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Game Recap
PHI0
NJD5
NJD beat PHI 5-0, with the chances close: 3.03 expected goals to 2.49. J. Hughes led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). B. Pesce had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 1.3. J. Allen stopped 24 of 24.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NJD | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
- 2nd 0:54NJDO. PalatPP0.48 xG
- 2nd 6:27NJDL. Hughes0.07 xG
- 2nd 12:41NJDN. BastianPP0.42 xG
- 2nd 13:43NJDD. Mercer0.14 xG
- 3rd 1:58NJDJ. Hughes0.22 xG
Team Stats
PHINJD
24Shots on goal26
2.49Expected goals3.03
53Shot attempts63
195v5 shots on goal19
0/4Power play2/3
11Hits22
22Blocked shots14
16Penalty minutes16
15Giveaways17
3Takeaways1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
PHI 2.49 xGNJD 3.03 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
PHI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Frost | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 | 17:58 | 3:07 |
| T. Foerster | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:32 | 3:02 |
| N. Cates | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:24 | 2:33 |
| T. Konecny | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 17:05 | 3:06 |
| S. Laughton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 15:31 | 1:09 |
| S. Couturier | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 15:16 | 0:03 |
| A. Richard | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:55 | 3:00 |
| M. Michkov | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:31 | 2:58 |
| J. Farabee | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 14:00 | 0:12 |
| B. Brink | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:48 | 2:24 |
| G. Hathaway | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:28 | 0:02 |
| O. Tippett | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:55 | 1:23 |
| T. Sanheim | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 24:40 | 1:10 |
| J. Drysdale | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 20:42 | 1:43 |
| R. Ristolainen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19:59 | 3:48 |
| C. York | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:59 | 0:07 |
| N. Seeler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 4 | 15:10 | 0:00 |
| E. Johnson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:12 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ersson | 16 | 12 | 4 | .750 | 33:26 | Loss |
| I. Fedotov | 10 | 9 | 1 | .900 | 26:17 |
NJD Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hughes | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:44 | 3:12 |
| T. Meier | RW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:04 | 1:47 |
| J. Bratt | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:36 | 2:42 |
| D. Mercer | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:12 | 2:24 |
| N. Bastian | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:12 | 1:17 |
| O. Palat | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:03 | 2:38 |
| P. Cotter | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:27 | 1:09 |
| C. Lazar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14:00 | 0:49 |
| S. Noesen | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 13:29 | 1:28 |
| T. Tatar | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:28 | 1:44 |
| J. Dowling | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:45 | 0:00 |
| K. MacDermid | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:08 | 0:47 |
| B. Pesce | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 21:14 | 0:00 |
| L. Hughes | D | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 16:32 | 1:46 |
| B. Dillon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 20:48 | 0:00 |
| D. Hamilton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:22 | 3:28 |
| J. Siegenthaler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:48 | 0:49 |
| J. Kovacevic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:08 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Allen | 24 | 24 | 0 | 1.000 | 60:00 | Win |
| I. Poulter | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | PHI 2.5, NJD 3.1 | PHI 0, NJD 5 |
| Total goals | 5.7 | 5 |
| Shots on goal | PHI 25.4, NJD 27.7 | PHI 24, NJD 26 |
| Win chance | NJD 60% | NJD won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD J. Hughes | 3.8 | 3 | 1.25 | 2 | 39% | 1 |
| NJD T. Meier | 2.9 | 2 | 0.81 | 2 | 34% | 0 |
| PHI O. Tippett | 2.6 | 0 | 0.56 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| NJD J. Bratt | 2.5 | 0 | 1.08 | 2 | 31% | 0 |
| NJD D. Hamilton | 2.4 | 4 | 0.72 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| PHI T. Konecny | 2.3 | 3 | 0.85 | 0 | 30% | 0 |
| NJD S. Noesen | 2.2 | 3 | 0.65 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| NJD D. Mercer | 1.7 | 1 | 0.53 | 1 | 25% | 1 |
| PHI T. Sanheim | 1.7 | 1 | 0.41 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| PHI M. Frost | 1.7 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| PHI M. Michkov | 1.7 | 0 | 0.49 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| PHI J. Farabee | 1.6 | 3 | 0.39 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| PHI S. Laughton | 1.6 | 3 | 0.44 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| PHI T. Foerster | 1.6 | 2 | 0.44 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| PHI N. Cates | 1.6 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| NJD L. Hughes | 1.5 | 2 | 0.60 | 2 | 10% | 1 |
| PHI S. Couturier | 1.5 | 3 | 0.36 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| PHI R. Ristolainen | 1.5 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| PHI B. Brink | 1.4 | 0 | 0.41 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| NJD O. Palat | 1.4 | 1 | 0.48 | 1 | 19% | 1 |
| PHI C. York | 1.3 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| NJD B. Pesce | 1.3 | 6 | 0.27 | 2 | 6% | 0 |
| NJD P. Cotter | 1.2 | 0 | 0.35 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| PHI N. Seeler | 1.2 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| PHI J. Drysdale | 1.2 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| PHI G. Hathaway | 1.1 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| PHI A. Richard | 1.0 | 1 | 0.37 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| NJD N. Bastian | 1.0 | 1 | 0.26 | 1 | 11% | 1 |
| NJD J. Siegenthaler | 1.0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| NJD J. Kovacevic | 0.9 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| NJD T. Tatar | 0.9 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| PHI E. Johnson | 0.9 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| NJD C. Lazar | 0.8 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| NJD J. Dowling | 0.8 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| NJD B. Dillon | 0.6 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| NJD K. MacDermid | 0.3 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.