Game Recap: DAL 1, ANA 3, January 13, 2026

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

DAL1

FinalTue, Jan 13, 2026Every game that night

ANA3

ANA beat DAL 3-1, with the chances close: 3.28 expected goals to 2.62. L. Dostal stopped 24 of 25.

Team Stats

DALANA

25Shots on goal25

2.62Expected goals3.28

54Shot attempts71

145v5 shots on goal20

0/3Power play0/2

24Hits29

21Blocked shots17

4Penalty minutes4

20Giveaways16

1Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

DAL 2.62 xGANA 3.28 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

DAL23 on goal, 1 scored

ANA23 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

DAL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
W. Johnston	C	0	1	1	4	1	1	0	0	22:08	3:23
R. Hintz	C	1	0	1	3	2	0	-1	0	18:37	3:36
M. Duchene	C	0	1	1	3	0	1	-2	0	18:12	0:31
M. Rantanen	RW	0	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	23:24	4:00
J. Robertson	LW	0	0	0	4	1	1	-1	2	20:39	3:36
M. Bourque	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	14:49	0:25
S. Steel	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	14:47	0:00
J. Hryckowian	C	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	14:10	0:00
C. Blackwell	C	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	9:59	0:00
R. Faksa	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	9:53	0:00
O. Bäck	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	9:50	0:00
J. Benn	LW	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	9:38	0:00
T. Harley	D	0	0	0	3	1	3	-1	0	28:58	3:46
E. Lindell	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	21:37	0:00
N. Lundkvist	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	17:54	0:12
A. Petrovic	D	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	17:36	0:00
I. Lyubushkin	D	0	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	13:57	0:00
K. Capobianco	D	0	0	0	0	2	2	-2	0	12:56	0:26

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. DeSmith	24	22	2	.917	56:56	Loss
J. Oettinger	0	0	0	–	0:00

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Granlund	C	0	1	1	3	1	1	+2	2	19:49	1:09
B. Sennecke	RW	1	0	1	1	2	1	+2	0	17:29	1:06
C. Kreider	LW	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	16:24	0:46
A. Killorn	LW	0	0	0	3	2	1	+1	0	17:30	1:08
M. McTavish	C	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	15:44	1:11
R. Strome	C	0	0	0	1	0	2	-1	0	15:01	0:51
J. Harkins	C	0	0	0	1	3	0	+1	0	14:34	0:07
R. Johnston	LW	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	13:25	0:03
R. Poehling	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	13:14	0:49
T. Washe	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	11:57	0:07
N. Nesterenko	C	0	0	0	1	2	2	+1	0	11:27	0:00
J. Trouba	D	1	0	1	2	1	3	0	0	25:59	0:03
J. LaCombe	D	0	1	1	0	1	4	+1	0	22:04	0:40
R. Gudas	D	0	1	1	0	4	0	+1	2	15:55	0:00
P. Mintyukov	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	0	21:47	1:24
O. Zellweger	D	0	0	0	4	1	1	0	0	17:04	0:52
D. Helleson	D	0	0	0	1	2	1	+1	0	16:29	0:04
I. Moore	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	8:14	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Dostal	25	24	1	.960	59:54	Win
V. Husso	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

DAL

Line 1M. Rantanen15:34W. Johnston14:53S. Steel12:43

Line 2J. Robertson14:06R. Hintz12:01M. Bourque14:21

Line 3C. Blackwell8:51R. Faksa9:05O. Bäck9:01

Line 4J. Benn9:38M. Duchene13:51J. Hryckowian14:10

Pair 1A. Petrovic17:33T. Harley20:30

Pair 2E. Lindell18:45N. Lundkvist16:47

Pair 3I. Lyubushkin12:49K. Capobianco11:37

ANA

Line 1R. Strome13:58M. McTavish14:33C. Kreider13:18

Line 2M. Granlund14:24B. Sennecke14:17A. Killorn13:17

Line 3R. Johnston13:00J. Harkins12:37R. Poehling9:01

Line 4N. Nesterenko10:05T. Washe10:39

Pair 1J. Trouba19:52J. LaCombe18:10

Pair 2P. Mintyukov17:00D. Helleson15:38

Pair 3R. Gudas14:04O. Zellweger14:08

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamMikael Granlund ANA Faces DAL, his team until May 20251 A, 3 SOG
HometownJason Robertson DAL Plays near home (born in Arcadia)4 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	DAL 3.1, ANA 3.2	DAL 1, ANA 3
Total goals	6.3	4
Shots on goal	DAL 25.4, ANA 30.8	DAL 25, ANA 25
Win chance	ANA 51%	ANA won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DAL J. Robertson	3.0	4	1.13	0	38%	0
DAL M. Rantanen	2.4	1	1.16	0	34%	0
DAL W. Johnston	2.3	4	0.91	1	34%	0
ANA B. Sennecke	2.2	1	0.81	1	25%	1
ANA M. McTavish	2.2	2	0.67	0	23%	0
DAL R. Hintz	2.2	3	0.86	1	30%	1
ANA M. Granlund	2.0	3	0.78	1	20%	0
ANA C. Kreider	1.9	2	0.60	1	31%	1
ANA J. Trouba	1.9	2	0.31	1	8%	1
ANA J. LaCombe	1.8	0	0.51	1	11%	0
DAL T. Harley	1.7	3	0.55	0	12%	0
ANA O. Zellweger	1.7	4	0.29	0	8%	0
DAL M. Bourque	1.7	1	0.40	0	17%	0
ANA A. Killorn	1.7	3	0.44	0	19%	0
ANA P. Mintyukov	1.4	1	0.39	0	10%	0
DAL M. Duchene	1.4	3	0.62	1	22%	0
DAL J. Benn	1.3	0	0.48	0	17%	0
ANA N. Nesterenko	1.3	1	0.30	0	12%	0
DAL N. Lundkvist	1.2	1	0.26	0	5%	0
ANA R. Gudas	1.2	0	0.22	1	4%	0
ANA R. Strome	1.2	1	0.36	0	11%	0
ANA R. Poehling	1.2	1	0.41	0	14%	0
DAL E. Lindell	1.2	0	0.42	0	8%	0
ANA I. Moore	1.1	1	0.24	0	5%	0
DAL S. Steel	1.1	1	0.40	0	12%	0
DAL A. Petrovic	1.0	0	0.20	0	5%	0
DAL J. Hryckowian	1.0	1	0.33	0	14%	0
DAL C. Blackwell	1.0	1	0.22	0	10%	0
ANA D. Helleson	0.8	1	0.20	0	6%	0
DAL R. Faksa	0.7	1	0.28	0	8%	0
DAL K. Capobianco	0.7	0	0.19	0	6%	0
DAL I. Lyubushkin	0.7	1	0.20	0	2%	0
ANA J. Harkins	0.7	1	0.12	0	6%	0
DAL O. Bäck	0.6	0	0.21	0	8%	0
ANA R. Johnston	0.5	1	0.18	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.