Game Recap: NJD 4, TOR 0, November 8, 2026

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Game Recap

NJD4

FinalSun, Nov 8, 2026Every game that night

TOR0

NJD beat TOR 4-0, and the chances backed it up: 2.81 expected goals to 1.81. T. Meier led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). C. Hellebuyck stopped 23 of 23.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NJD	0	2	2	4
TOR	0	0	0	0

2nd 8:28NJDT. Meier0.17 xG
2nd 12:44NJDT. Meier0.07 xG
3rd 9:49NJDN. HischierPP0.57 xG
3rd 17:23NJDC. BrownEN0.47 xG

Team Stats

NJDTOR

29Shots on goal23

2.81Expected goals1.81

45Shot attempts53

255v5 shots on goal20

1/3Power play0/0

13Hits28

10Blocked shots8

6Penalty minutes12

18Giveaways19

3Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NJD 2.81 xGTOR 1.81 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NJD29 on goal, 4 scored

TOR22 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NJD Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Hughes	C	0	2	2	3	0	0	+1	0	20:06	3:55
T. Meier	RW	2	0	2	5	1	1	+2	2	18:35	2:10
N. Hischier	C	1	1	2	1	0	2	+1	0	17:52	2:59
J. Bratt	LW	0	2	2	4	0	0	+1	0	15:52	3:56
C. Brown	RW	1	0	1	2	1	0	+1	0	17:29	2:43
C. Glass	C	0	1	1	0	3	0	+1	0	14:33	0:15
L. Evangelista	RW	0	0	0	3	0	0	+1	2	17:01	1:00
A. Lombardi	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	16:38	0:15
E. Rodrigues	C	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	15:07	1:52
A. Gritsyuk	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14:38	0:39
J. Boqvist	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	14:25	0:15
D. Chisholm	D	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	10:07	0:00
B. Pesce	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	+2	0	21:33	0:33
L. Hughes	D	0	0	0	3	0	1	+1	0	21:30	3:06
J. Siegenthaler	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1	0	20:31	0:33
D. Hamilton	D	0	0	0	1	3	4	0	2	18:51	1:29
J. Kovacevic	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	12:39	0:00
B. Dillon	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	10:33	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Hellebuyck	23	23	0	1.000	60:00	Win
J. Allen	0	0	0	–	0:00

TOR Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Matthews	C	4	2	0	-1	2	19:30	0:00
J. Tavares	C	0	1	1	-3	0	17:32	0:00
G. McKenna	LW	0	0	0	-3	0	17:22	0:00
E. Cowan	RW	1	4	0	0	4	17:12	0:00
W. Nylander	RW	3	2	0	-2	0	16:51	0:00
N. Paul	LW	2	3	1	0	2	16:22	0:00
T. Blueger	C	3	0	0	0	0	15:40	0:00
B. Duhaime	LW	1	3	1	0	2	12:51	0:00
D. Joshua	C	1	3	0	0	0	12:16	0:00
Z. MacEwen	RW	1	1	0	0	0	11:19	0:00
C. Sissons	C	0	0	0	-1	0	9:55	0:00
V. Lettieri	C	1	1	0	0	0	8:30	0:00
D. Raddysh	D	2	2	0	-3	0	25:05	0:00
J. McCabe	D	1	1	0	-1	0	22:11	0:00
O. Ekman-Larsson	D	0	4	1	-1	2	20:06	0:00
T. Stecher	D	1	0	1	0	0	19:53	0:00
C. McWard	D	0	1	2	0	0	16:11	0:00
D. Mermis	D	2	0	1	0	0	15:21	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Stolarz	28	25	3	.893	58:45	Loss
S. Bobrovsky	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

