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Game Recap
WSH3
FinalThu, Apr 2, 2026Every game that night
NJD7

NJD beat WSH 7-3, with the chances close: 3.70 expected goals to 3.33. J. Hughes led the way with 5 points (2 G, 3 A). C. Hutson had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 0.9. J. Allen stopped 29 of 32.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
WSH2013
NJD3137
  1. 1st 5:22NJDC. Glass0.22 xG
  2. 1st 7:37NJDD. Mercer0.13 xG
  3. 1st 8:15WSHC. Hutson0.14 xG
  4. 1st 9:47WSHP. DuboisPP0.27 xG
  5. 1st 18:19NJDD. Hamilton0.04 xG
  6. 2nd 9:10NJDJ. Hughes0.11 xG
  7. 3rd 8:10NJDJ. Hughes0.20 xG
  8. 3rd 9:33WSHT. Wilson0.15 xG
  9. 3rd 12:16NJDJ. BrattPP0.31 xG
  10. 3rd 17:54NJDD. MercerEN0.67 xG

Team Stats

WSHNJD
32Shots on goal30
3.33Expected goals3.70
67Shot attempts55
255v5 shots on goal23
1/3Power play1/2
18Hits12
17Blocked shots19
16Penalty minutes18
13Giveaways23
5Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 3.33 xGNJD 3.70 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdNJD goal, 5:22NJD goal, 7:37WSH goal, 8:15WSH goal, 9:47NJD goal, 18:19NJD goal, 9:10NJD goal, 8:10WSH goal, 9:33NJD goal, 12:16NJD goal, 17:54

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH31 on goal, 3 scored
NJD29 on goal, 7 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. WilsonRW1123100020:062:46
P. DuboisC1124100019:002:53
R. LeonardRW011420-1213:462:50
H. LapierreC011021-21212:460:00
A. BeauvillierRW0002010019:100:00
A. OvechkinLW000440-2018:054:22
D. StromeC000000-2017:141:36
C. McMichaelLW000120-1015:231:33
J. SourdifC000001-2015:221:40
B. DuhaimeLW0001100012:070:00
I. MiroshnichenkoLW000110-2010:490:00
D. KampfC000013-129:390:00
J. ChychrunD011201-3024:552:57
R. SandinD011212-2018:560:04
C. HutsonD101701+1018:481:29
T. van RiemsdykD000003-1018:340:00
M. RoyD0001130017:450:00
M. FehérváryD000011-3016:310:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
L. Thompson29236.79358:10Loss
C. Lindgren000–0:00

NJD Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. HughesC235501+4022:252:17
J. BrattLW145200+4018:112:05
N. HischierC0220010221:082:07
D. MercerC202611+1020:000:47
C. BrownRW011001+3019:032:09
T. MeierRW0110010218:080:48
L. HameenahoRW011210+1014:090:29
N. BjugstadC011221+1012:590:00
C. GlassC101301+11212:530:16
P. CotterLW000031-106:580:00
M. TsyplakovRW000010-106:040:00
E. DadonovLW000000-105:430:00
J. KovacevicD011121+1021:130:00
D. HamiltonD101401+4017:380:49
L. HughesD000100+1023:222:06
B. DillonD000110-1218:440:00
S. NemecD000214-1018:290:37
J. SiegenthalerD000105+4018:270:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Allen32293.90660:00Win
J. Markstrom000–0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WSH

Line 1T. Wilson13:59P. Dubois14:19H. Lapierre12:46
Line 3J. Sourdif13:42R. Leonard10:56
Pair 1T. Riemsdyk17:43J. Chychrun19:52
Pair 2M. Roy15:43C. Hutson15:29
Pair 3M. Fehérváry14:28R. Sandin18:16

NJD

Line 1T. Meier16:04D. Mercer16:03N. Hischier15:58
Line 2J. Hughes19:34C. Brown15:04J. Bratt14:43
Line 3N. Bjugstad11:39L. Hameenaho13:40C. Glass10:52
Pair 1L. Hughes21:16J. Kovacevic19:35
Pair 2B. Dillon16:15S. Nemec17:52

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

We projectedIt finished
ScoreWSH 3.0, NJD 3.1WSH 3, NJD 7
Total goals6.110
Shots on goalWSH 25.2, NJD 30.8WSH 32, NJD 30
Win chanceNJD 52%NJD won

Players

PlayerSOG projectedSOGPoints projectedPointsGoal chanceGoals
NJD J. Hughes3.851.13535%2
NJD T. Meier3.500.63130%0
WSH A. Ovechkin2.740.79034%0
NJD N. Hischier2.500.79230%0
NJD D. Hamilton2.540.54115%1
WSH J. Chychrun2.320.59117%0
NJD J. Bratt2.220.85524%1
WSH T. Wilson2.030.73230%1
NJD L. Hughes2.010.55010%0
NJD C. Brown1.900.61120%0
WSH A. Beauvillier1.920.37017%0
WSH C. McMichael1.810.57021%0
NJD D. Mercer1.860.45221%2
WSH R. Leonard1.740.44117%0
WSH D. Strome1.600.71023%0
WSH J. Sourdif1.600.50020%0
WSH P. Dubois1.640.63221%1
NJD C. Glass1.430.31114%1
NJD L. Hameenaho1.420.25111%0
NJD S. Nemec1.320.35011%0
WSH R. Sandin1.220.3615%0
NJD N. Bjugstad1.220.20111%0
WSH M. Roy1.210.2804%0
NJD E. Dadonov1.100.30013%0
NJD J. Kovacevic0.910.2114%0
WSH M. Fehérváry0.900.2906%0
WSH C. Hutson0.970.3013%1
NJD M. Tsyplakov0.900.1807%0
WSH B. Duhaime0.810.1709%0
WSH I. Miroshnichenko0.810.2008%0
WSH D. Kampf0.800.2109%0
NJD J. Siegenthaler0.810.1703%0
WSH T. Riemsdyk0.800.2303%0
WSH H. Lapierre0.800.2618%0
NJD P. Cotter0.700.17010%0
NJD B. Dillon0.710.2105%0

Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.