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Game Recap
WSH6
NJD5
WSH beat NJD 6-5, with the chances close: 3.90 expected goals to 3.17. J. Hughes led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). J. Carlson had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.1. C. Lindgren stopped 22 of 27.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| NJD | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
- 1st 6:19WSHA. Mangiapane0.46 xG
- 1st 10:54NJDN. Hischier0.07 xG
- 2nd 2:38NJDJ. Dowling0.05 xG
- 2nd 9:49WSHC. McMichaelPP0.31 xG
- 2nd 10:56WSHJ. ChychrunPP0.05 xG
- 2nd 19:47WSHR. SandinPP0.16 xG
- 3rd 2:03NJDS. NoesenPP0.21 xG
- 3rd 4:15NJDJ. Bratt0.38 xG
- 3rd 13:54WSHT. Raddysh0.07 xG
- 3rd 14:04WSHP. Dubois0.14 xG
- 3rd 16:45NJDS. NoesenPP0.44 xG
Team Stats
WSHNJD
32Shots on goal27
3.90Expected goals3.17
64Shot attempts52
245v5 shots on goal17
3/5Power play2/3
5Hits25
11Blocked shots11
10Penalty minutes14
17Giveaways15
5Takeaways2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
WSH 3.90 xGNJD 3.17 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
WSH Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Dubois | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:56 | 2:33 |
| T. Raddysh | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:24 | 2:42 |
| C. McMichael | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 18:43 | 3:25 |
| A. Protas | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:22 | 0:00 |
| A. Mangiapane | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:36 | 2:51 |
| L. Eller | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:42 | 1:12 |
| H. Lapierre | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 10:09 | 0:00 |
| I. Miroshnichenko | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 9:38 | 2:21 |
| T. Wilson | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 19:09 | 3:23 |
| D. Strome | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:26 | 2:28 |
| N. Dowd | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:29 | 0:05 |
| B. Duhaime | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 | 0:00 |
| J. Carlson | D | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 23:41 | 3:22 |
| R. Sandin | D | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:26 | 2:48 |
| M. Fehérváry | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 20:32 | 0:02 |
| J. Chychrun | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 19:49 | 2:32 |
| M. Roy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 18:12 | 0:05 |
| T. van Riemsdyk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 15:41 | 0:01 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lindgren | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 60:00 | Win |
| L. Thompson | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
NJD Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hughes | C | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 25:13 | 2:53 |
| J. Bratt | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:10 | 2:53 |
| S. Noesen | RW | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 17:52 | 2:53 |
| T. Meier | RW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 17:13 | 0:07 |
| N. Hischier | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 24:12 | 2:53 |
| O. Palat | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:10 | 0:00 |
| J. Dowling | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:47 | 0:00 |
| D. Mercer | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 17:27 | 0:00 |
| P. Cotter | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 12:55 | 0:00 |
| E. Haula | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:05 | 0:00 |
| S. Bowers | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5:31 | 0:00 |
| K. MacDermid | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2:46 | 0:00 |
| B. Pesce | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:18 | 0:00 |
| L. Hughes | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:42 | 0:00 |
| D. Hamilton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22:45 | 2:53 |
| J. Siegenthaler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:23 | 0:00 |
| B. Dillon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:46 | 0:00 |
| J. Kovacevic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:03 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Allen | 32 | 26 | 6 | .813 | 56:36 | Loss |
| J. Markstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WSH 3.0, NJD 3.3 | WSH 6, NJD 5 |
| Total goals | 6.3 | 11 |
| Shots on goal | WSH 25.7, NJD 30.2 | WSH 32, NJD 27 |
| Win chance | NJD 55% | WSH won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD J. Hughes | 3.5 | 6 | 1.15 | 3 | 36% | 0 |
| NJD T. Meier | 2.8 | 1 | 0.71 | 2 | 30% | 0 |
| NJD D. Hamilton | 2.7 | 3 | 0.62 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| NJD N. Hischier | 2.6 | 3 | 0.99 | 1 | 31% | 1 |
| NJD J. Bratt | 2.6 | 2 | 0.97 | 2 | 28% | 1 |
| WSH C. McMichael | 2.2 | 3 | 0.56 | 1 | 26% | 1 |
| WSH J. Chychrun | 2.1 | 1 | 0.50 | 1 | 13% | 1 |
| WSH J. Carlson | 2.1 | 5 | 0.61 | 3 | 12% | 0 |
| WSH T. Wilson | 2.1 | 2 | 0.58 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| NJD S. Noesen | 1.9 | 3 | 0.68 | 2 | 25% | 2 |
| NJD E. Haula | 1.7 | 0 | 0.46 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| WSH D. Strome | 1.7 | 2 | 0.86 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| NJD D. Mercer | 1.6 | 0 | 0.53 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| NJD B. Pesce | 1.6 | 1 | 0.23 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| WSH P. Dubois | 1.5 | 3 | 0.54 | 2 | 21% | 1 |
| NJD L. Hughes | 1.5 | 1 | 0.44 | 1 | 8% | 0 |
| WSH A. Protas | 1.4 | 2 | 0.47 | 1 | 14% | 0 |
| WSH A. Mangiapane | 1.4 | 3 | 0.41 | 1 | 19% | 1 |
| NJD P. Cotter | 1.3 | 0 | 0.38 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| NJD O. Palat | 1.3 | 0 | 0.43 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| WSH M. Roy | 1.3 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| WSH T. Raddysh | 1.2 | 1 | 0.27 | 2 | 13% | 1 |
| WSH L. Eller | 1.2 | 0 | 0.30 | 1 | 14% | 0 |
| WSH B. Duhaime | 1.2 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| WSH T. Riemsdyk | 1.1 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WSH N. Dowd | 1.0 | 3 | 0.33 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| NJD J. Siegenthaler | 1.0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| WSH R. Sandin | 1.0 | 1 | 0.36 | 2 | 7% | 1 |
| WSH I. Miroshnichenko | 1.0 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 11% | 0 |
| NJD J. Kovacevic | 0.9 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| WSH H. Lapierre | 0.9 | 0 | 0.32 | 1 | 11% | 0 |
| WSH M. Fehérváry | 0.9 | 0 | 0.22 | 1 | 6% | 0 |
| NJD S. Bowers | 0.9 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| NJD B. Dillon | 0.8 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| NJD J. Dowling | 0.7 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 9% | 1 |
| NJD K. MacDermid | 0.4 | 0 | 0.08 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.