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Game Recap
CGY3
Final/OTMon, Feb 13, 2023Every game that night
OTT4

OTT beat CGY 4-3 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.85 expected goals to 3.67. CGY outshot OTT 37 to 25. T. Stützle led the way with 4 points (1 G, 3 A). M. Sogaard stopped 34 of 37.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
CGY11103
OTT10214
  1. 1st 6:10OTTB. Tkachuk0.25 xG
  2. 1st 14:47CGYD. DubePP0.10 xG
  3. 2nd 5:55CGYT. Toffoli0.04 xG
  4. 3rd 6:40CGYD. Dube0.07 xG
  5. 3rd 17:46OTTD. Batherson0.02 xG
  6. 3rd 18:32OTTA. DeBrincat0.06 xG
  7. OT 1:55OTTT. Stützle0.26 xG

Team Stats

CGYOTT
37Shots on goal25
3.67Expected goals2.85
85Shot attempts44
265v5 shots on goal17
1/4Power play0/4
23Hits37
11Blocked shots28
10Penalty minutes10
3Giveaways17
1Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CGY 3.67 xGOTT 2.85 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTOTT goal, 6:10CGY goal, 14:47CGY goal, 5:55CGY goal, 6:40OTT goal, 17:46OTT goal, 18:32OTT goal, 1:55

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CGY37 on goal, 3 scored
OTT23 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CGY Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ToffoliC1123100015:112:18
D. DubeC2023100012:431:14
J. HuberdeauLW011110-2016:444:19
E. LindholmC0001000020:082:01
M. BacklundC000340+1018:050:56
N. KadriC000600-1018:034:36
A. MangiapaneLW0004000217:381:56
B. ColemanLW0000000615:500:36
J. PelletierLW000101-2013:382:31
T. LewisC0002110011:170:00
M. LucicLW0000600010:270:00
B. RitchieRW0000210010:080:00
N. HanifinD011200-1026:593:15
C. TanevD011111-1023:180:07
M. WeegarD011522-1021:461:10
N. ZadorovD000323-1221:290:11
M. StoneD0001110012:240:00
D. GilbertD0001110010:210:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Markstrom25214.84061:31OT loss
D. Vladar000–0:00

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. StützleC134340+4223:053:45
B. TkachukLW112260+3020:343:14
A. DeBrincatRW112522+2218:263:31
D. BathersonRW101302+2019:343:30
S. PintoC011110+1015:262:11
C. GirouxRW000202-1219:502:09
R. GreigC0001400014:522:00
T. MotteC000035-1012:110:00
M. JosephRW0000300011:350:00
P. KellyC000230-108:540:00
A. WatsonLW000132-108:370:00
D. BrassardC000120-127:382:20
E. BrannstromD011001+2019:041:48
T. HamonicD011016-1215:510:08
T. ChabotD000303+2027:393:54
N. ZaitsevD0000320019:150:00
A. ZubD0001210018:160:00
N. HoldenD0000020016:160:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Sogaard37343.91961:06Win
K. Mandolese000–0:00