Game Recap: WSH 0, STL 3, March 24, 2026

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

WSH0

FinalTue, Mar 24, 2026Every game that night

STL3

STL beat WSH 3-0, and the chances backed it up: 4.19 expected goals to 2.49. C. Parayko had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.4. J. Hofer stopped 21 of 21.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WSH	0	0	0	0
STL	0	1	2	3

2nd 2:39STLJ. Snuggerud0.10 xG
3rd 14:52STLO. Stenberg0.21 xG
3rd 19:19STLJ. KyrouEN0.93 xG

Team Stats

WSHSTL

21Shots on goal27

2.49Expected goals4.19

50Shot attempts59

125v5 shots on goal20

0/2Power play0/3

17Hits18

19Blocked shots12

28Penalty minutes15

19Giveaways14

6Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 2.49 xGSTL 4.19 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH21 on goal, 0 scored

STL25 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Protas	LW	0	0	2	-1	0	21:36	0:07
T. Wilson	RW	3	2	1	-1	4	19:55	1:35
J. Sourdif	C	2	0	1	0	0	17:54	2:03
C. McMichael	LW	0	1	1	0	2	17:35	2:02
D. Strome	C	1	0	2	-2	0	16:57	2:25
P. Dubois	C	1	1	0	0	15	15:50	1:49
A. Ovechkin	LW	2	2	0	-1	0	14:31	3:46
R. Leonard	RW	0	2	1	-2	5	13:54	1:50
A. Beauvillier	RW	2	0	1	0	0	12:34	0:09
I. Miroshnichenko	LW	0	3	0	-1	0	9:22	0:00
B. Duhaime	LW	0	0	1	-1	0	9:20	0:00
H. Lapierre	C	0	0	0	-1	0	7:05	0:00
J. Chychrun	D	4	0	1	-2	2	23:08	1:57
C. Hutson	D	3	0	0	-1	0	21:12	2:03
M. Roy	D	1	3	1	0	0	20:35	0:14
M. Fehérváry	D	1	3	4	-1	0	17:45	0:00
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	0	0	0	0	17:08	0:00
R. Sandin	D	1	0	3	-2	0	16:32	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Thompson	26	24	2	.923	58:07	Loss
C. Lindgren	0	0	0	–	0:00

STL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Snuggerud	RW	1	0	1	5	1	0	+1	2	16:27	2:25
J. Kyrou	RW	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	16:01	2:20
J. Berggren	RW	0	1	1	0	3	1	+1	0	13:06	0:01
D. Dvorsky	RW	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	12:53	1:58
O. Stenberg	C	1	0	1	1	2	1	+1	5	11:14	0:00
D. Holloway	LW	0	0	0	5	2	0	+1	0	18:02	2:34
P. Buchnevich	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	17:31	2:25
A. Toropchenko	RW	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	14:39	0:00
P. Suter	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	+1	0	14:33	2:15
J. Neighbours	LW	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	14:32	2:41
R. Thomas	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	4	14:08	2:17
J. Finley	C	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	13:17	0:00
P. Broberg	D	0	1	1	1	0	2	+2	0	22:27	2:33
L. Mailloux	D	0	1	1	1	1	2	+2	0	20:51	2:21
C. Parayko	D	0	0	0	4	1	1	0	0	21:49	0:54
C. Fowler	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1	0	20:21	0:00
J. Holl	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	+1	0	15:30	0:00
T. Lindstein	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	15:20	0:16

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Hofer	21	21	0	1.000	59:19	Win
J. Binnington	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WSH

Line 1T. Wilson13:33P. Dubois13:14A. Protas17:43

Line 2J. Sourdif14:17C. McMichael12:11R. Leonard9:32

Line 3D. Strome10:11A. Beauvillier9:47A. Ovechkin8:52

Line 4I. Miroshnichenko9:20B. Duhaime7:29H. Lapierre7:04

Pair 1T. Riemsdyk14:28J. Chychrun16:44

Pair 2C. Hutson14:38M. Roy15:53

Pair 3M. Fehérváry13:24R. Sandin13:50

STL

Line 1D. Holloway13:08J. Snuggerud11:45R. Thomas11:51

Line 2A. Toropchenko11:43J. Finley10:23P. Suter8:56

Line 3P. Buchnevich11:18J. Kyrou12:00J. Neighbours10:47

Line 4J. Berggren11:06D. Dvorsky10:50O. Stenberg9:21

Pair 1J. Holl15:18C. Fowler16:19

Pair 2C. Parayko16:27T. Lindstein13:49

Pair 3P. Broberg13:47L. Mailloux13:22

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamConnor McMichael STL First game against WSH since he left (his team until Apr 2026)0 SOG
Old teamJordan Kyrou WSH First game back in St. Louis, his team until Apr 20261 G, 2 SOG
BirthdayJustin Sourdif WSH Turns 24 that day2 SOG
HometownCole Hutson WSH Plays in his hometown3 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	WSH 3.0, STL 2.9	WSH 0, STL 3
Total goals	5.9	3
Shots on goal	WSH 26.5, STL 26.2	WSH 21, STL 27
Win chance	WSH 51%	STL won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
STL D. Holloway	2.8	5	0.80	0	28%	0
WSH A. Ovechkin	2.6	2	0.74	0	33%	0
WSH J. Chychrun	2.5	4	0.62	0	19%	0
STL J. Snuggerud	2.5	5	0.70	1	23%	1
STL J. Kyrou	2.4	2	0.61	1	26%	1
WSH T. Wilson	2.1	3	0.75	0	30%	0
WSH A. Protas	2.0	0	0.67	0	24%	0
STL P. Buchnevich	1.8	0	0.64	0	23%	0
WSH A. Beauvillier	1.8	2	0.35	0	16%	0
STL R. Thomas	1.8	1	0.98	0	25%	0
WSH C. McMichael	1.8	0	0.53	0	20%	0
WSH P. Dubois	1.8	1	0.66	0	23%	0
WSH R. Leonard	1.7	0	0.44	0	17%	0
STL L. Mailloux	1.6	1	0.35	1	11%	0
WSH D. Strome	1.6	1	0.67	0	22%	0
STL P. Broberg	1.4	1	0.47	1	12%	0
STL C. Parayko	1.4	4	0.32	0	10%	0
STL P. Suter	1.4	2	0.38	0	17%	0
WSH J. Sourdif	1.4	2	0.43	0	18%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.3	1	0.29	0	5%	0
WSH R. Sandin	1.3	1	0.37	0	6%	0
STL D. Dvorsky	1.3	0	0.28	1	15%	0
STL J. Berggren	1.2	0	0.40	1	16%	0
STL J. Neighbours	1.1	0	0.43	0	19%	0
STL O. Stenberg	1.1	1	0.35	1	11%	1
STL C. Fowler	1.1	0	0.40	0	7%	0
STL A. Toropchenko	1.0	3	0.20	0	9%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	1.0	1	0.30	0	7%	0
STL T. Lindstein	1.0	0	0.18	0	4%	0
WSH I. Miroshnichenko	0.9	0	0.18	0	8%	0
STL J. Finley	0.8	1	0.19	0	9%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	0.8	0	0.15	0	8%	0
WSH H. Lapierre	0.8	0	0.24	0	8%	0
WSH T. Riemsdyk	0.8	0	0.21	0	3%	0
STL J. Holl	0.6	1	0.16	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.