Game Recap: WSH 0, CBJ 7, April 12, 2025

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Game Recap

WSH0

FinalSat, Apr 12, 2025Every game that night

CBJ7

CBJ beat WSH 7-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.93 expected goals to 2.97. J. van Riemsdyk led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). J. Danforth had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.3. J. Greaves stopped 22 of 22.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WSH	0	0	0	0
CBJ	3	3	1	7

1st 1:00CBJZ. Werenski0.09 xG
1st 4:45CBJK. Johnson0.31 xG
1st 19:24CBJA. Fantilli0.21 xG
2nd 2:01CBJA. Fantilli0.04 xG
2nd 4:37CBJS. Monahan0.67 xG
2nd 5:14CBJC. Sillinger0.10 xG
3rd 17:41CBJJ. van Riemsdyk0.25 xG

Team Stats

WSHCBJ

22Shots on goal26

2.97Expected goals3.93

62Shot attempts59

205v5 shots on goal24

0/2Power play0/2

21Hits22

21Blocked shots17

48Penalty minutes26

21Giveaways12

10Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 2.97 xGCBJ 3.93 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH22 on goal, 0 scored

CBJ26 on goal, 7 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
D. Strome	C	3	1	0	-3	0	18:17	3:16
C. McMichael	LW	1	0	1	-3	0	16:30	1:46
R. Leonard	RW	4	1	0	-3	7	15:39	1:52
A. Mangiapane	LW	2	2	0	-2	0	15:04	1:18
T. Raddysh	RW	2	2	1	-1	0	15:01	2:04
B. Duhaime	LW	1	1	4	-1	0	15:01	0:00
A. Beauvillier	RW	1	1	0	0	0	14:46	0:36
E. Frank	RW	2	0	2	-1	0	14:43	0:37
T. Wilson	RW	0	4	0	-2	12	14:30	2:34
L. Eller	C	2	1	0	-3	0	14:06	0:00
N. Dowd	C	0	2	0	-1	0	13:47	0:00
P. Dubois	C	1	2	2	-1	10	12:48	1:25
M. Roy	D	1	1	0	-4	0	22:24	0:26
M. Fehérváry	D	1	1	3	-3	0	21:23	0:00
J. Carlson	D	1	1	1	-3	0	20:29	3:26
A. Alexeyev	D	0	1	1	-1	0	19:40	0:00
R. Sandin	D	0	0	2	-2	7	16:16	0:00
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	0	4	-1	12	15:36	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
H. Shepard	26	19	7	.731	60:00	Loss
C. Lindgren	0	0	0	–	0:00

CBJ Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. van Riemsdyk	LW	1	2	3	2	0	0	+3	7	15:25	0:00
K. Johnson	C	1	1	2	2	0	0	+2	0	14:56	1:19
S. Monahan	C	1	1	2	3	0	1	+2	0	14:11	1:16
A. Fantilli	C	2	0	2	4	2	0	+3	0	13:35	0:43
C. Sillinger	C	1	0	1	1	0	1	+3	0	18:38	1:17
M. Olivier	RW	0	1	1	0	2	0	+2	0	15:41	0:36
K. Marchenko	RW	0	1	1	3	0	1	+2	0	14:51	2:00
D. Voronkov	LW	0	1	1	0	2	1	+2	10	12:44	1:13
J. Danforth	RW	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	15:09	1:16
Z. Aston-Reese	LW	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	15:05	1:19
B. Jenner	C	0	0	0	1	0	3	+2	0	14:04	1:17
S. Kuraly	C	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	7	13:20	1:20
D. Fabbro	D	0	1	1	0	3	2	+3	0	21:27	0:00
D. Mateychuk	D	0	1	1	1	1	2	+2	0	19:45	1:52
Z. Werenski	D	1	0	1	2	0	1	+2	0	18:42	1:31
I. Provorov	D	0	0	0	2	1	2	+3	0	24:17	0:29
E. Gudbranson	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	+2	2	17:20	0:00
J. Harris	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	+2	0	16:50	1:52

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Greaves	22	22	0	1.000	60:00	Win
D. Tarasov	0	0	0	–	0:00

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamBoone Jenner WSH First game back in Columbus, his team until Apr 20261 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	WSH 3.6, CBJ 3.1	WSH 0, CBJ 7
Total goals	6.8	7
Shots on goal	WSH 29.2, CBJ 28.5	WSH 22, CBJ 26
Win chance	WSH 57%	CBJ won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
CBJ Z. Werenski	3.3	2	0.77	1	17%	1
CBJ B. Jenner	2.5	1	0.64	0	28%	0
CBJ K. Marchenko	2.3	3	0.70	1	28%	0
WSH T. Wilson	2.3	0	0.78	0	31%	0
WSH J. Carlson	2.1	1	0.65	0	12%	0
CBJ S. Monahan	2.1	3	0.76	2	23%	1
CBJ A. Fantilli	2.1	4	0.55	2	23%	2
WSH P. Dubois	2.0	1	0.79	0	26%	0
WSH C. McMichael	2.0	1	0.59	0	23%	0
WSH D. Strome	1.9	3	0.90	0	27%	0
CBJ D. Voronkov	1.8	0	0.48	1	21%	0
CBJ C. Sillinger	1.7	1	0.38	1	14%	1
WSH R. Leonard	1.7	4	0.37	0	18%	0
WSH A. Beauvillier	1.7	1	0.33	0	14%	0
CBJ K. Johnson	1.7	2	0.65	2	22%	1
CBJ M. Olivier	1.4	0	0.37	1	16%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.3	1	0.35	0	6%	0
CBJ I. Provorov	1.3	2	0.35	0	8%	0
CBJ D. Fabbro	1.3	0	0.29	1	7%	0
CBJ J. Danforth	1.3	4	0.34	0	15%	0
WSH A. Mangiapane	1.2	2	0.42	0	18%	0
WSH L. Eller	1.2	2	0.28	0	12%	0
CBJ J. Riemsdyk	1.2	2	0.41	3	16%	1
CBJ E. Gudbranson	1.2	0	0.24	0	5%	0
WSH T. Raddysh	1.2	2	0.28	0	11%	0
CBJ Z. Aston-Reese	1.1	0	0.21	0	10%	0
WSH R. Sandin	1.1	0	0.41	0	7%	0
CBJ S. Kuraly	1.1	1	0.23	0	11%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	1.1	1	0.27	0	12%	0
WSH N. Dowd	1.1	0	0.37	0	18%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	1.1	1	0.31	0	8%	0
CBJ D. Mateychuk	1.0	1	0.28	1	8%	0
WSH E. Frank	1.0	2	0.33	0	15%	0
WSH T. Riemsdyk	1.0	0	0.26	0	4%	0
WSH A. Alexeyev	0.7	0	0.12	0	3%	0
CBJ J. Harris	0.4	0	0.11	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.