Game Recap: WSH 3, ANA 4 (SO), December 5, 2025

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Game Recap

WSH3

Final/SOFri, Dec 5, 2025Every game that night

ANA4

ANA beat WSH 4-3 in a shootout, and the chances backed it up: 4.19 expected goals to 3.34. ANA outshot WSH 38 to 21. B. Sennecke led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Killorn had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 1.6. V. Husso stopped 18 of 21.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	SO	T
WSH	1	2	0	0	3
ANA	1	2	0	1	4

1st 9:29WSHT. Wilson0.12 xG
1st 18:16ANAC. Gauthier0.17 xG
2nd 6:06WSHE. Frank0.24 xG
2nd 6:19ANAR. Johnston0.09 xG
2nd 7:38WSHA. Protas0.10 xG
2nd 17:59ANAB. Sennecke0.15 xG

Team Stats

WSHANA

21Shots on goal38

3.34Expected goals4.19

58Shot attempts75

165v5 shots on goal28

0/3Power play0/5

21Hits18

21Blocked shots19

10Penalty minutes6

20Giveaways13

4Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 3.34 xGANA 4.19 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH19 on goal, 3 scored

ANA38 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Protas	LW	1	0	1	1	0	3	+1	2	22:46	0:02
T. Wilson	RW	1	0	1	2	7	1	+1	0	22:45	3:18
D. Strome	C	0	1	1	0	0	2	+1	2	20:23	3:42
J. Sourdif	C	0	1	1	0	2	2	+1	0	17:06	0:02
E. Frank	RW	1	0	1	1	0	0	-1	0	11:06	1:13
C. McMichael	LW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	21:46	2:19
A. Ovechkin	LW	0	0	0	4	2	0	+1	0	20:19	4:49
N. Dowd	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	0	15:47	0:03
A. Beauvillier	RW	0	0	0	1	2	1	-1	0	15:31	1:28
B. Duhaime	LW	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	6:22	0:00
H. Lapierre	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5:23	0:53
R. Leonard	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4:38	1:31
M. Roy	D	0	1	1	2	3	0	+1	0	24:03	0:10
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	17:23	0:00
J. Chychrun	D	0	0	0	2	0	4	+1	6	26:57	3:30
R. Sandin	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	21:26	1:14
M. Fehérváry	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	-2	0	18:06	0:11
D. Chisholm	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	13:13	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Thompson	38	35	3	.921	65:00	OT loss
P. Milner	0	0	0	–	0:00

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
B. Sennecke	RW	1	1	2	4	2	0	+2	2	17:15	2:59
R. Johnston	LW	1	1	2	1	1	1	+1	0	7:42	0:00
C. Gauthier	LW	1	0	1	2	1	1	+1	0	19:44	2:58
T. Terry	RW	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	24:03	5:55
L. Carlsson	C	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	23:35	5:55
C. Kreider	LW	0	0	0	5	2	1	0	0	22:05	6:06
M. Granlund	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	-2	0	17:53	5:54
M. McTavish	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	0	17:53	2:58
A. Killorn	LW	0	0	0	7	2	1	0	0	13:23	0:00
R. Poehling	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	12:09	0:00
F. Vatrano	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	2	9:33	2:38
R. Strome	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-2	0	8:00	0:00
J. LaCombe	D	0	1	1	2	1	3	0	2	27:11	5:51
O. Zellweger	D	0	1	1	0	0	0	+2	0	16:57	3:02
R. Gudas	D	0	1	1	1	2	2	+1	0	15:50	0:00
J. Trouba	D	0	0	0	0	4	3	-1	0	21:57	0:09
P. Mintyukov	D	0	0	0	1	2	2	-2	0	17:56	0:00
D. Helleson	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	-1	0	16:15	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
V. Husso	21	18	3	.857	64:39	Win
V. Buteyets	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WSH

Line 1A. Ovechkin14:26D. Strome13:45A. Beauvillier13:03

Line 2J. Sourdif15:34T. Wilson13:57C. McMichael12:52

Line 3E. Frank9:53B. Duhaime5:02H. Lapierre4:30

Line 4N. Dowd11:20A. Protas16:00

Pair 1J. Chychrun18:57M. Roy18:41

Pair 2T. Riemsdyk13:00D. Chisholm12:36

Pair 3R. Sandin14:29M. Fehérváry12:38

ANA

Line 1T. Terry15:28L. Carlsson15:35C. Kreider13:50

Line 2M. McTavish13:38C. Gauthier14:52B. Sennecke12:11

Line 3R. Johnston7:42R. Poehling8:52A. Killorn9:58

Line 4R. Strome8:00F. Vatrano5:51M. Granlund8:31

Pair 1J. LaCombe17:40J. Trouba17:11

Pair 2P. Mintyukov14:08D. Helleson14:07

Pair 3R. Gudas14:01O. Zellweger12:15

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	WSH 3.3, ANA 2.8	WSH 3, ANA 4
Total goals	6.2	7
Shots on goal	WSH 29.2, ANA 27.9	WSH 21, ANA 38
Win chance	WSH 57%	ANA won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
ANA C. Gauthier	3.5	2	0.81	1	29%	1
WSH A. Ovechkin	3.1	4	0.98	0	39%	0
WSH J. Chychrun	3.0	2	0.72	0	20%	0
ANA T. Terry	2.4	4	0.80	0	26%	0
WSH A. Beauvillier	2.3	1	0.47	0	19%	0
WSH R. Leonard	2.3	1	0.57	0	19%	0
ANA C. Kreider	2.3	5	0.69	0	34%	0
WSH C. McMichael	2.2	3	0.62	0	24%	0
ANA L. Carlsson	2.1	7	0.85	0	27%	0
WSH T. Wilson	2.1	2	0.81	1	31%	1
WSH A. Protas	2.1	1	0.72	1	23%	1
ANA F. Vatrano	2.1	2	0.40	0	20%	0
ANA M. McTavish	2.0	1	0.61	0	22%	0
WSH D. Strome	1.8	0	0.92	1	27%	0
ANA O. Zellweger	1.7	0	0.31	1	10%	0
ANA J. LaCombe	1.7	2	0.54	1	13%	0
ANA B. Sennecke	1.7	4	0.64	2	20%	1
ANA M. Granlund	1.6	1	0.61	0	16%	0
ANA A. Killorn	1.6	7	0.45	0	19%	0
WSH J. Sourdif	1.5	0	0.33	1	16%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.4	2	0.36	1	6%	0
ANA J. Trouba	1.4	0	0.28	0	6%	0
ANA R. Strome	1.3	0	0.39	0	12%	0
WSH E. Frank	1.2	1	0.38	1	14%	1
ANA R. Poehling	1.1	0	0.36	0	14%	0
WSH N. Dowd	1.1	2	0.34	0	16%	0
WSH R. Sandin	1.1	1	0.34	0	6%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	1.1	0	0.31	0	7%	0
ANA D. Helleson	1.1	0	0.27	0	8%	0
ANA R. Gudas	1.0	1	0.19	1	4%	0
WSH D. Chisholm	1.0	0	0.18	0	4%	0
ANA P. Mintyukov	1.0	1	0.27	0	6%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	0.9	0	0.25	0	12%	0
WSH T. Riemsdyk	0.8	1	0.24	1	3%	0
WSH H. Lapierre	0.7	0	0.27	0	8%	0
ANA R. Johnston	0.4	1	0.12	2	4%	1

Shots on goal: 18 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.