0	2	-1	0	15:17	2:21
A. Ovechkin	LW	0	3	0	-2	0	15:12	3:28
B. Duhaime	LW	1	5	0	-1	0	14:31	0:00
N. Dowd	C	1	1	1	-1	0	14:10	0:00
E. Frank	RW	2	0	0	0	0	13:14	1:39
A. Beauvillier	RW	3	1	0	-3	0	12:35	1:47
S. Milano	LW	0	0	0	-1	0	11:56	1:49
H. Lapierre	C	1	0	0	0	0	10:33	0:32
J. Carlson	D	1	0	0	-2	0	22:10	1:49
J. Chychrun	D	4	2	1	0	2	21:18	2:11
M. Roy	D	1	2	1	-1	0	21:07	0:32
R. Sandin	D	1	2	1	-3	2	17:57	0:00
M. Fehérváry	D	1	0	1	0	2	17:29	0:01
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	0	0	-1	0	16:49	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Lindgren	32	27	5	.844	60:00	Loss
L. Thompson	0	0	0	–	0:00

MIN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
V. Tarasenko	RW	2	1	3	4	0	0	+3	0	16:01	4:57
D. Yurov	RW	1	2	3	1	0	1	+3	2	15:02	1:51
M. Boldy	LW	1	0	1	2	1	2	+1	0	19:49	5:07
K. Kaprizov	LW	1	0	1	4	0	1	0	0	18:15	5:20
J. Eriksson Ek	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	17:29	4:58
R. Hartman	RW	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	16:37	1:59
M. Foligno	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	+1	0	15:18	1:38
N. Aube-Kubel	RW	0	0	0	2	1	3	0	0	14:17	0:00
Y. Trenin	C	0	0	0	0	6	1	+3	0	14:15	0:00
N. Sturm	C	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	12:47	0:00
B. Jones	C	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	11:18	0:00
T. Pitlick	C	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	9:36	0:00
Q. Hughes	D	0	1	1	2	1	3	+2	0	29:33	5:15
B. Faber	D	0	1	1	3	2	3	+3	0	28:10	1:43
M. Kiersted	D	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	16:16	0:00
J. Spurgeon	D	0	0	0	4	1	0	+2	0	23:22	2:02
D.Jiricek	D	0	0	0	0	0	3	+1	2	14:11	0:00
D. Hunt	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	3:44	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
F. Gustavsson	25	25	0	1.000	60:00	Win
J. Wallstedt	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WSH

Line 1T. Wilson11:48A. Protas15:04J. Sourdif15:55

Line 2A. Ovechkin11:44D. Strome12:56A. Beauvillier9:56

Line 3N. Dowd10:44B. Duhaime12:47C. McMichael14:20

Line 4S. Milano10:07H. Lapierre10:01E. Frank11:30

Pair 1J. Chychrun18:49M. Roy16:18

Pair 2R. Sandin16:43T. Riemsdyk14:25

Pair 3J. Carlson17:11M. Fehérváry14:52

MIN

Line 1R. Hartman14:38N. Aube-Kubel14:17M. Foligno13:03

Line 2K. Kaprizov12:55M. Boldy12:40J. Ek11:06

Line 3V. Tarasenko11:04D. Yurov13:11Y. Trenin12:17

Line 4B. Jones11:18N. Sturm10:53T. Pitlick9:36

Pair 1Q. Hughes23:39B. Faber24:10

Pair 2M. Kiersted14:27D.Jiricek13:02

Pair 3J. Spurgeon19:10D. Hunt3:44

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownCharlie Lindgren WSH Plays near home (born in Lakeville)27 saves on 32

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	WSH 3.0, MIN 2.8	WSH 0, MIN 5
Total goals	5.8	5
Shots on goal	WSH 28.6, MIN 28.1	WSH 25, MIN 32
Win chance	WSH 52%	MIN won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
MIN K. Kaprizov	3.5	4	1.13	1	43%	1
MIN M. Boldy	3.3	2	0.91	1	32%	1
WSH A. Ovechkin	3.1	0	0.84	0	35%	0
MIN J. Ek	3.0	1	0.67	1	25%	0
WSH J. Chychrun	3.0	4	0.60	0	18%	0
MIN Q. Hughes	2.7	2	1.01	1	16%	0
WSH A. Beauvillier	2.3	3	0.41	0	17%	0
WSH T. Wilson	2.2	4	0.72	0	29%	0
MIN R. Hartman	2.1	2	0.46	0	20%	0
WSH C. McMichael	2.0	1	0.51	0	21%	0
WSH A. Protas	2.0	1	0.60	0	21%	0
MIN V. Tarasenko	2.0	4	0.53	3	21%	2
WSH J. Carlson	1.9	1	0.52	0	9%	0
MIN B. Faber	1.8	3	0.42	1	11%	0
WSH D. Strome	1.8	2	0.79	0	25%	0
WSH J. Sourdif	1.6	1	0.30	0	15%	0
MIN D. Yurov	1.5	1	0.36	3	14%	1
MIN Y. Trenin	1.5	0	0.26	0	13%	0
WSH E. Frank	1.4	2	0.41	0	16%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.4	1	0.30	0	5%	0
MIN J. Spurgeon	1.3	4	0.34	0	9%	0
WSH R. Sandin	1.2	1	0.31	0	5%	0
WSH N. Dowd	1.2	1	0.28	0	14%	0
MIN N. Sturm	1.1	1	0.22	0	10%	0
MIN M. Foligno	1.1	2	0.29	0	14%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	1.1	1	0.25	0	6%	0
MIN B. Jones	0.9	0	0.05	0	5%	0
MIN N. Aube-Kubel	0.9	2	0.19	0	9%	0
WSH T. Riemsdyk	0.8	0	0.20	0	3%	0
MIN T. Pitlick	0.8	1	0.14	0	6%	0
WSH S. Milano	0.8	0	0.25	0	11%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	0.8	1	0.18	0	9%	0
MIN D.Jiricek	0.8	0	0.15	0	3%	0
MIN M. Kiersted	0.7	3	0.19	1	4%	0
WSH H. Lapierre	0.7	1	0.20	0	6%	0
MIN D. Hunt	0.6	0	0.17	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.