Game Recap: DAL 8, ANA 3, December 19, 2025

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Game Recap

DAL8

FinalFri, Dec 19, 2025Every game that night

ANA3

DAL beat ANA 8-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.30 expected goals to 2.41. J. Robertson led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). C. DeSmith stopped 22 of 25.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DAL	4	3	1	8
ANA	1	0	2	3

1st 2:37DALO. BäckSH0.24 xG
1st 3:32ANAR. Poehling0.57 xG
1st 4:42DALR. Hintz0.16 xG
1st 12:41DALS. Steel0.20 xG
1st 14:19DALT. Harley0.15 xG
2nd 11:10DALJ. RobertsonPP0.15 xG
2nd 15:10DALJ. Robertson0.10 xG
2nd 18:30DALA. Erne0.26 xG
3rd 1:01ANAB. Sennecke0.05 xG
3rd 1:42DALI. Lyubushkin0.01 xG
3rd 14:22ANAM. Granlund0.06 xG

Team Stats

DALANA

25Shots on goal25

3.30Expected goals2.41

43Shot attempts63

185v5 shots on goal23

1/3Power play0/3

8Hits22

21Blocked shots13

8Penalty minutes18

21Giveaways18

4Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DAL 3.30 xGANA 2.41 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DAL22 on goal, 8 scored

ANA24 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DAL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Robertson	LW	2	1	3	4	0	1	+2	6	15:18	1:26
M. Rantanen	RW	0	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	16:03	3:10
R. Hintz	C	1	1	2	1	0	0	+1	0	15:18	2:49
R. Faksa	C	0	2	2	1	0	3	+2	0	13:52	0:12
S. Steel	C	1	0	1	1	0	0	+1	0	15:51	1:00
O. Bäck	C	1	0	1	2	0	0	+2	0	15:33	0:10
M. Bourque	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+2	0	15:26	2:04
J. Hryckowian	C	0	1	1	1	1	1	+1	0	14:19	1:04
J. Benn	LW	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	12:49	1:59
A. Erne	LW	1	0	1	3	3	0	+1	0	11:25	0:13
W. Johnston	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	16:43	3:09
M. Duchene	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	14:24	2:12
M. Heiskanen	D	0	2	2	1	0	2	0	0	22:05	3:05
T. Harley	D	1	1	2	3	0	3	+5	0	21:09	2:17
E. Lindell	D	0	1	1	2	0	4	+1	0	23:12	2:05
I. Lyubushkin	D	1	0	1	1	1	1	+1	0	17:50	0:11
N. Lundkvist	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	+2	0	16:43	0:00
A. Petrovic	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	2	16:00	0:04

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. DeSmith	25	22	3	.880	60:00	Win
J. Oettinger	0	0	0	–	0:00

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Kreider	LW	0	1	1	3	0	1	-1	0	18:28	3:30
B. Sennecke	RW	1	0	1	2	2	0	-2	0	16:43	2:52
R. Poehling	C	1	0	1	1	0	3	-1	0	16:10	0:00
M. McTavish	C	0	1	1	1	3	0	-3	0	16:01	2:39
M. Granlund	C	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	2	13:57	3:19
T. Terry	RW	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	13:57	3:08
R. Johnston	LW	0	1	1	1	4	0	-1	0	12:44	0:00
C. Gauthier	LW	0	0	0	4	1	0	-2	0	16:41	2:41
A. Killorn	LW	0	0	0	2	0	1	-1	0	16:12	0:00
L. Carlsson	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16:03	3:19
R. Strome	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-3	0	13:26	2:25
F. Vatrano	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	16	10:12	0:05
R. Gudas	D	0	1	1	2	5	0	0	0	21:01	0:00
J. LaCombe	D	0	1	1	2	0	2	0	0	19:51	3:29
D. Helleson	D	0	0	0	0	3	1	-2	0	18:47	0:00
I. Moore	D	0	0	0	1	2	2	-3	0	18:32	0:00
J. Trouba	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	-2	0	18:06	2:31
P. Mintyukov	D	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	17:43	0:02

