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Game Recap
VAN3
PHI0
VAN beat PHI 3-0 despite fewer good chances: 1.68 expected goals to 3.20. K. Sherwood had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.3. K. Lankinen stopped 26 of 26.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- 1st 16:09VANN. Hoglander0.11 xG
- 2nd 8:40VANB. Boeser0.16 xG
- 2nd 9:30VANK. Sherwood0.02 xG
Team Stats
VANPHI
32Shots on goal26
1.68Expected goals3.20
53Shot attempts58
315v5 shots on goal21
0/2Power play0/3
37Hits28
10Blocked shots12
8Penalty minutes6
14Giveaways18
4Takeaways1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
VAN 1.68 xGPHI 3.20 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
VAN Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Pettersson | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:41 | 2:00 |
| C. Garland | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 18:26 | 2:02 |
| J. DeBrusk | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:55 | 1:35 |
| T. Blueger | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:51 | 0:22 |
| N. Hoglander | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:20 | 1:26 |
| B. Boeser | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 15:09 | 2:10 |
| K. Sherwood | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:52 | 0:01 |
| J. Miller | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:01 | 1:59 |
| D. Heinen | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:50 | 1:48 |
| P. Suter | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:02 | 0:00 |
| D. Sprong | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:41 | 1:58 |
| N. Aman | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:31 | 0:00 |
| T. Myers | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 22:30 | 0:57 |
| F. Hronek | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:38 | 1:36 |
| Q. Hughes | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:36 | 1:27 |
| C. Soucy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:14 | 0:39 |
| V. Desharnais | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:34 | 0:00 |
| E. Brannstrom | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:16 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lankinen | 26 | 26 | 0 | 1.000 | 59:53 | Win |
| A. Silovs | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
PHI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Konecny | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 20:19 | 3:22 |
| M. Frost | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 18:25 | 3:15 |
| O. Tippett | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:26 | 3:27 |
| S. Couturier | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:58 | 0:01 |
| S. Laughton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 15:54 | 0:00 |
| M. Michkov | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:49 | 3:16 |
| J. Farabee | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 14:51 | 2:41 |
| T. Foerster | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 | 2:32 |
| R. Poehling | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:54 | 0:00 |
| G. Hathaway | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12:24 | 0:00 |
| J. Luchanko | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:23 | 2:43 |
| B. Brink | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:38 | 2:38 |
| C. York | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 22:24 | 0:05 |
| T. Sanheim | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 22:14 | 0:00 |
| E. Zamula | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 21:18 | 2:38 |
| J. Drysdale | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 20:50 | 3:22 |
| E. Johnson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:08 | 0:00 |
| R. Ristolainen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 13:28 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ersson | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 59:38 | Loss |
| I. Fedotov | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | VAN 3.0, PHI 2.9 | VAN 3, PHI 0 |
| Total goals | 6.0 | 3 |
| Shots on goal | VAN 23.7, PHI 30.7 | VAN 32, PHI 26 |
| Win chance | VAN 51% | VAN won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI O. Tippett | 3.3 | 4 | 0.65 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| PHI T. Konecny | 2.9 | 1 | 0.86 | 0 | 30% | 0 |
| VAN C. Garland | 2.4 | 2 | 0.73 | 1 | 25% | 0 |
| VAN J. Miller | 2.3 | 1 | 1.22 | 0 | 34% | 0 |
| VAN B. Boeser | 2.2 | 2 | 0.93 | 1 | 33% | 1 |
| VAN E. Pettersson | 2.1 | 2 | 1.03 | 1 | 33% | 0 |
| VAN J. DeBrusk | 2.1 | 0 | 0.69 | 1 | 28% | 0 |
| VAN Q. Hughes | 2.0 | 4 | 1.06 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| PHI T. Foerster | 2.0 | 1 | 0.46 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| PHI M. Frost | 1.9 | 4 | 0.58 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| PHI S. Couturier | 1.7 | 2 | 0.36 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| PHI T. Sanheim | 1.6 | 5 | 0.43 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| PHI J. Farabee | 1.6 | 3 | 0.45 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| PHI S. Laughton | 1.6 | 0 | 0.43 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| PHI C. York | 1.5 | 2 | 0.41 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| VAN D. Sprong | 1.5 | 4 | 0.47 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| VAN F. Hronek | 1.5 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| VAN N. Hoglander | 1.4 | 1 | 0.45 | 1 | 21% | 1 |
| VAN K. Sherwood | 1.3 | 5 | 0.39 | 1 | 15% | 1 |
| PHI R. Poehling | 1.3 | 0 | 0.37 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| VAN D. Heinen | 1.3 | 3 | 0.47 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| PHI J. Drysdale | 1.3 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| PHI B. Brink | 1.3 | 1 | 0.37 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| PHI G. Hathaway | 1.2 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| VAN P. Suter | 1.2 | 2 | 0.35 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| PHI R. Ristolainen | 1.1 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| VAN T. Blueger | 1.0 | 0 | 0.34 | 1 | 10% | 0 |
| VAN T. Myers | 0.9 | 3 | 0.25 | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| VAN E. Brannstrom | 0.9 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| PHI E. Zamula | 0.9 | 1 | 0.31 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| PHI E. Johnson | 0.9 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| VAN C. Soucy | 0.8 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| VAN N. Aman | 0.6 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| VAN V. Desharnais | 0.4 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 17 of 34 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.