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Game Recap
WPG3
FinalSun, Mar 12, 2023Every game that night
TBL2

WPG beat TBL 3-2 despite fewer good chances: 2.73 expected goals to 3.56. TBL outshot WPG 35 to 22. A. Cirelli led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). C. Hellebuyck stopped 33 of 35.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
WPG1203
TBL1102
  1. 1st 1:19TBLA. Killorn0.16 xG
  2. 1st 10:15WPGN. Schmidt0.01 xG
  3. 2nd 1:01WPGN. NiederreiterPP0.10 xG
  4. 2nd 9:04WPGM. Barron0.27 xG
  5. 2nd 10:01TBLA. CirelliSH0.16 xG

Team Stats

WPGTBL
22Shots on goal35
2.73Expected goals3.56
40Shot attempts64
195v5 shots on goal26
1/2Power play0/3
42Hits33
12Blocked shots8
6Penalty minutes2
4Giveaways12
6Takeaways10

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WPG 2.73 xGTBL 3.56 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdTBL goal, 1:19WPG goal, 10:15WPG goal, 1:01WPG goal, 9:04TBL goal, 10:01

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WPG22 on goal, 3 scored
TBL35 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WPG Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. ScheifeleC011122-2219:241:24
N. NiederreiterRW101150-1017:141:24
M. AppletonC011200+1016:000:00
M. BarronC101270+1014:110:00
B. WheelerRW011210-2013:111:24
K. ConnorLW000210-2220:142:27
A. LowryC0001400018:070:00
N. EhlersLW0002100014:051:03
V. NamestnikovC0000300012:060:56
K. StenlundC000121+2211:361:03
S. MaenalanenRW000110+1011:260:00
D. GustafssonC000111+108:290:00
B. DillonD011100+1021:230:00
N. SchmidtD1011210020:131:03
L. StanleyD0111400015:420:00
N. PionkD0000630023:451:31
D. DeMeloD0003040019:430:00
D. SambergD0000200017:140:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Hellebuyck35332.94359:57Win
D. Rittich000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. HagelLW022220+2021:121:52
A. CirelliC112210+2010:400:07
A. KillornLW101621+1018:562:59
N. PaulLW000300-1020:021:47
N. KucherovRW0004000019:263:06
B. PointC0000100018:523:06
S. StamkosC000202-1017:493:06
T. JeannotLW000071-1014:500:00
R. ColtonC000320-1214:081:46
C. PerryRW000231-1011:322:57
M. EyssimontC000140-1010:540:05
P. MaroonLW000120008:580:03
M. SergachevD000311-1025:151:58
V. HedmanD0003220022:451:52
E. CernakD000040+1019:000:06
I. ColeD000010+1016:280:00
N. PerbixD000110-1015:400:00
D. RaddyshD0002000013:000:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy22193.86458:06Loss
B. Elliott000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.