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Game Recap
BUF2
FinalTue, Nov 16, 2021Every game that night
PIT1

BUF beat PIT 2-1 despite fewer good chances: 1.64 expected goals to 4.19. PIT outshot BUF 46 to 19. D. Tokarski stopped 45 of 46.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF0202
PIT0011
  1. 2nd 0:28BUFC. Miller0.03 xG
  2. 2nd 8:54BUFK. Okposo0.06 xG
  3. 3rd 5:59PITJ. GuentzelPP0.13 xG

Team Stats

BUFPIT
19Shots on goal46
1.64Expected goals4.19
31Shot attempts73
165v5 shots on goal32
0/5Power play1/4
25Hits31
18Blocked shots7
13Penalty minutes15
6Giveaways10
8Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 1.64 xGPIT 4.19 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdBUF goal, 0:28BUF goal, 8:54PIT goal, 5:59

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF19 on goal, 2 scored
PIT45 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
Z. GirgensonsC011111+1017:533:05
K. OkposoRW101101+1017:414:15
D. CaggiulaLW011120+1013:450:00
D. CozensC011201+1012:342:11
T. ThompsonC0001300018:306:30
J. SkinnerLW0003110017:565:32
R. AsplundC0001000014:574:46
A. RuotsalainenC0001200014:472:32
V. HinostrozaC000100+1014:330:00
C. EakinC000110+1212:230:00
A. BjorkLW0001000211:470:11
J. HaydenC0000510010:160:01
R. DahlinD011211+1022:565:22
C. MillerD101132+1021:312:40
J. BrysonD000033+1222:493:14
M. PysykD000014+1218:541:18
R. HaggD0001030516:510:01
W. ButcherD0001200012:561:10
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Tokarski46451.97860:00Win
A. Dell000–0:00

PIT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. CrosbyC011210-2018:534:02
B. RustRW011210-1216:264:02
J. GuentzelC101520-1016:184:02
J. CarterC0005100020:324:02
E. RodriguesC0004000015:561:47
J. ZuckerLW0002210015:311:47
K. KapanenRW0003200015:121:47
T. BluegerC0002310014:370:00
B. McGinnLW0002010013:540:00
D. HeinenLW000210-1212:201:47
Z. Aston-ReeseLW000130079:520:00
D. SimonC000030-109:320:00
K. LetangD000320-1226:554:35
B. DumoulinD000212-1022:100:00
J. MarinoD0002010021:111:14
M. PetterssonD0005200214:560:00
M. MathesonD000231-1014:360:00
C. RuhwedelD000240-1012:520:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
T. Jarry19172.89558:41Loss
C. DeSmith000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamJason Zucker BUF Faces PIT, his team until Apr 20232 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.