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Game Recap
VGK4
Final/OTThu, Mar 9, 2023Every game that night
TBL3

VGK beat TBL 4-3 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.75 expected goals to 4.08. TBL outshot VGK 37 to 21. B. Point led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). J. Quick stopped 34 of 37.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
VGK10214
TBL10203
  1. 1st 0:27VGKK. Kolesar0.11 xG
  2. 1st 4:28TBLB. Point0.33 xG
  3. 3rd 2:27VGKW. KarlssonSH0.16 xG
  4. 3rd 5:39VGKC. StephensonPP0.08 xG
  5. 3rd 17:53TBLN. Kucherov0.06 xG
  6. 3rd 19:32TBLB. PointPP0.13 xG
  7. OT 3:09VGKA. Martinez0.81 xG

Team Stats

VGKTBL
21Shots on goal37
2.75Expected goals4.08
36Shot attempts72
95v5 shots on goal27
1/2Power play1/5
33Hits36
18Blocked shots10
75Penalty minutes71
3Giveaways8
10Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

VGK 2.75 xGTBL 4.08 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTVGK goal, 0:27TBL goal, 4:28VGK goal, 2:27VGK goal, 5:39TBL goal, 17:53TBL goal, 19:32VGK goal, 3:09

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

VGK20 on goal, 4 scored
TBL36 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

VGK Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
R. SmithRW011330+1022:581:53
J. EichelC0112410021:132:15
C. StephensonC1011010221:082:15
W. KarlssonC1014110020:460:40
J. MarchessaultRW0111000016:321:02
T. BluegerC011110+11213:380:00
B. HowdenC011020+11213:300:00
K. KolesarRW101140+11211:240:00
I. BarbashevLW000240-1017:470:40
P. KesselRW000010007:100:00
M. AmadioRW000210-107:102:15
P. CotterLW000011-106:330:00
S. TheodoreD011011-1423:542:06
A. PietrangeloD011105-1023:390:49
A. MartinezD101104+2021:470:40
Z. WhitecloudD00002201218:430:00
B. McNabbD000131+1917:170:00
N. HagueD00015101216:000:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Quick37343.91963:09Win
J. Patera000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW123520+1021:254:19
B. PointC2135020021:204:31
S. StamkosC0112000221:154:34
A. CirelliC000110+1019:480:31
A. KillornLW0002100019:214:11
B. HagelLW000122-1019:111:39
N. PaulLW0001100014:521:34
R. ColtonC0001100013:191:51
C. PerryRW000000-11210:571:58
T. JeannotLW0000910510:500:00
M. EyssimontC0003400149:160:00
P. MaroonLW000250-1149:040:00
M. SergachevD022302+1026:274:31
I. ColeD0001310022:530:13
E. CernakD000440-1022:220:13
N. PerbixD0004100020:031:43
Z. BogosianD00011101212:470:00
H. FleuryD000111-11211:160:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy21174.81061:15OT loss
B. Elliott000–0:00