Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
OTT2
FinalMon, Mar 20, 2023Every game that night
PIT1

OTT beat PIT 2-1 despite fewer good chances: 1.87 expected goals to 4.19. PIT outshot OTT 49 to 21. D. Ferguson stopped 48 of 49.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
OTT1012
PIT0011
  1. 1st 16:46OTTT. Chabot0.12 xG
  2. 3rd 14:39PITR. Rakell0.18 xG
  3. 3rd 17:51OTTD. BathersonPP0.30 xG

Team Stats

OTTPIT
21Shots on goal49
1.87Expected goals4.19
51Shot attempts90
175v5 shots on goal44
1/2Power play0/3
36Hits29
28Blocked shots17
4Penalty minutes4
5Giveaways17
4Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

OTT 1.87 xGPIT 4.19 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTT goal, 16:46PIT goal, 14:39OTT goal, 17:51

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

OTT21 on goal, 2 scored
PIT48 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. GirouxRW0111110021:000:54
B. TkachukLW0116100017:452:02
D. BathersonRW1012110016:112:02
R. GreigC0111200210:270:00
T. StützleC0003020021:212:02
A. DeBrincatRW0001010017:292:03
S. PintoC0001420016:000:54
A. WatsonLW0000320012:210:00
D. BrassardC0000100012:190:54
D. GambrellC0000330011:540:00
J. GauthierRW0000330010:330:00
P. BrownC000110008:180:00
J. SandersonD011025+1221:431:13
T. ChabotD1013410020:011:43
A. ZubD0001520021:550:00
J. ChychrunD0000110019:420:53
T. HamonicD0001230018:570:00
E. BrannstromD000021-1016:040:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Ferguson49481.98060:00Win
M. Sogaard000–0:00

PIT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
E. MalkinC0114110023:434:16
R. RakellRW101220+1021:484:17
J. GuentzelC0005100022:354:08
S. CrosbyC0002010022:174:06
B. RustRW0006420019:041:41
J. ZuckerLW0002610017:221:44
M. GranlundC000312-1015:351:54
R. PoehlingC0000220012:480:07
D. HeinenLW0005200012:040:07
J. CarterC000100006:301:10
J. ArchibaldRW000112006:220:00
D. O'ConnorLW000120006:100:00
P. JosephD011300+1020:561:53
K. LetangD000510+1229:334:08
B. DumoulinD0003120018:480:00
C. RuhwedelD000140-1217:280:00
M. FriedmanD0003130015:100:29
T. FedunD000201-1010:340:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
T. Jarry21192.90558:17Loss
C. DeSmith000–0:00