NJD beat WSH 7-3, with the chances close: 3.70 expected goals to 3.33. J. Hughes led the way with 5 points (2 G, 3 A). C. Hutson had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 0.9. J. Allen stopped 29 of 32.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| NJD | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
Team Stats
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
WSH 3.33 xGNJD 3.70 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
WSH Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Wilson | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:06 | 2:46 |
| P. Dubois | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:00 | 2:53 |
| R. Leonard | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 13:46 | 2:50 |
| H. Lapierre | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 12 | 12:46 | 0:00 |
| A. Beauvillier | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:10 | 0:00 |
| A. Ovechkin | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 18:05 | 4:22 |
| D. Strome | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 17:14 | 1:36 |
| C. McMichael | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:23 | 1:33 |
| J. Sourdif | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 15:22 | 1:40 |
| B. Duhaime | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:07 | 0:00 |
| I. Miroshnichenko | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 10:49 | 0:00 |
| D. Kampf | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 2 | 9:39 | 0:00 |
| J. Chychrun | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 24:55 | 2:57 |
| R. Sandin | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 18:56 | 0:04 |
| C. Hutson | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:48 | 1:29 |
| T. van Riemsdyk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 18:34 | 0:00 |
| M. Roy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17:45 | 0:00 |
| M. Fehérváry | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 16:31 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Thompson | 29 | 23 | 6 | .793 | 58:10 | Loss |
| C. Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
NJD Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hughes | C | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 0 | 22:25 | 2:17 |
| J. Bratt | LW | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 0 | 18:11 | 2:05 |
| N. Hischier | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:08 | 2:07 |
| D. Mercer | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:00 | 0:47 |
| C. Brown | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 19:03 | 2:09 |
| T. Meier | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:08 | 0:48 |
| L. Hameenaho | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:09 | 0:29 |
| N. Bjugstad | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0:00 |
| C. Glass | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 12 | 12:53 | 0:16 |
| P. Cotter | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 6:58 | 0:00 |
| M. Tsyplakov | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 6:04 | 0:00 |
| E. Dadonov | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 5:43 | 0:00 |
| J. Kovacevic | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:13 | 0:00 |
| D. Hamilton | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 0 | 17:38 | 0:49 |
| L. Hughes | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:22 | 2:06 |
| B. Dillon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 18:44 | 0:00 |
| S. Nemec | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 0 | 18:29 | 0:37 |
| J. Siegenthaler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +4 | 0 | 18:27 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Allen | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 60:00 | Win |
| J. Markstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
WSH
NJD
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WSH 3.0, NJD 3.1 | WSH 3, NJD 7 |
| Total goals | 6.1 | 10 |
| Shots on goal | WSH 25.2, NJD 30.8 | WSH 32, NJD 30 |
| Win chance | NJD 52% | NJD won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD J. Hughes | 3.8 | 5 | 1.13 | 5 | 35% | 2 |
| NJD T. Meier | 3.5 | 0 | 0.63 | 1 | 30% | 0 |
| WSH A. Ovechkin | 2.7 | 4 | 0.79 | 0 | 34% | 0 |
| NJD N. Hischier | 2.5 | 0 | 0.79 | 2 | 30% | 0 |
| NJD D. Hamilton | 2.5 | 4 | 0.54 | 1 | 15% | 1 |
| WSH J. Chychrun | 2.3 | 2 | 0.59 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| NJD J. Bratt | 2.2 | 2 | 0.85 | 5 | 24% | 1 |
| WSH T. Wilson | 2.0 | 3 | 0.73 | 2 | 30% | 1 |
| NJD L. Hughes | 2.0 | 1 | 0.55 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| NJD C. Brown | 1.9 | 0 | 0.61 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| WSH A. Beauvillier | 1.9 | 2 | 0.37 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| WSH C. McMichael | 1.8 | 1 | 0.57 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| NJD D. Mercer | 1.8 | 6 | 0.45 | 2 | 21% | 2 |
| WSH R. Leonard | 1.7 | 4 | 0.44 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| WSH D. Strome | 1.6 | 0 | 0.71 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| WSH J. Sourdif | 1.6 | 0 | 0.50 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| WSH P. Dubois | 1.6 | 4 | 0.63 | 2 | 21% | 1 |
| NJD C. Glass | 1.4 | 3 | 0.31 | 1 | 14% | 1 |
| NJD L. Hameenaho | 1.4 | 2 | 0.25 | 1 | 11% | 0 |
| NJD S. Nemec | 1.3 | 2 | 0.35 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| WSH R. Sandin | 1.2 | 2 | 0.36 | 1 | 5% | 0 |
| NJD N. Bjugstad | 1.2 | 2 | 0.20 | 1 | 11% | 0 |
| WSH M. Roy | 1.2 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| NJD E. Dadonov | 1.1 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| NJD J. Kovacevic | 0.9 | 1 | 0.21 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| WSH M. Fehérváry | 0.9 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| WSH C. Hutson | 0.9 | 7 | 0.30 | 1 | 3% | 1 |
| NJD M. Tsyplakov | 0.9 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| WSH B. Duhaime | 0.8 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| WSH I. Miroshnichenko | 0.8 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| WSH D. Kampf | 0.8 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| NJD J. Siegenthaler | 0.8 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WSH T. Riemsdyk | 0.8 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WSH H. Lapierre | 0.8 | 0 | 0.26 | 1 | 8% | 0 |
| NJD P. Cotter | 0.7 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| NJD B. Dillon | 0.7 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.