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Dostal	7	3	4	.429	14:19	Loss
P. Mrazek	18	14	4	.778	45:41

Lines at 5-on-5

DAL

Line 1M. Rantanen12:53W. Johnston13:27M. Duchene12:03

Line 2J. Robertson13:52M. Bourque13:21R. Hintz12:29

Line 3S. Steel12:30J. Hryckowian11:26J. Benn10:50

Line 4A. Erne11:12O. Bäck11:22R. Faksa10:09

Pair 1N. Lundkvist16:35T. Harley17:34

Pair 2E. Lindell16:24M. Heiskanen14:22

Pair 3A. Petrovic15:56I. Lyubushkin16:25

ANA

Line 1C. Kreider13:51M. McTavish13:22B. Sennecke13:12

Line 2C. Gauthier12:51L. Carlsson12:44A. Killorn13:31

Line 3R. Poehling13:03R. Strome11:01R. Johnston12:44

Line 4T. Terry10:10M. Granlund9:32F. Vatrano9:46

Pair 1R. Gudas19:14P. Mintyukov17:20

Pair 2I. Moore18:19D. Helleson17:09

Pair 3J. Trouba12:05J. LaCombe12:56

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamMikael Granlund ANA Faces DAL, his team until May 20251 G, 3 SOG
HometownJason Robertson DAL Plays near home (born in Arcadia)2 G, 1 A, 4 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	DAL 2.8, ANA 3.0	DAL 8, ANA 3
Total goals	5.8	11
Shots on goal	DAL 25.5, ANA 31.0	DAL 25, ANA 25
Win chance	ANA 53%	DAL won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
ANA C. Gauthier	3.3	4	0.80	0	28%	0
DAL J. Robertson	3.1	4	1.01	3	35%	2
ANA T. Terry	2.6	2	0.86	1	28%	0
DAL M. Rantanen	2.5	1	1.06	2	33%	0
ANA C. Kreider	2.4	3	0.71	1	35%	0
ANA L. Carlsson	2.4	0	0.90	0	29%	0
ANA J. LaCombe	2.3	2	0.59	1	15%	0
DAL M. Heiskanen	2.3	1	0.76	2	13%	0
DAL W. Johnston	2.3	0	0.79	0	31%	0
ANA F. Vatrano	2.0	0	0.38	0	19%	0
DAL R. Hintz	2.0	1	0.77	2	28%	1
ANA B. Sennecke	1.9	2	0.68	1	20%	1
ANA J. Trouba	1.9	0	0.30	0	7%	0
ANA M. Granlund	1.9	3	0.73	1	19%	1
ANA M. McTavish	1.9	1	0.54	1	20%	0
DAL T. Harley	1.6	3	0.47	2	10%	1
DAL J. Benn	1.5	2	0.51	1	18%	0
DAL M. Bourque	1.5	0	0.32	1	13%	0
ANA A. Killorn	1.5	2	0.38	0	17%	0
DAL M. Duchene	1.4	1	0.58	0	22%	0
DAL N. Lundkvist	1.4	0	0.24	0	5%	0
DAL E. Lindell	1.3	2	0.37	1	8%	0
DAL A. Petrovic	1.2	1	0.23	0	5%	0
ANA R. Poehling	1.2	1	0.40	1	13%	1
DAL J. Hryckowian	1.2	1	0.29	1	13%	0
ANA R. Gudas	1.1	2	0.18	1	3%	0
ANA R. Strome	1.1	1	0.34	0	10%	0
ANA D. Helleson	1.1	0	0.23	0	7%	0
ANA I. Moore	1.1	1	0.24	0	6%	0
DAL S. Steel	1.0	1	0.29	1	10%	1
ANA P. Mintyukov	1.0	0	0.25	0	6%	0
DAL R. Faksa	0.7	1	0.26	2	8%	0
DAL A. Erne	0.7	3	0.17	1	8%	1
DAL I. Lyubushkin	0.7	1	0.19	1	2%	1
DAL O. Bäck	0.7	2	0.23	1	8%	1
ANA R. Johnston	0.6	1	0.17	1	5%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.