NJD

Line 1T. Meier16:25L. Evangelista16:01N. Hischier14:53

Line 2C. Glass13:03A. Lombardi15:38C. Brown13:31

Line 3J. Hughes16:11A. Gritsyuk13:59J. Bratt11:56

Line 4E. Rodrigues12:30J. Boqvist14:10

Pair 1B. Pesce19:45L. Hughes18:24

Pair 2D. Hamilton17:22J. Siegenthaler18:43

Pair 3B. Dillon9:48J. Kovacevic11:54

TOR

Line 1A. Matthews18:15E. Cowan16:08C. Sissons8:47

Line 2J. Tavares16:17W. Nylander15:00G. McKenna16:07

Line 3N. Paul13:57D. Joshua11:38V. Lettieri8:30

Line 4T. Blueger12:04B. Duhaime10:32Z. MacEwen11:19

Pair 1D. Raddysh22:11J. McCabe19:08

Pair 2O. Ekman-Larsson18:01T. Stecher16:24

Pair 3D. Mermis14:36C. McWard15:26

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Prop Results

9 of 17 overs hit (53%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	SOG	Result
TOR A. Matthews	3.5	+130	-160	4	Over
NJD J. Hughes	3.5	-146	+120	3	Under
NJD T. Meier	3.5	+134	-165	5	Over
NJD A. Gritsyuk	2.5	+130	-155	0	Under
NJD D. Hamilton	2.5	+130	-164	1	Under
TOR D. Raddysh	2.5	+120	-150	2	Under
NJD J. Bratt	2.5	+150	-185	4	Over
TOR J. Tavares	2.5	+135	-155	0	Under
NJD L. Evangelista	2.5	+137	-170	3	Over
NJD L. Hughes	2.5	+122	-150	3	Over
NJD N. Hischier	2.5	+121	-146	1	Under
TOR W. Nylander	2.5	+100	-110	3	Over
NJD C. Brown	1.5	+118	-140	2	Over
TOR E. Cowan	1.5	+120	-140	1	Under
NJD E. Rodrigues	1.5	-113	+105	4	Over
TOR G. McKenna	1.5	+125	-143	0	Under
TOR N. Paul	1.5	+150	-180	2	Over

3 of 35 overs hit (9%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	G	Result
NJD A. Gritsyuk	0.5	+270	-320	0	Under
NJD A. Lombardi	0.5	+700	–	0	Under
TOR A. Matthews	0.5	+145	-200	0	Under
NJD B. Dillon	0.5	+2200	–	0	Under
TOR B. Duhaime	0.5	+1100	-1600	0	Under
NJD B. Pesce	0.5	+1700	-2800	0	Under
NJD C. Brown	0.5	+360	-475	1	Over
NJD C. Glass	0.5	+750	–	0	Under
TOR C. McWard	0.5	+1900	-3500	0	Under
TOR C. Sissons	0.5	+1000	-1200	0	Under
NJD D. Chisholm	0.5	+1900	-3500	0	Under
NJD D. Hamilton	0.5	+600	-1400	0	Under
TOR D. Joshua	0.5	+750	-1400	0	Under
TOR D. Mermis	0.5	+2300	-4000	0	Under
TOR D. Raddysh	0.5	+575	-1200	0	Under
TOR E. Cowan	0.5	+425	-650	0	Under
NJD E. Rodrigues	0.5	+450	-600	0	Under
TOR G. McKenna	0.5	+380	-550	0	Under
NJD J. Boqvist	0.5	+525	-700	0	Under
NJD J. Bratt	0.5	+240	-320	0	Under
NJD J. Hughes	0.5	+140	-160	0	Under
NJD J. Kovacevic	0.5	+1900	-4000	0	Under
TOR J. McCabe	0.5	+1800	-3500	0	Under
NJD J. Siegenthaler	0.5	+2200	-4000	0	Under
TOR J. Tavares	0.5	+260	-370	0	Under
NJD L. Evangelista	0.5	+370	-600	0	Under
NJD L. Hughes	0.5	+430	-800	0	Under
NJD N. Hischier	0.5	+184	-220	1	Over
TOR N. Paul	0.5	+525	-650	0	Under
TOR O. Ekman-Larsson	0.5	+1100	-2800	0	Under
TOR T. Blueger	0.5	+1000	-1200	0	Under
NJD T. Meier	0.5	+240	-320	2	Over
TOR T. Stecher	0.5	+1700	-2800	0	Under
TOR W. Nylander	0.5	+190	-260	0	Under
TOR Z. MacEwen	0.5	+1200	-2000	0	Under

3 of 16 overs hit (19%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	A	Result
NJD A. Gritsyuk	0.5	+215	-270	0	Under
TOR A. Matthews	0.5	+120	-145	0	Under
NJD C. Brown	0.5	+270	-350	0	Under
NJD D. Hamilton	0.5	+190	-210	0	Under
TOR D. Raddysh	0.5	+135	-145	0	Under
TOR E. Cowan	0.5	+225	-250	0	Under
NJD E. Rodrigues	0.5	+265	-350	0	Under
TOR G. McKenna	0.5	+260	-295	0	Under
NJD J. Bratt	0.5	+100	-120	2	Over
NJD J. Hughes	0.5	-120	-105	2	Over
TOR J. Tavares	0.5	+165	-170	0	Under
NJD L. Evangelista	0.5	+150	-195	0	Under
NJD L. Hughes	0.5	+140	-155	0	Under
NJD N. Hischier	0.5	+138	-175	1	Over
NJD T. Meier	0.5	+230	-300	0	Under
TOR W. Nylander	0.5	+110	-125	0	Under

5 of 16 overs hit (31%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	P	Result
NJD J. Hughes	1.5	+164	-200	2	Over
NJD A. Gritsyuk	0.5	+105	-120	0	Under
TOR A. Matthews	0.5	-220	+170	0	Under
NJD C. Brown	0.5	+140	-165	1	Over
NJD D. Hamilton	0.5	+145	-179	0	Under
TOR D. Raddysh	0.5	-110	-110	0	Under
TOR E. Cowan	0.5	+135	-155	0	Under
NJD E. Rodrigues	0.5	+150	-190	0	Under
TOR G. McKenna	0.5	+160	-182	0	Under
NJD J. Bratt	0.5	-185	+150	2	Over
TOR J. Tavares	0.5	-132	+115	0	Under
NJD L. Evangelista	0.5	+100	-120	0	Under
NJD L. Hughes	0.5	-115	-110	0	Under
NJD N. Hischier	0.5	-150	+125	2	Over
NJD T. Meier	0.5	+105	-130	2	Over
TOR W. Nylander	0.5	-200	+165	0	Under

3 of 15 overs hit (20%).

