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Game Recap
NJD1
WSH2
WSH beat NJD 2-1, with the chances close: 3.36 expected goals to 2.90. B. Duhaime had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 0.8. L. Thompson stopped 30 of 31.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| WSH | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
- 1st 9:36WSHR. Leonard0.07 xG
- 3rd 18:17WSHA. ProtasEN0.69 xG
- 3rd 19:17NJDJ. Bratt0.16 xG
Team Stats
NJDWSH
31Shots on goal28
2.90Expected goals3.36
68Shot attempts53
275v5 shots on goal25
0/2Power play0/1
18Hits17
14Blocked shots11
2Penalty minutes4
17Giveaways18
5Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
NJD 2.90 xGWSH 3.36 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
NJD Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hughes | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:18 | 3:36 |
| J. Bratt | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:04 | 3:21 |
| C. Brown | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:04 | 3:22 |
| N. Hischier | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:15 | 3:37 |
| T. Meier | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:41 | 0:40 |
| D. Mercer | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:37 | 0:23 |
| A. Gritsyuk | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:09 | 0:21 |
| C. Glass | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:22 | 0:00 |
| L. Hameenaho | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 11:21 | 0:00 |
| M. Tsyplakov | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:59 | 0:00 |
| P. Cotter | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:55 | 0:00 |
| N. Bjugstad | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:49 | 0:00 |
| L. Hughes | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 23:51 | 0:41 |
| D. Hamilton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:37 | 3:20 |
| S. Nemec | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 0 | 20:32 | 0:39 |
| B. Dillon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 16:18 | 0:00 |
| J. Siegenthaler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:37 | 0:00 |
| J. Kovacevic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Allen | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 58:21 | Loss |
| J. Markstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
WSH Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Protas | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:15 | 0:00 |
| P. Dubois | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:24 | 1:16 |
| T. Wilson | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:21 | 1:10 |
| R. Leonard | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 | 1:16 |
| B. Duhaime | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:51 | 0:00 |
| A. Beauvillier | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:49 | 0:00 |
| C. McMichael | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:16 | 0:44 |
| J. Sourdif | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 14:51 | 0:00 |
| D. Strome | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:10 | 0:50 |
| A. Ovechkin | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 | 2:00 |
| E. Frank | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:23 | 0:43 |
| H. Lapierre | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:02 | 0:00 |
| T. van Riemsdyk | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:47 | 0:00 |
| J. Chychrun | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:46 | 1:16 |
| M. Fehérváry | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:22 | 0:00 |
| M. Roy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:56 | 0:00 |
| R. Sandin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 19:14 | 0:01 |
| C. Hutson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:04 | 0:44 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Thompson | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 59:52 | Win |
| C. Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
NJD
Line 2T. Meier16:43D. Mercer13:57N. Hischier14:41
Line 3A. Gritsyuk14:40L. Hameenaho11:21C. Glass11:42
Line 4N. Bjugstad6:49M. Tsyplakov6:59P. Cotter6:55
Pair 1J. Kovacevic15:02L. Hughes21:59
Pair 2D. Hamilton17:41J. Siegenthaler14:20
WSH
Line 2D. Strome13:12A. Beauvillier15:49A. Ovechkin11:21
Line 3J. Sourdif13:59R. Leonard12:00C. McMichael12:31
Line 4H. Lapierre11:02E. Frank10:40B. Duhaime10:52
Pair 1T. Riemsdyk16:48J. Chychrun19:38
Pair 2M. Fehérváry17:43R. Sandin17:44
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NJD 2.9, WSH 3.2 | NJD 1, WSH 2 |
| Total goals | 6.1 | 3 |
| Shots on goal | NJD 29.3, WSH 27.3 | NJD 31, WSH 28 |
| Win chance | WSH 54% | WSH won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD J. Hughes | 3.4 | 4 | 0.99 | 1 | 32% | 0 |
| NJD T. Meier | 3.2 | 2 | 0.57 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| WSH A. Ovechkin | 2.6 | 4 | 0.78 | 0 | 34% | 0 |
| WSH J. Chychrun | 2.6 | 2 | 0.65 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| NJD D. Hamilton | 2.6 | 1 | 0.56 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| NJD N. Hischier | 2.4 | 2 | 0.74 | 0 | 28% | 0 |
| WSH T. Wilson | 2.1 | 2 | 0.79 | 1 | 32% | 0 |
| NJD J. Bratt | 2.1 | 2 | 0.77 | 1 | 22% | 1 |
| NJD A. Gritsyuk | 2.1 | 5 | 0.42 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| WSH A. Protas | 2.0 | 4 | 0.72 | 1 | 25% | 1 |
| NJD L. Hughes | 1.9 | 3 | 0.49 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| WSH A. Beauvillier | 1.8 | 3 | 0.36 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| WSH C. McMichael | 1.8 | 1 | 0.53 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| NJD D. Mercer | 1.7 | 2 | 0.41 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| WSH D. Strome | 1.7 | 1 | 0.79 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| WSH P. Dubois | 1.7 | 1 | 0.67 | 1 | 23% | 0 |
| WSH R. Leonard | 1.7 | 3 | 0.45 | 1 | 17% | 1 |
| NJD C. Brown | 1.7 | 3 | 0.53 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| NJD C. Glass | 1.5 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| WSH J. Sourdif | 1.4 | 0 | 0.42 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| WSH M. Roy | 1.4 | 1 | 0.31 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| NJD S. Nemec | 1.3 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| WSH R. Sandin | 1.3 | 0 | 0.40 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| NJD L. Hameenaho | 1.2 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| WSH E. Frank | 1.2 | 1 | 0.34 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| NJD N. Bjugstad | 1.2 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| WSH M. Fehérváry | 1.0 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| NJD J. Kovacevic | 0.9 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| NJD M. Tsyplakov | 0.9 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| WSH H. Lapierre | 0.9 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| WSH B. Duhaime | 0.8 | 4 | 0.17 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| WSH T. Riemsdyk | 0.8 | 1 | 0.21 | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| NJD J. Siegenthaler | 0.7 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| NJD P. Cotter | 0.7 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| NJD B. Dillon | 0.6 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 22 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.