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Game Recap
WSH2
FinalThu, Nov 12, 2026Every game that night
NJD5

NJD beat WSH 5-2, with the chances close: 2.95 expected goals to 2.38. E. Rodrigues led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). C. Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
WSH1102
NJD1135
  1. 1st 2:20NJDE. RodriguesPP0.14 xG
  2. 1st 14:10WSHR. LeonardPP0.22 xG
  3. 2nd 2:11WSHP. Dubois0.13 xG
  4. 2nd 9:51NJDL. Hameenaho0.15 xG
  5. 3rd 6:27NJDV. Kolyachonok0.02 xG
  6. 3rd 17:07NJDS. Noesen0.09 xG
  7. 3rd 19:15NJDJ. HughesEN0.84 xG

Team Stats

WSHNJD
28Shots on goal29
2.38Expected goals2.95
54Shot attempts57
215v5 shots on goal21
1/2Power play1/3
22Hits16
18Blocked shots10
4Penalty minutes4
21Giveaways11
3Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 2.38 xGNJD 2.95 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdNJD goal, 2:20WSH goal, 14:10WSH goal, 2:11NJD goal, 9:51NJD goal, 6:27NJD goal, 17:07NJD goal, 19:15

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH27 on goal, 2 scored
NJD28 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
P. DuboisC101200-1015:461:08
R. LeonardRW101430-2015:321:07
A. ProtasLW0111110015:030:00
T. WilsonRW0002410019:032:41
A. TuchRW000000-1018:071:16
D. StromeC000201-2017:192:50
B. JennerC000221-1016:520:00
J. KyrouRW000100-2015:442:49
J. SourdifC000000-1014:460:00
A. OvechkinLW000200-1013:253:02
A. BeauvillierRW0001100010:130:00
I. ProtasLW000200009:400:55
C. HutsonD011320-2220:341:03
J. St. IvanyD0110010015:150:00
J. ChychrunD000432-1024:042:54
M. RoyD0001120020:320:00
M. FehérváryD000054-1020:000:00
T. LiljegrenD000105-1214:160:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
L. Thompson28244.85758:10Loss
C. Lindgren000–0:00

NJD Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
E. RodriguesC112210+2016:021:37
A. GritsyukRW0220000015:512:07
J. HughesC1013100020:454:12
T. MeierRW0114000018:101:30
J. BrattLW0112100016:394:08
C. BrownRW011200+2016:263:27
C. GlassC011100+1010:570:00
L. HameenahoRW101300+1010:210:00
S. NoesenRW101121+209:310:00
N. HischierC0000100018:284:04
L. EvangelistaRW0000100017:251:32
J. BoqvistC000120+1010:560:00
B. DillonD011242+2018:310:00
V. KolyachonokD101200+2014:360:00
L. HughesD000312+1223:103:29
D. HamiltonD000301+1022:042:09
J. SiegenthalerD0000120019:290:00
D. ChisholmD0000120216:420:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Hellebuyck28262.92960:00Win
J. Allen000–0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WSH

Line 1D. Strome13:23R. Leonard13:19J. Kyrou11:49
Line 2A. Tuch13:50A. Protas12:47P. Dubois13:32
Line 3B. Jenner13:08T. Wilson11:55J. Sourdif14:02
Line 4A. Beauvillier10:13I. Protas8:01A. Ovechkin9:39
Pair 1M. Roy15:44J. Chychrun18:58
Pair 2C. Hutson18:37J. Ivany14:44
Pair 3M. Fehérváry15:28T. Liljegren13:41

NJD

Line 1T. Meier14:45L. Evangelista14:34N. Hischier11:25
Line 2J. Hughes15:55J. Bratt12:00A. Gritsyuk12:24
Line 3C. Brown11:35E. Rodrigues12:33S. Noesen9:31
Line 4J. Boqvist10:56L. Hameenaho10:21C. Glass9:31
Pair 1J. Siegenthaler17:04L. Hughes18:06
Pair 2D. Hamilton16:02D. Chisholm15:57
Pair 3B. Dillon15:35V. Kolyachonok14:36

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Prop Results

12 of 21 overs hit (57%).

PlayerLineOverUnderSOGResult
NJD J. Hughes3.5-150+1233Under
NJD T. Meier3.5+130-1464Over
NJD A. Gritsyuk2.5+135-1650Under
NJD D. Hamilton2.5+155-1553Over
NJD J. Bratt2.5+135-1702Under
WSH J. Chychrun2.5+125-1504Over
NJD L. Evangelista2.5+136-1550Under
NJD N. Hischier2.5+135-1450Under
WSH A. Beauvillier1.5+160-2201Under
WSH A. Ovechkin1.5-150+1302Over
WSH A. Protas1.5+130-1571Under
WSH A. Tuch1.5-170+1400Under
NJD C. Brown1.5+115-1252Over
WSH C. Hutson1.5+100-1253Over
WSH D. Strome1.5-110-1102Over
NJD E. Rodrigues1.5-120+1002Over
WSH J. Kyrou1.5-130+1101Under
NJD L. Hughes1.5-190+1463Over
WSH P. Dubois1.5+135-1792Over
WSH R. Leonard1.5-170+1454Over
WSH T. Wilson1.5+100-1152Over

Each player's main line (the one most books posted) at the last price before puck drop, the best price on each side there, and what he did.

How We Did

We projectedIt finished
ScoreWSH 2.9, NJD 3.3WSH 2, NJD 5
Total goals6.27
Shots on goalWSH 24.5, NJD 31.1WSH 28, NJD 29
Win chanceNJD 57%NJD won

Players

PlayerSOG projectedSOGPoints projectedPointsGoal chanceGoals
NJD J. Hughes3.931.30139%1
NJD T. Meier3.340.64129%0
NJD A. Gritsyuk2.700.64224%0
WSH A. Tuch2.500.75031%0
WSH J. Chychrun2.440.59017%0
NJD L. Evangelista2.300.62018%0
NJD D. Hamilton2.330.51013%0
NJD J. Bratt2.320.95125%0
NJD N. Hischier2.200.77029%0
NJD L. Hughes2.130.63014%0
WSH A. Ovechkin2.120.59027%0
WSH J. Kyrou2.110.64026%0
WSH R. Leonard1.940.50120%1
NJD E. Rodrigues1.820.42215%1
WSH B. Jenner1.820.44020%0
WSH C. Hutson1.730.55115%0
WSH D. Strome1.720.72023%0
WSH T. Wilson1.620.56023%0
WSH A. Protas1.510.53120%0
NJD C. Brown1.520.55120%0
WSH P. Dubois1.420.57118%1
NJD S. Noesen1.410.33115%1
NJD L. Hameenaho1.430.29111%1
NJD C. Glass1.210.30114%0
WSH A. Beauvillier1.210.25012%0
WSH M. Roy1.110.2705%0
WSH J. Sourdif1.100.35015%0
NJD J. Boqvist1.010.24010%0
NJD D. Chisholm0.900.2204%0
WSH I. Protas0.820.30010%0
NJD J. Siegenthaler0.800.2404%0
WSH M. Fehérváry0.800.2905%0
WSH T. Liljegren0.710.1703%0
WSH J. Ivany0.700.2013%0
NJD V. Kolyachonok0.720.1714%1
NJD B. Dillon0.520.1412%0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.