Game Recap: WSH 5, VGK 4 (SO), March 28, 2026

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Game Recap

WSH5

Final/SOSat, Mar 28, 2026Every game that night

VGK4

WSH beat VGK 5-4 in a shootout despite fewer good chances: 2.14 expected goals to 3.16. J. Eichel led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). J. Sourdif had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.4. L. Thompson stopped 25 of 29.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	SO	T
WSH	1	2	1	1	5
VGK	0	3	1	0	4

1st 6:06WSHH. Lapierre0.14 xG
2nd 1:55WSHJ. SourdifPP0.21 xG
2nd 6:49WSHA. Beauvillier0.09 xG
2nd 10:38VGKN. DowdSH0.09 xG
2nd 11:03VGKR. AnderssonSH0.34 xG
2nd 13:18VGKJ. Eichel0.12 xG
3rd 0:31VGKM. MarnerPP0.02 xG
3rd 8:54WSHD. StromePP0.08 xG

Team Stats

WSHVGK

22Shots on goal29

2.14Expected goals3.16

43Shot attempts61

125v5 shots on goal23

2/6Power play1/4

18Hits15

13Blocked shots11

8Penalty minutes12

20Giveaways19

8Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 2.14 xGVGK 3.16 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH21 on goal, 4 scored

VGK28 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Sourdif	C	1	1	2	4	1	0	0	0	17:34	2:25
C. McMichael	LW	0	1	1	1	1	0	-2	0	20:10	2:26
D. Strome	C	1	0	1	2	0	1	-1	4	19:10	3:03
A. Beauvillier	RW	1	0	1	1	1	0	+1	0	19:07	0:43
A. Ovechkin	LW	0	1	1	2	0	0	-2	0	17:35	6:30
B. Duhaime	LW	0	1	1	0	4	2	+1	0	15:53	0:00
R. Leonard	RW	0	1	1	4	2	0	0	0	15:17	1:31
H. Lapierre	C	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	8:05	0:19
I. Miroshnichenko	LW	0	1	1	0	1	0	+1	0	7:50	0:00
T. Wilson	RW	0	0	0	1	2	0	-2	2	24:11	4:06
P. Dubois	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	18:17	3:29
A. Protas	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6:27	0:00
C. Hutson	D	0	2	2	2	1	0	-1	0	15:11	2:48
J. Chychrun	D	0	0	0	0	0	3	+1	0	23:55	3:52
R. Sandin	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	21:25	0:10
M. Fehérváry	D	0	0	0	1	1	5	-1	0	20:14	0:00
M. Roy	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	19:26	0:00
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	19:00	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Thompson	29	25	4	.862	65:00	Win
C. Lindgren	0	0	0	–	0:00

VGK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Eichel	C	1	2	3	2	0	1	+2	0	23:23	3:00
M. Marner	RW	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	22:19	3:29
P. Dorofeyev	RW	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	19:13	3:30
N. Dowd	C	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	11:56	0:00
M. Stone	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	+2	0	21:43	2:59
B. Howden	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	17:25	1:33
I. Barbashev	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	+1	0	15:48	1:01
C. Smith	RW	0	0	0	2	3	2	+1	0	12:55	0:00
T. Hertl	C	0	0	0	4	2	0	-2	0	12:23	3:33
C. Sissons	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	-2	0	10:49	1:33
K. Kolesar	RW	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	2	10:48	0:00
R. Smith	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-2	0	9:24	0:00
R. Andersson	D	1	1	2	2	1	2	+2	2	23:20	1:03
S. Theodore	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	22:45	1:04
B. McNabb	D	0	0	0	2	2	0	-1	2	21:14	0:00
N. Hanifin	D	0	0	0	4	1	1	0	2	20:45	0:00
J. Lauzon	D	0	0	0	2	2	1	+2	0	18:09	0:00
B. Hutton	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	12:29	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Hill	22	18	4	.818	64:52	OT loss
A. Schmid	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WSH

