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Game Recap
TOR5
Final/SOSat, Mar 18, 2023Every game that night
OTT4

TOR beat OTT 5-4 in a shootout despite fewer good chances: 3.08 expected goals to 4.71. OTT outshot TOR 52 to 29. B. Tkachuk led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). M. Murray stopped 48 of 52.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdSOT
TOR12115
OTT11204
  1. 1st 3:11TORJ. McCabe0.13 xG
  2. 1st 14:28OTTJ. Gauthier0.07 xG
  3. 2nd 5:32OTTT. StützleSH0.06 xG
  4. 2nd 6:09TORM. MarnerPP0.13 xG
  5. 2nd 9:16TORC. Jarnkrok0.10 xG
  6. 3rd 9:39TORC. Jarnkrok0.24 xG
  7. 3rd 10:42OTTB. Tkachuk0.21 xG
  8. 3rd 19:49OTTB. TkachukPP0.05 xG

Team Stats

TOROTT
29Shots on goal52
3.08Expected goals4.71
51Shot attempts92
215v5 shots on goal42
1/2Power play1/3
25Hits34
20Blocked shots16
6Penalty minutes4
15Giveaways11
1Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 3.08 xGOTT 4.71 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTTOR goal, 3:11OTT goal, 14:28OTT goal, 5:32TOR goal, 6:09TOR goal, 9:16TOR goal, 9:39OTT goal, 10:42OTT goal, 19:49

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR29 on goal, 4 scored
OTT51 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW1124100025:312:38
A. MatthewsC022410+2023:252:55
J. TavaresC0220300018:562:22
C. JarnkrokC202300+1017:550:40
A. KerfootC011220+1016:040:21
D. KampfC000230-1018:030:04
W. NylanderRW000200-2016:532:55
S. LaffertyC000102-1013:100:40
M. BuntingLW0003000013:101:09
Z. Aston-ReeseLW000000-1011:030:00
B. McMannC000110007:000:00
W. SimmondsRW000030006:440:00
J. McCabeD101203+3023:490:19
T. LiljegrenD011232+1222:520:57
M. RiellyD011222+1020:292:55
T. BrodieD000103-2221:140:00
J. HollD000037-2220:580:00
L. SchennD0000310013:090:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Murray52484.92365:00Win
J. Woll000–0:00

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. StützleC1123200027:183:09
B. TkachukLW202841-1023:483:00
C. GirouxRW0118100021:052:17
S. PintoC011612+1015:001:30
J. GauthierRW101220+1010:190:00
D. BathersonRW000440-1022:523:01
A. DeBrincatRW000110-1020:042:48
D. BrassardC000030+1013:171:31
R. GreigC000110-1212:200:00
A. WatsonLW000120009:100:00
D. GambrellC000311008:330:00
P. BrownC000140008:200:00
T. HamonicD0223330019:490:00
T. ChabotD0110140023:141:52
E. BrannstromD011510+1016:270:00
J. SandersonD0001140023:072:35
J. ChychrunD0004100221:221:27
A. ZubD000111-1017:060:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Sogaard29254.86263:10OT loss
K. Mandolese000–0:00