Game Recap: ANA 0, OTT 2, March 14, 2026

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Game Recap

ANA0

FinalSat, Mar 14, 2026Every game that night

OTT2

OTT beat ANA 2-0, with the chances close: 3.65 expected goals to 3.23. S. Pinto led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). B. Sennecke had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.5. L. Ullmark stopped 24 of 24.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	0	0	0	0
OTT	0	2	0	2

2nd 3:54OTTM. Amadio0.16 xG
2nd 9:21OTTT. ChabotSH0.18 xG

Team Stats

ANAOTT

24Shots on goal28

3.23Expected goals3.65

61Shot attempts56

135v5 shots on goal19

0/3Power play0/4

24Hits23

12Blocked shots17

8Penalty minutes8

16Giveaways23

4Takeaways10

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ANA 3.23 xGOTT 3.65 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ANA24 on goal, 0 scored

OTT28 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
B. Sennecke	RW	6	2	0	-1	0	19:54	2:59
L. Carlsson	C	2	0	1	-2	0	19:33	2:54
M. Granlund	C	1	0	0	0	2	19:15	1:51
C. Gauthier	LW	0	3	0	-2	2	19:12	3:01
C. Kreider	LW	2	2	0	-2	0	18:55	3:01
R. Poehling	C	0	0	1	0	0	16:00	0:01
A. Killorn	LW	3	2	0	0	0	15:29	1:44
M. McTavish	C	0	5	0	0	0	12:01	1:46
J. Viel	LW	1	2	1	0	0	11:05	0:01
T. Washe	C	1	1	0	0	2	8:40	0:00
J. Harkins	C	1	3	1	0	0	8:16	0:00
F. Vatrano	RW	2	0	0	0	2	8:05	0:01
J. Trouba	D	2	0	1	-1	0	25:39	1:44
J. LaCombe	D	0	2	1	-2	0	21:25	3:10
O. Zellweger	D	1	0	3	0	0	19:19	0:01
P. Mintyukov	D	1	1	2	0	0	17:43	1:35
I. Moore	D	1	0	1	0	0	17:25	0:01
D. Helleson	D	0	1	0	0	0	14:35	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
V. Husso	28	26	2	.929	57:29	Loss
L. Dostal	0	0	0	–	0:00

OTT Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
S. Pinto	C	0	2	2	3	1	1	+2	0	17:19	1:50
M. Amadio	RW	1	0	1	2	1	0	+1	0	16:12	0:11
N. Cousins	C	0	1	1	0	1	0	+1	2	11:26	0:00
T. Stützle	C	0	0	0	3	1	0	+1	0	21:55	4:53
B. Tkachuk	LW	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	17:59	5:05
D. Batherson	RW	0	0	0	5	2	0	0	0	17:42	4:43
D. Cozens	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	17:42	4:46
R. Greig	C	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	17:21	0:00
C. Giroux	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	14:33	1:52
W. Foegele	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	9:45	1:38
F. Zetterlund	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	9:01	1:06
L. Eller	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	2	7:13	0:00
T. Chabot	D	1	0	1	2	1	4	+2	0	27:24	5:47
J. Spence	D	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	0	22:55	1:43
A. Zub	D	0	0	0	0	2	2	+1	2	20:23	0:10
T. Kleven	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	20:15	0:06
N. Matinpalo	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	+1	0	12:20	0:00
D. Gilbert	D	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	10:35	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Ullmark	24	24	0	1.000	60:00	Win
J. Reimer	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

ANA

Line 1C. Kreider12:54C. Gauthier13:11L. Carlsson14:08

Line 2M. Granlund12:50B. Sennecke13:57M. McTavish8:54

Line 3A. Killorn8:53R. Poehling10:31J. Viel10:21

Line 4F. Vatrano7:30T. Washe6:39J. Harkins8:16

Pair 1J. Trouba16:30J. LaCombe14:55

Pair 2O. Zellweger16:13I. Moore15:31

Pair 3D. Helleson12:19P. Mintyukov10:03

OTT

Line 1D. Batherson12:23T. Stützle12:34C. Giroux11:11

Line 2N. Cousins11:26M. Amadio12:20S. Pinto10:56

Line 3B. Tkachuk10:57D. Cozens11:08R. Greig12:50

Line 4W. Foegele7:42F. Zetterlund7:55L. Eller7:13

Pair 1J. Spence17:14T. Kleven16:17

Pair 2T. Chabot15:21A. Zub14:44

Pair 3D. Gilbert10:34N. Matinpalo10:50

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

BirthdayFrank Vatrano ANA Turns 32 that day2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	ANA 2.9, OTT 3.6	ANA 0, OTT 2
Total goals	6.5	2
Shots on goal	ANA 25.1, OTT 30.8	ANA 24, OTT 28
Win chance	OTT 61%	OTT won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
OTT B. Tkachuk	3.6	3	0.89	0	32%	0
ANA C. Gauthier	3.2	0	0.84	0	32%	0
ANA B. Sennecke	2.5	6	0.84	0	26%	0
OTT T. Chabot	2.4	2	0.78	1	16%	1
OTT D. Cozens	2.3	1	0.70	0	24%	0
OTT T. Stützle	2.3	3	1.09	0	31%	0
OTT D. Batherson	2.2	5	0.86	0	28%	0
OTT S. Pinto	2.2	3	0.68	2	27%	0
ANA L. Carlsson	2.0	2	0.76	0	25%	0
ANA J. Trouba	2.0	2	0.40	0	9%	0
OTT W. Foegele	1.9	1	0.43	0	20%	0
ANA M. Granlund	1.8	1	0.72	0	20%	0
ANA C. Kreider	1.8	2	0.70	0	32%	0
ANA A. Killorn	1.8	3	0.47	0	21%	0
OTT R. Greig	1.7	0	0.48	0	18%	0
ANA J. LaCombe	1.7	0	0.62	0	12%	0
ANA M. McTavish	1.6	0	0.46	0	18%	0
ANA F. Vatrano	1.5	2	0.33	0	17%	0
OTT M. Amadio	1.5	2	0.52	1	22%	1
OTT C. Giroux	1.5	1	0.63	0	19%	0
OTT J. Spence	1.4	3	0.45	0	8%	0
ANA O. Zellweger	1.4	1	0.24	0	7%	0
OTT F. Zetterlund	1.4	0	0.33	0	14%	0
OTT N. Cousins	1.3	0	0.38	1	14%	0
OTT T. Kleven	1.3	0	0.25	0	5%	0
ANA R. Poehling	1.3	0	0.49	0	16%	0
OTT A. Zub	1.2	0	0.36	0	7%	0
ANA J. Viel	1.1	1	0.19	0	10%	0
ANA P. Mintyukov	1.1	1	0.34	0	9%	0
ANA T. Washe	1.0	1	0.21	0	11%	0
ANA I. Moore	0.9	1	0.22	0	6%	0
OTT L. Eller	0.9	3	0.22	0	9%	0
OTT N. Matinpalo	0.9	1	0.15	0	3%	0
ANA J. Harkins	0.7	1	0.15	0	6%	0
ANA D. Helleson	0.7	0	0.20	0	5%	0
OTT D. Gilbert	0.6	0	0.26	0	4%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.