Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
TOR5
Final/OTMon, Apr 24, 2023PlayoffsEvery game that night
TBL4

TOR beat TBL 5-4 in overtime, with the chances close: 3.14 expected goals to 3.52. W. Nylander led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). I. Samsonov stopped 27 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
TOR01315
TBL22004
  1. 1st 9:57TBLA. KillornPP0.16 xG
  2. 1st 18:27TBLM. Sergachev0.05 xG
  3. 2nd 4:51TORN. Acciari0.10 xG
  4. 2nd 11:31TBLS. Stamkos0.08 xG
  5. 2nd 18:49TBLA. Killorn0.03 xG
  6. 3rd 9:44TORA. Matthews0.14 xG
  7. 3rd 12:29TORA. MatthewsPP0.09 xG
  8. 3rd 16:04TORM. Rielly0.03 xG
  9. OT 4:14TORA. KerfootPP0.13 xG

Team Stats

TORTBL
37Shots on goal31
3.14Expected goals3.52
67Shot attempts77
285v5 shots on goal25
2/4Power play1/3
46Hits45
28Blocked shots24
8Penalty minutes10
3Giveaways10
7Takeaways17

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 3.14 xGTBL 3.52 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTTBL goal, 9:57TBL goal, 18:27TOR goal, 4:51TBL goal, 11:31TBL goal, 18:49TOR goal, 9:44TOR goal, 12:29TOR goal, 16:04TOR goal, 4:14

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR37 on goal, 5 scored
TBL31 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
W. NylanderRW033300-1214:212:12
M. MarnerRW022300+2026:485:35
A. MatthewsC2027330025:416:07
R. O'ReillyC022212+2021:035:19
N. AcciariC101163+1015:320:00
A. KerfootC1012400012:221:20
C. JarnkrokC000010-1018:040:46
J. TavaresC0003500217:305:39
M. KniesLW0001100014:220:44
D. KampfC000130-1011:020:00
S. LaffertyC000221-108:300:00
Z. Aston-ReeseLW000101-107:060:00
M. GiordanoD022313+1017:382:05
M. RiellyD101115+1027:184:56
J. HollD011111-1017:070:04
T. BrodieD000334-1221:490:08
J. McCabeD000142-1220:400:00
L. SchennD0002103+1018:030:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov31274.87163:55Win
J. Woll000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. KillornLW202741+1022:401:52
N. KucherovRW0222030019:063:35
B. HagelLW011232+1023:052:07
B. PointC0113200020:143:30
S. StamkosC1013200018:173:29
A. CirelliC000032+1219:200:25
N. PaulLW0000210015:460:45
R. ColtonC0000300012:441:00
T. JeannotLW0001400012:260:00
P. BellemareLW000122-1010:110:00
P. MaroonLW000100-107:470:25
C. PerryRW000220-106:550:50
V. HedmanD022442-1229:091:51
M. SergachevD112336+1424:131:25
N. PerbixD011023-1020:120:14
D. RaddyshD000161+1025:010:00
I. ColeD0000110016:580:00
Z. BogosianD000120028:070:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy37325.86564:14Loss
B. Elliott000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamDarren Raddysh TOR First game back in Tampa, his team until May 20261 SOG
  • Old teamNick Paul TOR First game back in Tampa, his team until May 20260 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.