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Game Recap
PIT5
Final/OTThu, Mar 2, 2023Every game that night
TBL4

PIT beat TBL 5-4 in overtime, with the chances close: 2.75 expected goals to 3.15. J. Petry led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). T. Jarry stopped 27 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
PIT03115
TBL11204
  1. 1st 5:39TBLR. Colton0.20 xG
  2. 2nd 6:06PITJ. Petry0.14 xG
  3. 2nd 6:31PITJ. Petry0.05 xG
  4. 2nd 9:39TBLB. PointPP0.15 xG
  5. 2nd 15:06PITJ. Zucker0.16 xG
  6. 3rd 0:38TBLS. StamkosPP0.07 xG
  7. 3rd 6:59PITD. O'Connor0.17 xG
  8. 3rd 15:50TBLV. Hedman0.12 xG
  9. OT 2:13PITJ. Zucker0.06 xG

Team Stats

PITTBL
32Shots on goal31
2.75Expected goals3.15
52Shot attempts52
215v5 shots on goal21
0/5Power play2/5
28Hits31
9Blocked shots12
10Penalty minutes8
9Giveaways7
8Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

PIT 2.75 xGTBL 3.15 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTTBL goal, 5:39PIT goal, 6:06PIT goal, 6:31TBL goal, 9:39PIT goal, 15:06TBL goal, 0:38PIT goal, 6:59TBL goal, 15:50PIT goal, 2:13

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

PIT31 on goal, 5 scored
TBL31 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

PIT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. CarterC022300+2016:232:38
J. ZuckerLW202300+2016:052:55
R. RakellRW011400+1022:527:08
S. CrosbyC0112000020:477:03
D. HeinenLW011311+1011:242:47
J. ArchibaldRW0110300011:110:05
D. O'ConnorLW101200008:510:05
J. GuentzelC0004200022:287:03
E. MalkinC0001110221:437:29
M. GranlundC000010+1016:160:05
B. RustRW000120+1215:432:22
D. CaggiulaLW000010004:010:00
J. PetryD202452+2225:436:14
M. PetterssonD0221220219:530:17
K. LetangD0110210212:372:34
B. DumoulinD0002410018:530:08
P. JosephD000110+3017:291:07
J. RuttaD0001310015:510:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
T. Jarry31274.87162:13Win
C. DeSmith000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. PointC112101-1020:285:38
S. StamkosC112301-1019:586:11
N. KucherovRW011401+1021:246:17
A. KillornLW011120-1219:033:01
T. JeannotLW011040-1010:500:00
R. ColtonC101140008:160:13
A. CirelliC000110-1022:262:43
B. HagelLW0003110218:590:22
N. PaulLW0000020014:300:55
P. BellemareLW000000-1010:310:00
C. PerryRW000230-209:172:38
P. MaroonLW000040-126:510:00
M. SergachevD022412-1024:143:50
V. HedmanD1015110023:260:51
I. ColeD000252-2023:180:06
N. PerbixD000120+1217:590:00
E. CernakD000101-1013:310:00
D. RaddyshD000230-2011:380:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy32275.84462:13OT loss
B. Elliott000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamJake Guentzel TBL Faces PIT, his team until Feb 20244 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.