Game Recap: OTT 1, WSH 4, March 18, 2026

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Game Recap

OTT1

FinalWed, Mar 18, 2026Every game that night

WSH4

WSH beat OTT 4-1, with the chances close: 3.82 expected goals to 3.61. OTT outshot WSH 35 to 25. A. Zub had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.0. L. Thompson stopped 34 of 35.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
OTT	0	0	1	1
WSH	0	2	2	4

2nd 8:09WSHA. Ovechkin0.07 xG
2nd 18:13WSHT. Wilson0.07 xG
3rd 17:19OTTT. Stützle0.11 xG
3rd 18:28WSHA. ProtasEN0.42 xG
3rd 19:34WSHC. HutsonEN0.52 xG

Team Stats

OTTWSH

35Shots on goal25

3.61Expected goals3.82

77Shot attempts54

245v5 shots on goal19

0/3Power play1/2

15Hits25

12Blocked shots20

4Penalty minutes6

12Giveaways12

2Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

OTT 3.61 xGWSH 3.82 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

OTT35 on goal, 1 scored

WSH24 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

OTT Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Stützle	C	1	0	1	4	4	0	-1	0	21:09	4:04
C. Giroux	RW	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	13:20	2:27
S. Pinto	C	0	0	0	2	1	1	-1	0	19:04	2:29
B. Tkachuk	LW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	18:30	3:35
D. Cozens	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	18:25	3:33
D. Batherson	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	17:05	3:31
R. Greig	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	16:41	0:35
M. Amadio	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14:15	0:00
N. Cousins	C	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	2	13:20	0:00
F. Zetterlund	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	12:41	1:52
L. Eller	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	11:42	0:00
W. Foegele	LW	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	10:41	1:33
T. Chabot	D	0	1	1	2	2	2	-2	0	28:06	3:56
J. Spence	D	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	24:04	2:21
A. Zub	D	0	0	0	4	1	1	-2	0	20:41	0:04
T. Kleven	D	0	0	0	2	1	4	0	2	20:07	0:00
N. Matinpalo	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	10:08	0:00
D. Gilbert	D	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	9:33	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Ullmark	23	21	2	.913	57:42	Loss
J. Reimer	0	0	0	–	0:00

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Protas	LW	1	0	1	2	0	1	+1	0	19:38	0:00
T. Wilson	RW	1	0	1	5	5	1	+1	4	17:49	0:46
C. McMichael	LW	0	1	1	1	1	1	+1	0	17:34	2:00
P. Dubois	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	17:05	0:46
A. Ovechkin	LW	1	0	1	3	1	0	+1	0	12:57	2:46
A. Beauvillier	RW	0	0	0	2	0	1	+1	2	15:43	0:00
D. Strome	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	+1	0	14:15	2:00
E. Frank	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	13:26	2:00
B. Duhaime	LW	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	13:08	0:00
J. Sourdif	C	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	11:54	0:00
R. Leonard	RW	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	11:51	0:46
H. Lapierre	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11:19	0:00
R. Sandin	D	0	1	1	0	2	4	0	0	20:09	0:00
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	1	1	0	1	1	+1	0	17:24	0:00
C. Hutson	D	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	16:24	2:00
M. Roy	D	0	0	0	2	2	0	+1	0	23:31	0:00
M. Fehérváry	D	0	0	0	0	3	5	+1	0	21:52	0:00
J. Chychrun	D	0	0	0	0	0	3	+1	0	18:01	0:46

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Thompson	35	34	1	.971	60:00	Win
C. Lindgren	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

OTT

Line 1R. Greig15:29D. Cozens13:13B. Tkachuk12:39

Line 2S. Pinto14:23M. Amadio13:08N. Cousins13:20

Line 3D. Batherson11:30T. Stützle13:38C. Giroux9:34

Line 4L. Eller10:49W. Foegele9:08F. Zetterlund10:24

Pair 1T. Chabot20:42A. Zub19:18

Pair 2J. Spence20:57T. Kleven18:43

Pair 3D. Gilbert9:33N. Matinpalo9:22

WSH

Line 1T. Wilson14:24A. Protas14:50P. Dubois15:24

Line 2D. Strome12:15A. Beauvillier13:57A. Ovechkin10:11

Line 3C. McMichael11:20R. Leonard11:05J. Sourdif11:41

Line 4B. Duhaime10:24E. Frank11:01H. Lapierre10:54

Pair 1T. Riemsdyk14:52J. Chychrun16:41

Pair 2M. Fehérváry16:19R. Sandin17:12

Pair 3M. Roy18:56C. Hutson14:24

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamJakob Chychrun WSH Faces OTT, his team until Apr 20240 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	OTT 3.1, WSH 3.0	OTT 1, WSH 4
Total goals	6.1	5
Shots on goal	OTT 28.1, WSH 24.8	OTT 35, WSH 25
Win chance	OTT 51%	WSH won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
OTT B. Tkachuk	3.5	3	0.77	0	28%	0
WSH A. Ovechkin	2.6	3	0.84	1	35%	1
WSH J. Chychrun	2.5	0	0.71	0	23%	0
OTT D. Cozens	2.2	1	0.60	0	21%	0
OTT T. Stützle	2.2	4	0.89	1	27%	1
OTT T. Chabot	2.1	2	0.67	1	16%	0
OTT D. Batherson	2.1	2	0.72	0	24%	0
WSH T. Wilson	2.1	5	0.85	1	32%	1
OTT S. Pinto	2.1	2	0.55	0	22%	0
WSH A. Protas	1.9	2	0.73	1	25%	1
WSH D. Strome	1.7	2	0.84	0	26%	0
WSH A. Beauvillier	1.7	2	0.37	0	16%	0
WSH P. Dubois	1.7	1	0.71	1	24%	0
WSH R. Leonard	1.7	2	0.49	0	18%	0
WSH C. McMichael	1.7	1	0.53	1	20%	0
OTT W. Foegele	1.7	1	0.34	0	16%	0
OTT R. Greig	1.5	2	0.37	0	14%	0
WSH J. Sourdif	1.4	0	0.45	0	18%	0
OTT M. Amadio	1.4	0	0.44	0	18%	0
OTT F. Zetterlund	1.3	2	0.27	0	12%	0
OTT C. Giroux	1.3	3	0.47	1	15%	0
OTT J. Spence	1.2	2	0.35	0	6%	0
OTT N. Cousins	1.2	2	0.31	0	11%	0
WSH R. Sandin	1.2	0	0.41	1	7%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.2	2	0.31	0	6%	0
OTT T. Kleven	1.2	2	0.21	0	6%	0
WSH E. Frank	1.1	1	0.33	0	15%	0
OTT A. Zub	1.0	4	0.29	0	6%	0
OTT L. Eller	0.9	1	0.18	0	8%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	0.9	0	0.31	0	7%	0
WSH H. Lapierre	0.8	0	0.29	0	9%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	0.8	1	0.17	0	9%	0
OTT N. Matinpalo	0.7	1	0.11	0	2%	0
WSH T. Riemsdyk	0.7	0	0.21	1	3%	0
OTT D. Gilbert	0.5	1	0.19	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 26 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.