Game Recap: WSH 4, TOR 0, April 8, 2026

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Game Recap

WSH4

FinalWed, Apr 8, 2026Every game that night

TOR0

WSH beat TOR 4-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.55 expected goals to 2.13. M. Fehérváry led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). L. Thompson stopped 22 of 22.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WSH	1	2	1	4
TOR	0	0	0	0

1st 13:22WSHD. Strome0.16 xG
2nd 0:40WSHR. Leonard0.20 xG
2nd 2:53WSHM. Fehérváry0.01 xG
3rd 16:10WSHC. HutsonEN0.95 xG

Team Stats

WSHTOR

20Shots on goal22

3.55Expected goals2.13

48Shot attempts59

145v5 shots on goal20

0/2Power play0/3

16Hits13

18Blocked shots12

6Penalty minutes4

14Giveaways16

7Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 3.55 xGTOR 2.13 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH20 on goal, 4 scored

TOR21 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
D. Strome	C	1	1	2	1	0	1	+2	0	16:34	2:36
T. Wilson	RW	0	1	1	0	1	0	+2	0	18:51	1:24
A. Protas	LW	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	0	17:38	0:00
A. Beauvillier	RW	0	1	1	0	0	2	+1	0	17:14	0:00
I. Protas	LW	0	1	1	0	0	1	+1	2	15:37	2:09
R. Leonard	RW	1	0	1	4	5	0	+1	4	13:22	1:39
J. Sourdif	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	0	12:54	2:19
C. McMichael	LW	0	0	0	2	2	0	+1	0	16:46	0:00
A. Ovechkin	LW	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	16:36	3:59
P. Dubois	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	14:05	1:51
B. Duhaime	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	+1	0	10:06	0:00
I. Miroshnichenko	LW	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1	0	9:19	0:00
M. Fehérváry	D	1	1	2	2	0	2	+3	0	18:16	0:00
C. Hutson	D	1	0	1	2	2	1	+1	0	18:05	1:56
J. Chychrun	D	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	20:53	2:06
R. Sandin	D	0	0	0	0	1	4	+2	0	20:01	0:00
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	19:25	0:00
M. Roy	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	+2	0	19:13	0:01

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Thompson	22	22	0	1.000	59:22	Win
M. Gibson	0	0	0	–	0:00

TOR Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
E. Cowan	RW	0	0	0	-2	0	20:44	2:56
W. Nylander	RW	1	1	1	-2	0	20:32	3:44
J. Tavares	C	3	0	2	-1	0	19:32	3:30
M. Knies	LW	2	1	1	-1	0	17:56	3:13
M. Domi	C	2	0	2	0	4	17:35	1:59
M. Maccelli	LW	2	0	0	0	0	15:47	2:46
N. Robertson	LW	1	1	0	-1	0	14:16	2:05
B. Groulx	C	0	0	1	0	0	13:58	0:00
C. Jarnkrok	C	0	1	1	-3	0	12:38	1:21
S. Lorentz	C	2	1	0	-2	0	12:05	0:00
J. Quillan	C	1	4	0	-2	0	9:01	0:00
D. Joshua	C	1	2	0	0	0	8:30	1:06
J. McCabe	D	0	0	0	-2	0	22:08	0:08
M. Rielly	D	3	0	0	-1	0	21:10	2:08
O. Ekman-Larsson	D	1	0	1	-1	0	20:40	3:38
S. Benoit	D	1	1	1	0	0	19:44	0:00
P. Myers	D	1	1	0	-1	0	17:58	0:00
B. Carlo	D	1	0	2	-2	0	12:07	0:01

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Stolarz	2	2	0	1.000	2:34
J. Woll	17	14	3	.824	57:05	Loss

Lines at 5-on-5

WSH

Line 1P. Dubois12:14R. Leonard11:43C. McMichael12:52

Line 2D. Strome13:41A. Beauvillier15:01A. Ovechkin11:59

Line 3T. Wilson13:14A. Protas14:34I. Protas12:46

Line 4J. Sourdif10:35I. Miroshnichenko9:19B. Duhaime10:06

Pair 1T. Riemsdyk16:48J. Chychrun17:26

Pair 2M. Fehérváry15:29R. Sandin17:27

Pair 3M. Roy15:28C. Hutson15:48

TOR

Line 1J. Tavares15:41W. Nylander16:27E. Cowan17:27

Line 2M. Domi14:58M. Maccelli12:23M. Knies12:41

Line 3B. Groulx11:24N. Robertson11:50D. Joshua7:24

Line 4S. Lorentz10:40J. Quillan9:01C. Jarnkrok8:21

Pair 1O. Ekman-Larsson16:41S. Benoit18:03

Pair 2M. Rielly18:24P. Myers16:20

Pair 3J. McCabe19:01B. Carlo9:44

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownDylan Strome WSH Plays near home (born in Mississauga)1 G, 1 A, 1 SOG
HometownTom Wilson WSH Plays in his hometown1 A, 0 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	WSH 3.5, TOR 3.3	WSH 4, TOR 0
Total goals	6.8	4
Shots on goal	WSH 30.4, TOR 27.6	WSH 20, TOR 22
Win chance	WSH 53%	WSH won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
WSH A. Ovechkin	3.2	3	0.89	0	35%	0
TOR W. Nylander	2.8	1	1.13	0	37%	0
TOR J. Tavares	2.5	3	0.88	0	32%	0
WSH J. Chychrun	2.4	3	0.63	0	21%	0
WSH T. Wilson	2.2	0	0.81	1	30%	0
WSH R. Leonard	2.0	4	0.51	1	18%	1
WSH A. Beauvillier	2.0	0	0.38	1	16%	0
WSH C. McMichael	2.0	2	0.61	0	21%	0
WSH A. Protas	2.0	1	0.65	1	22%	0
TOR M. Knies	1.8	2	0.74	0	25%	0
WSH P. Dubois	1.7	1	0.68	0	21%	0
WSH D. Strome	1.7	1	0.72	2	22%	1
TOR E. Cowan	1.7	0	0.55	0	18%	0
WSH J. Sourdif	1.7	1	0.53	1	19%	0
TOR N. Robertson	1.6	1	0.42	0	19%	0
TOR M. Rielly	1.6	3	0.54	0	12%	0
WSH C. Hutson	1.5	2	0.42	1	7%	1
TOR M. Maccelli	1.3	2	0.49	0	15%	0
WSH R. Sandin	1.3	0	0.39	0	7%	0
TOR M. Domi	1.3	2	0.45	0	13%	0
TOR P. Myers	1.2	1	0.13	0	4%	0
TOR O. Ekman-Larsson	1.2	1	0.40	0	9%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.2	0	0.28	0	6%	0
TOR B. Carlo	1.1	1	0.16	0	4%	0
TOR B. Groulx	1.1	0	0.21	0	10%	0
TOR J. McCabe	1.1	0	0.35	0	7%	0
TOR C. Jarnkrok	1.0	0	0.29	0	14%	0
TOR D. Joshua	1.0	1	0.37	0	16%	0
TOR S. Lorentz	1.0	2	0.23	0	10%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	1.0	0	0.19	0	9%	0
WSH I. Miroshnichenko	1.0	0	0.23	0	9%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	0.9	2	0.31	2	8%	1
WSH T. Riemsdyk	0.8	0	0.24	0	4%	0
TOR S. Benoit	0.8	1	0.11	0	2%	0
TOR J. Quillan	0.7	1	0.14	0	8%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.