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Game Recap
TOR2
Final/OTSat, Apr 29, 2023PlayoffsEvery game that night
TBL1

TOR beat TBL 2-1 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.45 expected goals to 3.31. TBL outshot TOR 32 to 22. I. Samsonov stopped 31 of 32.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
TOR01012
TBL00101
  1. 2nd 13:47TORA. Matthews0.13 xG
  2. 3rd 4:11TBLS. Stamkos0.04 xG
  3. OT 4:36TORJ. Tavares0.03 xG

Team Stats

TORTBL
22Shots on goal32
2.45Expected goals3.31
57Shot attempts79
205v5 shots on goal26
0/2Power play0/2
42Hits41
29Blocked shots19
4Penalty minutes4
11Giveaways11
23Takeaways17

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 2.45 xGTBL 3.31 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTTOR goal, 13:47TBL goal, 4:11TOR goal, 4:36

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR21 on goal, 2 scored
TBL32 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. MatthewsC1013140022:422:23
J. TavaresC101110+2016:392:22
M. KniesLW0110100013:390:07
M. MarnerRW000300+2022:222:22
R. O'ReillyC0000110018:521:54
N. AcciariC0000820018:310:01
W. NylanderRW000311-1017:051:59
D. KampfC0001110016:250:09
M. BuntingLW0001200016:211:37
C. JarnkrokC0000100016:081:29
A. KerfootC0001220014:361:26
T. BrodieD011143+1223:440:00
M. RiellyD011222+1023:012:20
J. McCabeD000174+1027:220:00
L. SchennD000282+1217:420:00
M. GiordanoD000205-1016:080:04
T. LiljegrenD0001100010:310:11
E. GustafssonD000012-107:381:36
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov32311.96964:10Win
J. Woll000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. StamkosC101421-1218:483:09
A. CirelliC0114340018:380:19
B. HagelLW0001200021:171:00
N. KucherovRW000220-1220:442:52
B. PointC000111-1020:222:54
A. KillornLW0003100020:112:40
N. PaulLW0001100016:351:07
R. ColtonC0003110013:511:04
M. EyssimontC0002500013:040:00
C. PerryRW0000100010:090:48
P. BellemareLW000152009:560:00
P. MaroonLW000020009:490:00
D. RaddyshD011411-1026:210:00
M. SergachevD000124-1026:423:09
V. HedmanD0001300024:130:56
N. PerbixD0001410018:050:02
I. ColeD0000230017:110:00
Z. BogosianD0003310013:040:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy22202.90964:36Loss
B. Elliott000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamDarren Raddysh TOR First game back in Tampa, his team until May 20261 A, 4 SOG
  • Old teamNick Paul TOR First game back in Tampa, his team until May 20261 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.