Line 1P. Dubois13:56T. Wilson16:21C. McMichael12:50

Line 2J. Sourdif13:42R. Leonard13:46A. Beauvillier14:43

Line 3A. Ovechkin10:25D. Strome13:40A. Protas6:27

Line 4B. Duhaime13:49H. Lapierre7:46I. Miroshnichenko7:50

Pair 1M. Fehérváry17:17R. Sandin18:16

Pair 2T. Riemsdyk17:24J. Chychrun16:36

Pair 3M. Roy16:21C. Hutson11:31

VGK

Line 1P. Dorofeyev15:17M. Marner14:17B. Howden13:36

Line 2I. Barbashev13:58J. Eichel13:55M. Stone15:01

Line 3N. Dowd10:52C. Smith11:34K. Kolesar10:40

Line 4R. Smith9:24T. Hertl8:50C. Sissons8:06

Pair 1B. McNabb18:00S. Theodore17:22

Pair 2R. Andersson18:27J. Lauzon14:39

Pair 3B. Hutton12:29N. Hanifin16:13

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamLogan Thompson WSH Faces VGK, his team until May 202425 saves on 29, the win
Old teamNic Dowd VGK Faces WSH, his team until Mar 20261 G, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	WSH 2.7, VGK 3.1	WSH 5, VGK 4
Total goals	5.8	9
Shots on goal	WSH 23.1, VGK 29.3	WSH 22, VGK 29
Win chance	VGK 57%	WSH won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
VGK J. Eichel	3.5	2	1.13	3	32%	1
VGK P. Dorofeyev	3.0	2	0.72	1	33%	0
WSH A. Ovechkin	2.6	2	0.77	1	33%	0
VGK T. Hertl	2.4	4	0.70	0	26%	0
VGK M. Marner	2.2	1	1.09	1	28%	1
VGK M. Stone	2.1	1	0.99	0	29%	0
WSH J. Chychrun	2.1	0	0.57	0	17%	0
WSH A. Protas	1.9	1	0.69	0	24%	0
WSH T. Wilson	1.8	1	0.68	0	27%	0
VGK R. Andersson	1.8	2	0.37	2	11%	1
WSH A. Beauvillier	1.7	1	0.35	1	15%	1
WSH C. McMichael	1.7	1	0.54	1	20%	0
WSH R. Leonard	1.7	4	0.46	1	17%	0
VGK I. Barbashev	1.7	2	0.59	0	21%	0
VGK S. Theodore	1.6	0	0.57	0	11%	0
WSH P. Dubois	1.6	1	0.63	0	21%	0
WSH D. Strome	1.5	2	0.71	1	22%	1
VGK N. Hanifin	1.5	4	0.35	0	8%	0
WSH J. Sourdif	1.4	4	0.44	2	18%	1
VGK R. Smith	1.4	1	0.38	0	16%	0
VGK B. McNabb	1.2	2	0.23	0	6%	0
VGK C. Sissons	1.2	1	0.24	0	10%	0
VGK B. Hutton	1.2	0	0.22	0	7%	0
VGK B. Howden	1.1	1	0.34	0	16%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.0	0	0.26	0	5%	0
WSH R. Sandin	1.0	1	0.34	0	5%	0
VGK J. Lauzon	1.0	2	0.14	0	4%	0
WSH C. Hutson	1.0	2	0.31	2	5%	0
VGK C. Smith	0.9	2	0.17	0	8%	0
WSH I. Miroshnichenko	0.9	0	0.21	1	9%	0
VGK K. Kolesar	0.8	0	0.24	0	9%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	0.8	1	0.28	0	6%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	0.7	0	0.15	1	8%	0
VGK N. Dowd	0.7	2	0.21	1	10%	1
WSH H. Lapierre	0.7	1	0.24	1	7%	1
WSH T. Riemsdyk	0.7	0	0.21	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.