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Game Recap
UTA7
FinalWed, Dec 3, 2025Every game that night
ANA0

UTA beat ANA 7-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.61 expected goals to 2.51. J. Peterka led the way with 4 points (2 G, 2 A). J. Peterka had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.2. K. Vejmelka stopped 27 of 27.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
UTA2237
ANA0000
  1. 1st 5:59UTAL. Crouse0.08 xG
  2. 1st 10:30UTAD. Guenther0.19 xG
  3. 2nd 5:43UTAI. Cole0.05 xG
  4. 2nd 14:34UTAJ. Peterka0.05 xG
  5. 3rd 1:41UTAL. O'Brien0.19 xG
  6. 3rd 10:06UTAJ. PeterkaPP0.28 xG
  7. 3rd 12:52UTAC. Keller0.04 xG

Team Stats

UTAANA
34Shots on goal27
3.61Expected goals2.51
63Shot attempts69
325v5 shots on goal21
1/2Power play0/3
30Hits22
25Blocked shots13
6Penalty minutes4
10Giveaways14
4Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

UTA 3.61 xGANA 2.51 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdUTA goal, 5:59UTA goal, 10:30UTA goal, 5:43UTA goal, 14:34UTA goal, 1:41UTA goal, 10:06UTA goal, 12:52

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

UTA34 on goal, 7 scored
ANA26 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

UTA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. PeterkaRW224600+3015:121:50
C. KellerRW123302+3016:231:52
J. McBainC022274+2018:030:00
D. GuentherRW112502+1015:041:50
N. SchmaltzC022101+3014:140:48
L. CrouseLW101201+1019:300:48
M. CarconeLW011460+1013:010:46
L. O'BrienC101260+1010:000:00
K. StenlundC0000100015:480:00
L. CooleyC000022+1215:411:52
D. ButLW000220+1011:400:46
K. YamamotoRW000000+1011:100:00
I. ColeD112202+5221:090:00
S. DurziD0113030019:011:04
M. LamoureuxD011123+4216:510:00
M. SergachevD000122+1021:421:34
N. SchmidtD0000200020:470:00
J. MarinoD000003+2018:440:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Vejmelka272701.00060:00Win
V. Vanecek000–0:00

ANA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
F. VatranoRW000310-2019:072:17
A. KillornLW000120-1018:282:07
B. SenneckeRW000010-1218:272:17
M. McTavishC000310-2017:593:45
C. GauthierLW000210-2017:542:17
L. CarlssonC000100-3017:403:43
C. KreiderLW000210-2017:333:52
R. PoehlingC000101-1016:390:00
T. TerryRW000100-2016:333:42
R. JohnstonLW000140-129:330:00
J. HarkinsC000122-108:540:00
D. HellesonD000112-2019:380:00
J. LaCombeD000101-2019:254:04
O. ZellwegerD000220-3017:331:56
P. MintyukovD000013-1016:500:00
J. TroubaD000401-4015:440:00
R. GudasD0002410014:560:00
I. MooreD0001120014:290:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
V. Husso21174.81040:00Loss
V. Buteyets13103.76920:00

Lines at 5-on-5

UTA

Line 1L. Crouse14:45J. McBain15:27M. Carcone12:15
Line 2L. Cooley13:49D. Guenther13:14D. But10:54
Line 3C. Keller14:31J. Peterka13:22N. Schmaltz11:25
Line 4K. Stenlund12:24K. Yamamoto11:10L. O'Brien10:00
Pair 1I. Cole19:04M. Lamoureux16:51
Pair 2N. Schmidt17:13S. Durzi17:32
Pair 3J. Marino16:22M. Sergachev16:32

ANA

Line 1C. Gauthier15:37M. McTavish14:14B. Sennecke16:10
Line 2C. Kreider13:05L. Carlsson13:57T. Terry12:51
Line 3A. Killorn14:20F. Vatrano16:13R. Poehling14:37
Line 4R. Johnston9:33J. Harkins8:54
Pair 1D. Helleson19:01J. LaCombe15:21
Pair 2J. Trouba13:42O. Zellweger15:37
Pair 3R. Gudas14:20P. Mintyukov14:49

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

We projectedIt finished
ScoreUTA 3.2, ANA 3.0UTA 7, ANA 0
Total goals6.17
Shots on goalUTA 29.8, ANA 27.2UTA 34, ANA 27
Win chanceUTA 53%UTA won

Players

PlayerSOG projectedSOGPoints projectedPointsGoal chanceGoals
ANA C. Gauthier3.320.90031%0
UTA D. Guenther3.050.79229%1
UTA C. Keller2.930.99332%1
ANA T. Terry2.410.90028%0
UTA N. Schmaltz2.310.78226%0
UTA J. Peterka2.260.72427%2
ANA C. Kreider2.220.75036%0
ANA L. Carlsson2.110.95029%0
UTA M. Sergachev2.010.68012%0
UTA L. Cooley1.800.69025%0
ANA M. McTavish1.830.63022%0
UTA L. Crouse1.820.42122%1
ANA F. Vatrano1.830.39020%0
ANA J. LaCombe1.710.56013%0
ANA O. Zellweger1.720.32010%0
UTA M. Carcone1.740.39118%0
ANA B. Sennecke1.600.69020%0
UTA S. Durzi1.530.4319%0
ANA A. Killorn1.510.46020%0
ANA J. Trouba1.440.3007%0
UTA N. Schmidt1.300.3907%0
UTA M. Lamoureux1.210.2215%0
UTA J. McBain1.220.31213%0
UTA K. Stenlund1.100.29014%0
UTA L. O'Brien1.120.1516%1
ANA R. Gudas1.020.2004%0
ANA R. Poehling1.010.38014%0
ANA D. Helleson1.010.2807%0
UTA K. Yamamoto1.000.29013%0
ANA P. Mintyukov1.000.3006%0
UTA J. Marino0.900.3704%0
ANA I. Moore0.910.2406%0
UTA I. Cole0.820.2423%1
ANA J. Harkins0.710.1307%0
ANA R. Johnston0.410.1305%0

Shots on goal: 17 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.