Game Recap: PHI 3, PIT 2, April 18, 2026

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Game Recap

PHI3

FinalSat, Apr 18, 2026PlayoffsEvery game that night

PIT2

PHI beat PIT 3-2, and the chances backed it up: 2.27 expected goals to 1.35. E. Malkin led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). D. Vladar stopped 16 of 18.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
PHI	0	1	2	3
PIT	0	1	1	2

2nd 9:19PHIJ. Drysdale0.03 xG
2nd 15:51PITE. Malkin0.04 xG
3rd 10:00PHIT. Sanheim0.16 xG
3rd 17:23PHIP. Martone0.06 xG
3rd 18:59PITB. Rust0.03 xG

Team Stats

PHIPIT

20Shots on goal18

2.27Expected goals1.35

43Shot attempts47

155v5 shots on goal12

0/3Power play0/2

40Hits41

14Blocked shots9

8Penalty minutes10

10Giveaways15

5Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

PHI 2.27 xGPIT 1.35 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

PHI18 on goal, 3 scored

PIT18 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

PHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Dvorak	C	0	1	1	2	2	2	+2	0	18:00	2:58
T. Konecny	RW	0	1	1	0	4	0	+2	0	16:21	3:26
P. Martone	RW	1	0	1	1	3	1	+2	0	15:47	2:48
T. Zegras	C	0	1	1	2	0	1	+1	0	15:31	3:14
D. Barkey	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	11:26	0:00
O. Tippett	RW	0	0	0	3	2	1	+1	0	16:37	2:57
T. Foerster	RW	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	16:01	2:29
S. Couturier	C	0	0	0	2	7	0	-1	0	15:47	0:12
N. Cates	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	0	15:30	2:53
L. Glendening	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	0	13:17	0:05
G. Hathaway	RW	0	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	12:07	0:10
M. Michkov	RW	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	11:25	2:17
R. Ristolainen	D	0	2	2	1	1	1	-1	2	25:00	2:54
T. Sanheim	D	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	4	23:20	0:31
J. Drysdale	D	1	0	1	1	0	2	+1	2	20:57	3:06
C. York	D	0	0	0	1	2	2	+1	0	22:02	0:00
N. Seeler	D	0	0	0	0	3	1	+1	0	14:04	0:00
E. Andrae	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	9:39	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Vladar	18	16	2	.889	60:00	Win
S. Ersson	0	0	0	–	0:00

PIT Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
E. Malkin	C	1	1	2	1	2	0	+2	0	20:27	3:02
B. Rust	RW	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	20:55	2:49
R. Rakell	RW	0	1	1	2	3	0	+2	0	17:53	2:39
T. Novak	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	13:26	1:10
S. Crosby	C	0	0	0	3	3	1	-1	4	19:36	2:41
E. Chinakhov	RW	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	16:16	1:11
A. Mantha	RW	0	0	0	1	5	0	-1	4	13:38	0:58
B. Kindel	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	12:59	1:21
B. Lizotte	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	11:38	0:00
C. Dewar	C	0	0	0	0	6	1	-1	0	11:35	0:00
E. Soderblom	LW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	10:25	0:00
N. Acciari	C	0	0	0	1	3	0	-1	0	9:21	0:00
E. Karlsson	D	0	1	1	3	0	2	0	0	25:43	2:36
K. Letang	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-2	2	21:22	1:24
P. Wotherspoon	D	0	0	0	0	4	1	+1	0	19:34	0:09
S. Girard	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	-2	0	18:20	0:00
R. Shea	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	15:41	0:00
C. Clifton	D	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	14:22	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Skinner	20	17	3	.850	57:40	Loss
A. Silovs	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

PHI

Line 1T. Konecny12:32P. Martone12:59C. Dvorak12:12

Line 2T. Zegras11:52O. Tippett12:20T. Foerster11:28

Line 3S. Couturier12:14L. Glendening10:05G. Hathaway10:03

Line 4D. Barkey11:26N. Cates9:45M. Michkov9:08

Pair 1T. Sanheim18:40R. Ristolainen16:58

Pair 2C. York17:14J. Drysdale17:41

Pair 3N. Seeler11:19E. Andrae9:39

PIT

Line 1S. Crosby15:34E. Chinakhov14:37B. Rust13:14

Line 2E. Malkin14:27R. Rakell12:11T. Novak11:38

Line 3B. Kindel11:12A. Mantha11:42E. Soderblom10:25

Line 4C. Dewar7:58B. Lizotte7:27N. Acciari6:04

Pair 1K. Letang16:36S. Girard16:22

Pair 2P. Wotherspoon14:49E. Karlsson15:29

Pair 3R. Shea13:46C. Clifton14:04

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamNoel Acciari PHI First game back in Pittsburgh, his team until Apr 20261 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	PHI 3.0, PIT 3.4	PHI 3, PIT 2
Total goals	6.3	5
Shots on goal	PHI 24.8, PIT 26.4	PHI 20, PIT 18
Win chance	PIT 57%	PHI won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
PHI P. Martone	2.7	1	0.71	1	20%	1
PHI O. Tippett	2.6	3	0.63	0	27%	0
PIT R. Rakell	2.4	2	0.78	1	30%	0
PIT B. Rust	2.3	3	0.87	1	32%	1
PIT E. Malkin	2.3	1	0.91	2	27%	1
PIT S. Crosby	2.2	3	1.03	0	32%	0
PIT E. Chinakhov	2.1	0	0.60	0	24%	0
PIT E. Karlsson	2.0	3	0.74	1	15%	0
PHI M. Michkov	2.0	0	0.67	0	22%	0
PHI T. Konecny	1.9	0	0.78	1	26%	0
PHI T. Foerster	1.9	2	0.55	0	26%	0
PHI T. Zegras	1.8	2	0.71	1	23%	0
PIT T. Novak	1.8	0	0.62	1	24%	0
PIT A. Mantha	1.7	1	0.72	0	27%	0
PHI C. Dvorak	1.7	2	0.60	1	19%	0
PIT B. Kindel	1.7	0	0.45	0	19%	0
PHI N. Cates	1.5	2	0.54	0	18%	0
PHI R. Ristolainen	1.5	1	0.35	2	6%	0
PHI S. Couturier	1.4	2	0.43	0	14%	0
PIT C. Dewar	1.4	0	0.38	0	15%	0
PIT N. Acciari	1.3	1	0.30	0	14%	0
PIT E. Soderblom	1.3	3	0.34	0	15%	0
PHI J. Drysdale	1.3	1	0.36	1	9%	1
PHI T. Sanheim	1.2	1	0.41	1	11%	1
PIT K. Letang	1.2	1	0.42	0	8%	0
PHI C. York	1.1	1	0.30	0	7%	0
PHI N. Seeler	1.1	0	0.18	0	4%	0
PHI D. Barkey	1.0	1	0.39	1	13%	0
PIT B. Lizotte	0.9	0	0.37	0	15%	0
PHI L. Glendening	0.9	0	0.17	0	8%	0
PIT R. Shea	0.9	0	0.38	0	7%	0
PIT C. Clifton	0.8	0	0.22	0	5%	0
PIT P. Wotherspoon	0.8	0	0.31	0	3%	0
PIT S. Girard	0.8	0	0.32	0	5%	0
PHI G. Hathaway	0.8	0	0.19	0	10%	0
PHI E. Andrae	0.6	1	0.16	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 26 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.5 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.