Game Recap: PIT 4, PHI 2, April 25, 2026

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Game Recap

PIT4

FinalSat, Apr 25, 2026PlayoffsEvery game that night

PHI2

PIT beat PHI 4-2, with the chances close: 2.84 expected goals to 2.71. PHI outshot PIT 30 to 21. S. Crosby led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). J. Drysdale had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.3. A. Silovs stopped 28 of 30.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
PIT	1	1	2	4
PHI	0	1	1	2

1st 14:24PITS. CrosbyPP0.10 xG
2nd 1:03PITR. Rakell0.03 xG
2nd 15:40PHID. Barkey0.28 xG
3rd 4:27PITK. Letang0.13 xG
3rd 7:03PHIT. Konecny0.10 xG
3rd 19:03PITC. DewarEN0.95 xG

Team Stats

PITPHI

21Shots on goal30

2.84Expected goals2.71

60Shot attempts57

185v5 shots on goal17

1/3Power play0/3

36Hits29

15Blocked shots18

6Penalty minutes18

14Giveaways15

7Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

PIT 2.84 xGPHI 2.71 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

PIT22 on goal, 4 scored

PHI29 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

PIT Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
S. Crosby	C	1	1	2	3	1	2	+1	0	18:54	2:10
R. Rakell	RW	1	1	2	1	3	0	+1	0	17:25	2:12
C. Dewar	C	1	0	1	1	5	0	+1	0	16:25	0:00
B. Lizotte	C	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	2	14:43	0:00
N. Acciari	C	0	1	1	1	6	0	+1	0	14:35	0:00
B. Rust	RW	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	19:19	2:10
E. Malkin	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	15:39	2:32
E. Chinakhov	RW	0	0	0	0	2	1	-1	0	15:15	1:55
T. Novak	C	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	13:02	1:33
A. Mantha	RW	0	0	0	2	3	1	-1	2	12:11	1:55
B. Kindel	C	0	0	0	1	3	1	-1	0	10:16	1:53
E. Soderblom	LW	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	8:09	0:00
E. Karlsson	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	-1	2	26:47	2:32
K. Letang	D	1	0	1	3	2	0	+2	0	23:19	1:33
P. Wotherspoon	D	0	0	0	1	3	2	-2	0	23:49	0:00
S. Girard	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	+2	0	17:57	0:00
R. Shea	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	+1	0	16:46	0:00
I. Solovyov	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	7:33	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Silovs	30	28	2	.933	59:56	Win
S. Skinner	0	0	0	–	0:00

PHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Konecny	RW	1	0	1	2	3	0	-2	0	19:21	3:35
T. Zegras	C	0	1	1	2	5	0	0	10	18:43	2:26
C. Dvorak	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	-2	0	17:36	3:18
D. Barkey	C	1	0	1	2	4	0	+1	2	12:15	0:00
P. Martone	RW	0	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	18:13	2:13
T. Foerster	RW	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	0	16:44	2:26
O. Tippett	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	0	16:42	3:27
N. Cates	LW	0	0	0	2	0	2	-1	0	14:35	2:11
S. Couturier	C	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	14:10	0:19
M. Michkov	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	11:18	3:14
L. Glendening	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	10:50	0:16
G. Hathaway	RW	0	0	0	2	2	3	0	4	10:45	0:00
T. Sanheim	D	0	1	1	1	0	2	+1	0	26:59	0:35
C. York	D	0	1	1	1	1	3	-1	0	20:14	0:12
R. Ristolainen	D	0	0	0	4	1	0	+1	0	26:09	3:38
J. Drysdale	D	0	0	0	4	0	0	-2	0	19:51	2:10
N. Seeler	D	0	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	12:20	0:00
N. Juulsen	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	8:55	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Vladar	20	17	3	.850	58:15	Loss
S. Ersson	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

PIT

Line 1S. Crosby15:35B. Rust13:37R. Rakell13:17

Line 2E. Malkin11:49T. Novak11:25E. Chinakhov12:12

Line 3N. Acciari11:17C. Dewar11:27B. Lizotte10:59

Line 4A. Mantha10:16B. Kindel7:59E. Soderblom8:09

Pair 1P. Wotherspoon19:31E. Karlsson19:12

Pair 2K. Letang18:22S. Girard16:32

Pair 3R. Shea11:22I. Solovyov7:29

PHI

Line 1T. Konecny14:40P. Martone14:39C. Dvorak11:23

Line 2O. Tippett12:02T. Zegras14:08D. Barkey11:29

Line 3S. Couturier11:52G. Hathaway10:02L. Glendening9:37

Line 4N. Cates9:36M. Michkov7:21T. Foerster11:13

Pair 1R. Ristolainen18:00T. Sanheim21:30

Pair 2C. York17:03J. Drysdale16:25

Pair 3N. Seeler10:35N. Juulsen8:55

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamNoel Acciari PHI Faces PIT, his team until Apr 20261 A, 1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	PIT 3.1, PHI 3.1	PIT 4, PHI 2
Total goals	6.2	6
Shots on goal	PIT 24.8, PHI 25.7	PIT 21, PHI 30
Win chance	PHI 50%	PIT won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
PHI P. Martone	2.7	3	0.79	0	23%	0
PHI O. Tippett	2.5	0	0.66	0	27%	0
PIT R. Rakell	2.5	1	0.77	2	29%	1
PIT S. Crosby	2.3	3	1.02	2	32%	1
PIT B. Rust	2.3	1	0.82	0	31%	0
PIT E. Malkin	2.3	0	0.89	0	27%	0
PIT E. Karlsson	2.1	1	0.73	1	15%	0
PHI T. Foerster	2.0	1	0.61	0	28%	0
PIT E. Chinakhov	1.9	0	0.49	0	20%	0
PHI T. Konecny	1.9	2	0.79	1	26%	1
PHI C. Dvorak	1.7	1	0.63	1	20%	0
PHI T. Zegras	1.7	2	0.71	1	23%	0
PHI M. Michkov	1.7	1	0.58	0	19%	0
PHI R. Ristolainen	1.6	4	0.42	0	7%	0
PHI S. Couturier	1.6	2	0.50	0	15%	0
PHI N. Cates	1.6	2	0.58	0	19%	0
PIT B. Kindel	1.5	1	0.37	0	16%	0
PIT T. Novak	1.5	0	0.49	0	19%	0
PIT A. Mantha	1.5	2	0.57	0	23%	0
PHI T. Sanheim	1.3	1	0.46	1	12%	0
PHI J. Drysdale	1.3	4	0.40	0	10%	0
PIT K. Letang	1.3	3	0.40	1	8%	1
PIT N. Acciari	1.2	1	0.25	1	12%	0
PIT E. Soderblom	1.1	3	0.28	0	13%	0
PHI C. York	1.1	1	0.31	1	7%	0
PIT C. Dewar	1.1	1	0.30	1	12%	1
PHI N. Seeler	1.0	1	0.19	0	5%	0
PHI L. Glendening	0.9	1	0.19	0	10%	0
PHI D. Barkey	0.8	2	0.34	1	11%	1
PIT B. Lizotte	0.8	1	0.32	1	13%	0
PHI G. Hathaway	0.8	2	0.22	0	11%	0
PIT I. Solovyov	0.8	0	0.25	0	3%	0
PIT S. Girard	0.8	1	0.28	0	5%	0
PIT P. Wotherspoon	0.8	1	0.27	0	3%	0
PIT R. Shea	0.7	1	0.30	0	6%	0
PHI N. Juulsen	0.5	0	0.14	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.