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Game Recap
WSH1
OTT0
WSH beat OTT 1-0 in overtime, with the chances close: 2.01 expected goals to 2.00. L. Thompson stopped 24 of 24.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| OTT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- OT 3:07WSHA. Ovechkin0.08 xG
Team Stats
WSHOTT
26Shots on goal24
2.01Expected goals2.00
48Shot attempts55
155v5 shots on goal22
0/1Power play0/3
25Hits20
18Blocked shots12
10Penalty minutes6
16Giveaways14
3Takeaways5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
WSH 2.01 xGOTT 2.00 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
WSH Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ovechkin | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:34 | 1:56 |
| A. Protas | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:47 | 0:00 |
| P. Dubois | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:53 | 0:52 |
| N. Dowd | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:03 | 0:00 |
| D. Strome | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:43 | 1:08 |
| T. Wilson | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17:14 | 1:01 |
| C. McMichael | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:10 | 0:54 |
| B. Duhaime | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:46 | 0:00 |
| A. Mangiapane | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:44 | 0:54 |
| L. Eller | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:48 | 0:04 |
| T. Raddysh | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:34 | 0:00 |
| E. Frank | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:53 | 0:00 |
| R. Sandin | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:27 | 0:59 |
| M. Roy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22:19 | 0:05 |
| J. Carlson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:22 | 1:01 |
| J. Chychrun | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:25 | 1:06 |
| M. Fehérváry | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20:23 | 0:00 |
| T. van Riemsdyk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:23 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Thompson | 24 | 24 | 0 | 1.000 | 63:00 | Win |
| H. Shepard | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
OTT Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Tkachuk | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:49 | 3:28 |
| T. Stützle | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:37 | 3:30 |
| S. Pinto | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 20:10 | 2:36 |
| D. Batherson | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:39 | 3:17 |
| J. Norris | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:00 | 3:24 |
| C. Giroux | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 17:51 | 2:45 |
| R. Greig | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:43 | 1:41 |
| N. Cousins | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 | 0:42 |
| A. Gaudette | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:29 | 2:30 |
| M. Highmore | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:36 | 0:00 |
| M. Amadio | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:17 | 0:00 |
| Z. Ostapchuk | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:51 | 0:00 |
| J. Sanderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 26:50 | 4:19 |
| N. Jensen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:00 | 1:41 |
| A. Zub | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:48 | 0:07 |
| T. Kleven | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21:47 | 0:00 |
| N. Matinpalo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:18 | 0:00 |
| D. Sebrango | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:38 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Meriläinen | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 63:07 | OT loss |
| A. Forsberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WSH 2.9, OTT 2.9 | WSH 1, OTT 0 |
| Total goals | 5.8 | 1 |
| Shots on goal | WSH 25.1, OTT 29.6 | WSH 26, OTT 24 |
| Win chance | OTT 51% | WSH won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT B. Tkachuk | 3.6 | 5 | 0.82 | 0 | 31% | 0 |
| WSH A. Ovechkin | 2.8 | 3 | 0.79 | 1 | 34% | 1 |
| OTT S. Pinto | 2.2 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| WSH J. Chychrun | 2.1 | 4 | 0.53 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| OTT D. Batherson | 2.1 | 2 | 0.75 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| WSH T. Wilson | 2.1 | 1 | 0.61 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| OTT J. Sanderson | 2.1 | 0 | 0.47 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| OTT J. Norris | 2.0 | 1 | 0.60 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| OTT T. Stützle | 1.9 | 1 | 0.80 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| WSH J. Carlson | 1.9 | 1 | 0.57 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| WSH A. Protas | 1.8 | 2 | 0.61 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| OTT C. Giroux | 1.8 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| WSH C. McMichael | 1.8 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| WSH P. Dubois | 1.7 | 1 | 0.64 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| OTT R. Greig | 1.7 | 1 | 0.42 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| WSH D. Strome | 1.6 | 2 | 0.77 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| OTT N. Cousins | 1.6 | 2 | 0.34 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| OTT M. Amadio | 1.3 | 0 | 0.37 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| WSH M. Roy | 1.2 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| OTT A. Zub | 1.2 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| WSH B. Duhaime | 1.2 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| OTT A. Gaudette | 1.2 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| WSH A. Mangiapane | 1.1 | 3 | 0.38 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| WSH L. Eller | 1.1 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| OTT N. Jensen | 1.1 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| WSH N. Dowd | 1.1 | 0 | 0.36 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| WSH T. Raddysh | 1.1 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| OTT M. Highmore | 1.0 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| OTT T. Kleven | 1.0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| WSH T. Riemsdyk | 1.0 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WSH R. Sandin | 0.9 | 2 | 0.35 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| WSH M. Fehérváry | 0.9 | 3 | 0.23 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| OTT N. Matinpalo | 0.7 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| OTT Z. Ostapchuk | 0.5 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 20 of 34 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.