Player	Line	Over	Under	PPP	Result
NJD A. Gritsyuk	0.5	+400	-1100	0	Under
TOR A. Matthews	0.5	+180	-240	0	Under
NJD C. Brown	0.5	+380	-900	0	Under
NJD D. Hamilton	0.5	+360	-800	0	Under
TOR D. Raddysh	0.5	+220	-300	0	Under
TOR E. Cowan	0.5	+500	-1600	0	Under
TOR G. McKenna	0.5	+500	-1600	0	Under
NJD J. Bratt	0.5	+240	-280	1	Over
NJD J. Hughes	0.5	+170	-190	1	Over
TOR J. Tavares	0.5	+270	-350	0	Under
NJD L. Evangelista	0.5	+380	-550	0	Under
NJD L. Hughes	0.5	+300	-375	0	Under
NJD N. Hischier	0.5	+260	-375	1	Over
NJD T. Meier	0.5	+390	-625	0	Under
TOR W. Nylander	0.5	+240	-280	0	Under

Player	Line	Over	Under	SV	Result
TOR A. Stolarz	27.5	-118	-105	25	Under
NJD C. Hellebuyck	23.5	-108	-108	23	Under

Player	Line	Over	Under	BLK	Result
TOR D. Mermis	1.5	+160	-235	1	Under

Each player's main line (the one most books posted) at the last price before puck drop, the best price on each side there, and what he did.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownDougie Hamilton NJD Plays in his hometown1 SOG
HometownEvan Rodrigues NJD Plays in his hometown4 SOG
HometownLuke Evangelista NJD Plays in his hometown3 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	NJD 3.5, TOR 3.0	NJD 4, TOR 0
Total goals	6.4	4
Shots on goal	NJD 32.9, TOR 25.4	NJD 29, TOR 23
Win chance	NJD 57%	NJD won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NJD J. Hughes	3.7	3	1.19	2	36%	0
NJD T. Meier	3.3	5	0.60	2	28%	2
TOR A. Matthews	3.3	4	1.00	0	39%	0
TOR D. Raddysh	2.7	2	0.72	0	14%	0
TOR W. Nylander	2.7	3	1.03	0	36%	0
NJD D. Hamilton	2.6	1	0.57	0	15%	0
NJD A. Gritsyuk	2.5	0	0.57	0	21%	0
NJD L. Hughes	2.4	3	0.67	0	15%	0
NJD L. Evangelista	2.4	3	0.65	0	19%	0
NJD N. Hischier	2.3	1	0.77	2	29%	1
NJD J. Bratt	2.2	4	0.88	2	23%	0
TOR J. Tavares	2.1	0	0.74	0	29%	0
TOR G. McKenna	2.1	0	0.56	0	21%	0
NJD E. Rodrigues	1.8	4	0.42	0	15%	0
TOR E. Cowan	1.6	1	0.49	0	18%	0
NJD C. Brown	1.5	2	0.49	1	18%	1
NJD A. Lombardi	1.5	2	0.30	0	13%	0
NJD B. Pesce	1.4	0	0.30	0	7%	0
NJD C. Glass	1.3	0	0.28	1	13%	0
TOR N. Paul	1.2	2	0.33	0	17%	0
TOR C. Sissons	1.1	0	0.26	0	11%	0
NJD J. Boqvist	1.1	1	0.26	0	11%	0
TOR O. Ekman-Larsson	1.1	0	0.29	0	5%	0
TOR T. Blueger	1.1	3	0.29	0	11%	0
TOR T. Stecher	1.0	1	0.20	0	5%	0
TOR J. McCabe	1.0	1	0.29	0	4%	0
TOR Z. MacEwen	1.0	1	0.16	0	8%	0
TOR D. Joshua	0.9	1	0.28	0	13%	0
TOR B. Duhaime	0.9	1	0.17	0	9%	0
TOR C. McWard	0.8	0	0.12	0	3%	0
NJD J. Kovacevic	0.8	0	0.18	0	4%	0
NJD D. Chisholm	0.8	0	0.17	1	4%	0
NJD J. Siegenthaler	0.8	0	0.22	0	4%	0
TOR D. Mermis	0.7	2	0.12	0	4%	0
NJD B. Dillon	0.6	0	0.16	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.