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Game Recap
TBL6
FinalSat, Nov 4, 2023Every game that night
OTT4

TBL beat OTT 6-4, and the chances backed it up: 4.30 expected goals to 2.35. TBL outshot OTT 38 to 28. N. Kucherov led the way with 5 points (1 G, 4 A). J. Johansson stopped 24 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TBL1326
OTT1034
  1. 1st 12:58OTTB. Tkachuk0.18 xG
  2. 1st 17:05TBLV. Hedman0.16 xG
  3. 2nd 0:32TBLB. Point0.12 xG
  4. 2nd 4:57TBLM. Eyssimont0.18 xG
  5. 2nd 18:15TBLB. Point0.41 xG
  6. 3rd 1:17OTTC. Giroux0.06 xG
  7. 3rd 9:38TBLB. PointPP0.12 xG
  8. 3rd 11:08OTTB. TkachukPP0.06 xG
  9. 3rd 11:24TBLN. Kucherov0.15 xG
  10. 3rd 12:14OTTD. Batherson0.15 xG

Team Stats

TBLOTT
38Shots on goal28
4.30Expected goals2.35
66Shot attempts58
365v5 shots on goal21
1/3Power play1/4
32Hits19
16Blocked shots16
11Penalty minutes9
9Giveaways13
4Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 4.30 xGOTT 2.35 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTT goal, 12:58TBL goal, 17:05TBL goal, 0:32TBL goal, 4:57TBL goal, 18:15OTT goal, 1:17TBL goal, 9:38OTT goal, 11:08TBL goal, 11:24OTT goal, 12:14

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL38 on goal, 6 scored
OTT28 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW145501+1021:004:21
B. PointC314500+1017:593:35
A. CirelliC011012+1018:331:46
S. StamkosC011400-1018:324:21
A. Barré-BouletC011210+2011:020:57
M. EyssimontC101220+1010:010:03
N. PaulLW0001220018:194:19
B. HagelLW000211+2017:521:05
C. ShearyLW0002000015:230:00
L. GlendeningC000120-1011:530:00
T. JeannotLW0002600410:211:04
A. WatsonLW000331057:010:00
V. HedmanD112131+1224:463:26
M. SergachevD0001230024:421:55
E. CernakD000452+1023:160:05
D. RaddyshD000131+1016:460:00
C. de HaanD000001+1014:020:03
Z. BogosianD0002110011:290:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Johansson28244.85759:50Win
M. Tomkins000–0:00

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. TkachukLW2136300021:514:05
T. StützleC0110110024:503:57
D. BathersonRW101412+1019:473:40
J. NorrisC011210+1019:453:52
M. JosephRW011200-2019:003:04
C. GirouxRW101200-1218:103:26
D. KubalikLW0002010014:503:18
V. TarasenkoRW0003100014:433:13
R. ChartierC000100-2011:280:00
P. KellyC000010-109:150:00
R. JarventieLW000013-106:380:00
Z. MacEwenRW000030-155:020:00
J. SandersonD022300-1028:374:06
J. Bernard-DockerD011135-1020:070:09
J. ChychrunD000110-1027:293:15
T. HamonicD000113-2218:500:00
T. KlevenD000001+109:030:00
N. MatinpaloD000020006:520:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Korpisalo21183.85724:57
A. Forsberg17143.82433:26Loss