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Game Recap
NJD2
CBJ1
NJD beat CBJ 2-1 despite fewer good chances: 2.19 expected goals to 3.33. CBJ outshot NJD 46 to 20. E. Chinakhov had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 1.6. J. Allen stopped 45 of 46.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| CBJ | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
- 2nd 13:35NJDT. Meier0.16 xG
- 2nd 14:14NJDJ. Bratt0.02 xG
- 3rd 13:24CBJM. Olivier0.19 xG
Team Stats
NJDCBJ
20Shots on goal46
2.19Expected goals3.33
42Shot attempts90
195v5 shots on goal40
0/1Power play0/1
15Hits25
22Blocked shots14
2Penalty minutes2
18Giveaways16
3Takeaways6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
NJD 2.19 xGCBJ 3.33 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
NJD Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hischier | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 | 1:20 |
| T. Meier | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:54 | 1:18 |
| S. Noesen | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:34 | 0:40 |
| J. Bratt | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:24 | 1:17 |
| C. Glass | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:19 | 0:43 |
| E. Haula | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:53 | 0:00 |
| D. Mercer | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 | 1:16 |
| O. Palat | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:17 | 0:42 |
| T. Tatar | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:54 | 0:44 |
| P. Cotter | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:28 | 0:00 |
| C. Lazar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:20 | 0:00 |
| N. Bastian | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:12 | 0:00 |
| B. Dumoulin | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:27 | 0:00 |
| B. Pesce | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | +1 | 0 | 26:43 | 0:00 |
| L. Hughes | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23:25 | 1:14 |
| J. Kovacevic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:22 | 0:00 |
| B. Dillon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 18:48 | 0:00 |
| S. Nemec | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:10 | 0:46 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Allen | 46 | 45 | 1 | .978 | 60:00 | Win |
| J. Markstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
CBJ Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Olivier | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 | 0:00 |
| Z. Aston-Reese | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:53 | 0:00 |
| J. Danforth | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:52 | 0:00 |
| A. Fantilli | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:28 | 1:11 |
| K. Johnson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:58 | 1:11 |
| B. Jenner | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:56 | 0:49 |
| K. Marchenko | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 20:02 | 1:11 |
| D. Voronkov | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:02 | 1:11 |
| E. Chinakhov | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:31 | 0:49 |
| S. Kuraly | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 10:09 | 0:00 |
| J. van Riemsdyk | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:57 | 0:49 |
| L. Kunin | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:58 | 0:00 |
| Z. Werenski | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 29:09 | 1:11 |
| D. Fabbro | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24:34 | 0:01 |
| I. Provorov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:09 | 0:48 |
| D. Severson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 19:31 | 0:49 |
| D. Mateychuk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:52 | 0:00 |
| J. Johnson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:10 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Greaves | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 58:28 | Loss |
| D. Tarasov | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NJD 3.3, CBJ 3.0 | NJD 2, CBJ 1 |
| Total goals | 6.2 | 3 |
| Shots on goal | NJD 29.0, CBJ 26.7 | NJD 20, CBJ 46 |
| Win chance | NJD 54% | NJD won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ Z. Werenski | 3.2 | 5 | 0.95 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| NJD T. Meier | 3.1 | 3 | 0.79 | 1 | 34% | 1 |
| NJD N. Hischier | 2.6 | 1 | 0.94 | 1 | 33% | 0 |
| NJD J. Bratt | 2.4 | 2 | 1.10 | 1 | 29% | 1 |
| CBJ K. Marchenko | 2.3 | 4 | 0.73 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| CBJ A. Fantilli | 2.2 | 4 | 0.63 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| CBJ B. Jenner | 2.1 | 5 | 0.56 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| NJD S. Noesen | 2.0 | 0 | 0.53 | 1 | 23% | 0 |
| CBJ D. Voronkov | 1.9 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| NJD C. Glass | 1.8 | 1 | 0.43 | 1 | 16% | 0 |
| NJD L. Hughes | 1.7 | 3 | 0.63 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| NJD D. Mercer | 1.6 | 2 | 0.49 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| CBJ E. Chinakhov | 1.6 | 6 | 0.40 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| CBJ K. Johnson | 1.6 | 3 | 0.63 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| NJD E. Haula | 1.6 | 2 | 0.36 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| NJD B. Pesce | 1.5 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| CBJ M. Olivier | 1.4 | 5 | 0.34 | 1 | 16% | 1 |
| NJD O. Palat | 1.3 | 0 | 0.45 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| CBJ D. Fabbro | 1.3 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| CBJ I. Provorov | 1.2 | 2 | 0.39 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Riemsdyk | 1.2 | 0 | 0.42 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Danforth | 1.2 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 15% | 0 |
| CBJ Z. Aston-Reese | 1.2 | 2 | 0.22 | 1 | 11% | 0 |
| CBJ L. Kunin | 1.2 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| NJD T. Tatar | 1.1 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| NJD P. Cotter | 1.0 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| CBJ S. Kuraly | 1.0 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| CBJ D. Severson | 1.0 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| NJD J. Kovacevic | 1.0 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| NJD N. Bastian | 0.9 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| CBJ D. Mateychuk | 0.9 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| NJD C. Lazar | 0.8 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| NJD B. Dumoulin | 0.8 | 0 | 0.23 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| NJD S. Nemec | 0.8 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| NJD B. Dillon | 0.7 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CBJ J. Johnson | 0.6 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 18 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.