Game Recap: PHI 3, PIT 0, April 20, 2026

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Game Recap

PHI3

FinalMon, Apr 20, 2026PlayoffsEvery game that night

PIT0

PHI beat PIT 3-0, with the chances close: 2.89 expected goals to 2.15. G. Hathaway led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). P. Martone had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.5. D. Vladar stopped 27 of 27.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
PHI	0	2	1	3
PIT	0	0	0	0

2nd 13:39PHIP. Martone0.14 xG
2nd 17:43PHIG. HathawaySH0.30 xG
3rd 17:55PHIL. GlendeningEN0.95 xG

Team Stats

PHIPIT

23Shots on goal27

2.89Expected goals2.15

37Shot attempts75

135v5 shots on goal25

0/4Power play0/5

48Hits32

23Blocked shots8

30Penalty minutes50

19Giveaways13

3Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

PHI 2.89 xGPIT 2.15 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

PHI24 on goal, 3 scored

PIT27 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

PHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
G. Hathaway	RW	1	1	2	1	7	0	+2	0	11:15	0:19
C. Dvorak	C	0	1	1	2	0	1	+1	0	17:09	2:09
S. Couturier	C	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	0	16:30	0:38
O. Tippett	RW	0	1	1	1	7	0	+1	0	15:57	2:46
T. Konecny	RW	0	1	1	2	6	0	+1	2	15:05	1:58
P. Martone	RW	1	0	1	6	2	0	+1	0	14:27	2:35
L. Glendening	C	1	0	1	2	1	3	+1	2	12:56	0:19
T. Foerster	RW	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	20:23	3:29
N. Cates	LW	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	17:43	3:05
T. Zegras	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	13:03	2:16
M. Michkov	RW	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	9:32	1:38
D. Barkey	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	8:53	0:00
T. Sanheim	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	+3	0	26:05	1:37
R. Ristolainen	D	0	0	0	3	5	1	+2	12	24:49	2:50
C. York	D	0	0	0	0	4	2	+1	0	23:26	0:00
J. Drysdale	D	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	20:01	2:57
N. Seeler	D	0	0	0	0	4	4	0	12	15:25	0:00
N. Juulsen	D	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	7:21	0:19

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Vladar	27	27	0	1.000	60:00	Win
S. Ersson	0	0	0	–	0:00

PIT Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
S. Crosby	C	4	3	1	-1	0	20:51	4:38
B. Rust	RW	1	0	0	-1	0	20:48	4:49
R. Rakell	RW	1	1	1	-1	0	19:28	5:01
E. Malkin	C	2	1	0	-2	2	17:20	5:55
E. Chinakhov	RW	3	1	0	-2	0	15:47	2:42
B. Lizotte	C	0	3	0	0	0	14:13	0:16
N. Acciari	C	2	2	0	0	10	13:41	0:13
T. Novak	C	3	0	0	-2	0	13:14	1:58
A. Mantha	RW	0	4	0	-1	10	12:44	3:03
C. Dewar	C	0	3	0	0	0	11:47	0:05
B. Kindel	C	3	0	0	-1	0	11:00	2:27
E. Soderblom	LW	1	5	0	0	0	8:39	0:00
E. Karlsson	D	1	0	1	-1	2	27:29	4:48
K. Letang	D	3	1	2	-2	14	20:43	3:14
P. Wotherspoon	D	0	3	0	0	12	18:40	0:05
S. Girard	D	2	0	1	0	0	17:18	0:22
R. Shea	D	1	1	1	-1	0	17:07	0:10
C. Clifton	D	0	4	1	-1	0	11:34	0:03

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Skinner	22	20	2	.909	59:31	Loss
A. Silovs	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

PHI

Line 1T. Konecny12:07C. Dvorak12:57P. Martone11:47

Line 2O. Tippett12:08T. Foerster13:45T. Zegras10:00

Line 3S. Couturier11:22G. Hathaway9:44L. Glendening9:13

Line 4N. Cates11:07M. Michkov7:54D. Barkey8:53

Pair 1R. Ristolainen18:07T. Sanheim18:24

Pair 2C. York17:51J. Drysdale15:51

Pair 3N. Seeler12:40N. Juulsen5:45

PIT

Line 1S. Crosby15:03B. Rust14:07R. Rakell13:31

Line 2N. Acciari10:01B. Lizotte10:09C. Dewar9:20

Line 3E. Malkin10:40T. Novak10:32E. Chinakhov11:57

Line 4A. Mantha9:41E. Soderblom8:39B. Kindel7:56

Pair 1E. Karlsson19:36P. Wotherspoon14:30

Pair 2R. Shea13:47C. Clifton11:12

Pair 3K. Letang13:47S. Girard15:07

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamNoel Acciari PHI First game back in Pittsburgh, his team until Apr 20262 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	PHI 2.9, PIT 3.3	PHI 3, PIT 0
Total goals	6.2	3
Shots on goal	PHI 24.5, PIT 25.9	PHI 23, PIT 27
Win chance	PIT 56%	PHI won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
PHI O. Tippett	2.6	1	0.63	1	26%	0
PHI P. Martone	2.5	6	0.73	1	21%	1
PIT R. Rakell	2.4	1	0.78	0	29%	0
PIT B. Rust	2.3	1	0.88	0	32%	0
PIT E. Malkin	2.3	2	0.94	0	28%	0
PIT S. Crosby	2.2	4	1.03	0	32%	0
PIT E. Chinakhov	2.1	3	0.60	0	24%	0
PIT E. Karlsson	2.1	1	0.75	0	15%	0
PHI T. Konecny	1.9	2	0.78	1	26%	0
PHI T. Foerster	1.9	0	0.54	0	26%	0
PHI M. Michkov	1.9	2	0.64	0	21%	0
PHI T. Zegras	1.8	0	0.70	0	23%	0
PHI C. Dvorak	1.7	2	0.60	1	19%	0
PIT A. Mantha	1.7	0	0.69	0	26%	0
PIT T. Novak	1.7	3	0.60	0	23%	0
PIT B. Kindel	1.6	3	0.43	0	18%	0
PHI R. Ristolainen	1.5	3	0.38	0	6%	0
PHI N. Cates	1.5	1	0.54	0	18%	0
PHI S. Couturier	1.4	1	0.43	1	14%	0
PIT C. Dewar	1.3	0	0.36	0	15%	0
PIT E. Soderblom	1.3	1	0.32	0	15%	0
PHI J. Drysdale	1.2	0	0.38	0	9%	0
PIT K. Letang	1.2	3	0.42	0	8%	0
PHI T. Sanheim	1.2	2	0.42	0	11%	0
PIT N. Acciari	1.2	2	0.28	0	13%	0
PHI C. York	1.1	0	0.30	0	7%	0
PHI N. Seeler	1.0	0	0.17	0	4%	0
PHI D. Barkey	1.0	0	0.39	0	12%	0
PIT B. Lizotte	0.9	0	0.35	0	14%	0
PHI L. Glendening	0.9	2	0.17	1	8%	1
PIT P. Wotherspoon	0.8	0	0.31	0	3%	0
PIT R. Shea	0.8	1	0.36	0	7%	0
PIT C. Clifton	0.8	0	0.21	0	5%	0
PIT S. Girard	0.8	2	0.31	0	5%	0
PHI G. Hathaway	0.8	1	0.19	2	10%	1
PHI N. Juulsen	0.5	0	0.13	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 17 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.